Racing TV Handicap Stakes · 1m7f217y
SR 64 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ned Broy | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 2 Simple Star | 15/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Alpine Sierra | 5/2 open 8.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 Coral |
| 4 Mr Withington | 17/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Storm On Jura | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Galahad Threepwood | 11/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Fairydale | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Falaise Blanc | 33/1 open 11.00 | 30/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alpine Sierra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fairydale (SR 65, 7/2, Wgt 8-12) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field alongside Falaise Blanc but posts the highest SR by a clear margin, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals who carry more. The market has firmed 11% since opening — genuine confidence from connections — and her recent 427351 form line shows a win last time out, indicating she arrives in peak condition. Tim Easterby (11% strike rate, 4,698 career runners) is a volume trainer who places horses carefully, and David Allan (13%, 2,210 runners) is the stronger jockey booking over the Ewan Whillans pair. The unknown distance and going (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) are the main risks, but the weight, SR, and market signals all point the same way. Each-way alternative: Alpine Sierra. Main danger: Alpine Sierra — Alpine Sierra (SR 59, 5/1) has steamed in 17% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries just 10-0, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and has course form (W1P5 at Musselburgh) that Fairydale cannot match, making it the Goldie yard's clear number one and the horse most likely to derail the selection.