Worcester 15:37 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m4f0y

Official Result

FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mighty Fleur (GB) Sean Bowen · Mickey Bowen
    6/4F
  2. 14/1
  3. 11/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Broomfield Aderra silks
Broomfield Aderra
Age 6 · 12-1
31351-
121
123
120
6
12-1
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 3/1 5/2
Broomfield Aderra won last time out and has two wins in her last five starts, with a third and a fifth in between, and she has run over today's trip and going before. A 199-day absence is the one question, but she is top of our ratings at 120 and looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Sweet Caryline silks
Sweet Caryline
Age 8 · 11-8
11163-
114
110
116
8
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 13/2 8/1
Sweet Caryline won three of her last five starts and was a third last time out, with a hat-trick landing three, four and five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is a 234-day absence, plus 162 lb on her back.
AI verdict

SR 110 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Mighty Fleur silks
Mighty Fleur FAV
Age 6 · 11-8
72-111
114
125
114
6
11-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/4 31/19 6/5
Three wins in her last five starts, including a victory last time out, make Mighty Fleur a leading threat, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is a 121-day absence, with 162 lb on her back.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
La Marquise silks
La Marquise
Age 6 · 11-4
54328-
110
106
113
6
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 17/2 9/1
La Marquise showed her best with a second two starts back and a third before that, and she has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 113 ranks her fourth of eight. The main risk is a 176-day absence and an eighth last time out, with 158 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 106 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Realisation silks
Realisation
Age 8 · 11-3
3312-3
109
90
111
8
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 8/1 22/1
Realisation arrives with solid recent form, a third last time out, a second two starts back and a win three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going. Against that, she's had 141 days off, carries 157 lb, and our rating of 111 ranks her only fifth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Best Women silks
Best Women
Age 7 · 11-1
/382-1
107
104
100
7
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 4/1 15/2
Best Women won last time out and was second two starts back, but she returns after 161 days off and carries 155 lb off an official 107. Has run on today's going, yet our figures rank her last of eight, so she's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Annie Express silks
Annie Express
Age 8 · 11-0
5P414-
106
96
106
8
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 13/2 12/1
Annie Express was a fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but 173 days off and 154 lb are hurdles to clear. Our rating of 106 ranks her sixth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Princess Keri silks
Princess Keri
Age 6 · 10-12
1U12P-
104
90
101
6
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
Pulled up last time out and absent for 177 days, Princess Keri is hard to fancy, though she was second two starts back and did score the run before that, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 152 lb off 104, she looks vulnerable, with our rating of 101 ranking her seventh of eight.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Broomfield Aderra 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
2 Sweet Caryline 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 17/2 Bet365
3 Mighty Fleur 5/4 open 2.63 6/5 open 3.75 6/5 open 3.00 6/5 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 6/5 open 2.75 5/4 Bet365
4 La Marquise 12/1 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
5 Realisation 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power
6 Best Women 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 William Hill
7 Annie Express 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Princess Keri 14/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 18/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mighty Fleur

Live signal

Mighty Fleur owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Mickey Bowen Sean Bowen
82% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Broomfield Aderra

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Realisation

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Charlie Longsdon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Mighty Fleur
71.0 5/4
2 1. Broomfield Aderra
63.1 11/4
3 6. Best Women
56.7 10/1
4 2. Sweet Caryline
56.6 17/2
5 4. La Marquise
56.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mighty Fleur
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-8
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 125 🐾 —

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-1
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 123 🐾 —

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 11-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 11-1
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 11-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 10-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mighty Fleur
Confidence: Medium

Mighty Fleur (SR:125, 11/8) is the standout on multiple aligned signals. Her recent form of 72-111 shows three consecutive wins — the rightmost three runs are all victories, indicating peak current form — and she is proven at the trip and on good ground (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), the only runner to confirm both. The market has steamed 22% since opening, the Sean Bowen booking (24% career strike rate, 2400 runners) is the best jockey in the field, and Mickey Bowen's 16% strike rate is solid. She steps up 6lb on her last win mark (MarkMv:+6) which is the one note of caution, but at 11-8 the weight of evidence — triple winning run, proven conditions, strong market confidence — makes her the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Broomfield Aderra. Main danger: Broomfield Aderra — Broomfield Aderra (SR:123, 5/2) has steamed 13% in the market, carries the top-weight under Harry Skelton for Dan Skelton (22%/26% strike rates — the sharpest trainer-jockey combo in the field), and her DistFit:+ at 2m4f is confirmed, making her the likeliest to give Mighty Fleur a race if the 6lb rise in mark blunts the favourite's finishing kick.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+6 means she runs off a 6lb higher mark than when last winning — a meaningful rise that could neutralise her rating advantage over rivals like Broomfield Aderra (SR:123, MarkMv:=) who meet her…
  • HG:p (headgear previously worn, not today) suggests she has run in headgear before — if today's absence of that aid contributes to a switch-off, her winning sequence may be flattered.
  • 121 days off the track is a notable break; Worcester in October can produce testing ground despite 'good' going, and a horse returning after four months may need the run before hitting peak.
  • Broomfield Aderra (SR:123, 5/2) is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate) with Harry Skelton aboard (26% SR) — a trainer-jockey combination statistically superior to Mickey/Sean Bowen, and Aderra i…
Shortlist Mighty Fleur, Broomfield Aderra, La Marquise
Each-way: Broomfield Aderra Danger: Broomfield Aderra

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Worcester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade