Roscommon 13:30 RESULTED
12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden

Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden · 7f111y

Official Result

Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner State Of Wyoming (IRE) W. J. Lee · P. Twomey
    7/4F
  2. 11/4
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
California Max silks
California Max
Age 4 · 9-11
—
—
122
—
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
125/1 50/1 100/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
A Good Yarn silks
A Good Yarn
Age 3 · 9-8
63
—
150
—
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/1 4/1
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Airborne Ranger silks
Airborne Ranger
Age 3 · 9-8
0
—
123
—
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 18/1 80/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Caption This silks
Caption This
Age 3 · 9-8
009
—
126
—
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
300/1 50/1 200/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hassaniya silks
Hassaniya
Age 3 · 9-8
533020
69
70
69OR
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 FCST 10/1
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Howya Pal silks
Howya Pal
Age 3 · 9-8
0
—
124
—
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 50/1 150/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Karrygrant silks
Karrygrant
Age 3 · 9-8
532322
77
92
77OR
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 18/13 11/4
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Mr Mercury silks
Mr Mercury
Age 3 · 9-8
008
—
123
—
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
300/1 50/1 200/1
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Resurgence silks
Resurgence
Age 3 · 9-8
24-26
80
92
80OR
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 9/4 2/1
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Spider Star silks
Spider Star
Age 3 · 9-8
05
—
125
—
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
125/1 50/1 100/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
State Of Wyoming silks
State Of Wyoming FAV
Age 3 · 9-8
06
—
154
—
3
9-8
★★★★☆
—
15/8 5/4 7/4
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 California Max 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 125/1 Bet365
2 A Good Yarn 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Paddy Power
3 Airborne Ranger 100/1 open 29.00 100/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 19.00 80/1 open 19.00 100/1 Bet365
4 Caption This 300/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 250/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 126.00 300/1 Bet365
5 Hassaniya 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Howya Pal 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 Bet365
7 Karrygrant 3/1 open 2.38 11/4 3/1 open 2.50 3/1 open 2.50 3/1 open 2.38 3/1 open 2.38 3/1 Bet365
8 Mr Mercury 300/1 open 101.00 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 250/1 open 101.00 250/1 open 101.00 300/1 Bet365
9 Resurgence 9/4 open 5.50 2/1 open 3.25 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 Bet365
10 Spider Star 125/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
11 State Of Wyoming 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 2.25 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

State Of Wyoming

High conviction

State Of Wyoming owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 P. Twomey W. J. Lee
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

A Good Yarn

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Aidan Anthony Howard
✓ Value Signal

Airborne Ranger

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · David Marnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. State Of Wyoming
73.2 15/8
2 2. A Good Yarn
68.6 4/1
3 9. Resurgence
57.2 9/4
4 7. Karrygrant
56.7 3/1
5 3. Airborne Ranger
52.9 100/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Karrygrant
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 3 · 9-8
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 3 · 9-8
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾 —

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Karrygrant
Confidence: Speculative

Karrygrant (SR:92, 15/8) is the joint-favourite and the only runner in the field with a confirmed DistFit:+ at this 7f111y trip, a crucial edge in a maiden where State Of Wyoming (DistFit:?) and Resurgence (DistFit:+) share the distance credential but Resurgence drifted in the challenge review. Trainer J. P. Murtagh (11%, 1371 runners) and jockey Ben Coen (11%, 1887 runners) form a consistent double-figure combination, and the consistent form line of 532322 shows a horse finding its level and knocking on the door — a '2' last time out just seven days ago suggests peak fitness. The headgear (tongue-tie + blinkers, HG:tb) applied adds focus, and at 15/8 the market is pricing this horse as co-favourite with no drift to concern us. State Of Wyoming holds the SR advantage at 154 versus 92, but a '06' form line, a visor first-time, and an 11% market drift are three concrete negatives that tip the balance toward Karrygrant. Each-way alternative: Resurgence. Main danger: State Of Wyoming — State Of Wyoming holds the highest SR in the field at 154 and trainer P. Twomey strikes at 25% — if the visor sharpens him up and the '06' form line understates his ability, he has the raw talent to win despite the drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • SR:92 is the joint-lowest in the field — State Of Wyoming (154) and A Good Yarn (150) bring substantially superior raw ability ratings, suggesting Karrygrant may simply be outclassed despite its cons…
  • Six runs in a 7f111y maiden with a best finish of 2nd and a form line of 532322 indicates a horse that keeps getting beaten — peak fitness doesn't cure a chronic inability to get its head in front.
  • Resurgence (SR:92, 3/1) has moved INTO the market by 19% and shares the DistFit:+ credential with a trainer (Harrington, 11%) and jockey (Foley, 11%) combo of identical calibre — it is a direct, impr…
  • Hassaniya is 11/1 with Colin Keane (16% strike rate) drifting IN 20% — that market support from the field's highest-strike-rate jockey on a horse showing headgear change represents a significant unad…
Shortlist Karrygrant, State Of Wyoming, Resurgence, A Good Yarn
Each-way: Resurgence Danger: State Of Wyoming

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f111y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting