Roscommon 15:00 RESULTED
12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II) · 7f111y

Official Result

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cisterna (IRE) Jimmy Dalton · A. Slattery
    8/1
  2. Second Big Bill (FR)
    7/2F
  3. 9/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

Yarmouth

13:54–16:55 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
La Tulipe Noire silks
La Tulipe Noire
Age 6 · 10-0
095870
58
30
60
6
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 18/1 20/1
La Tulipe Noire is winless in her last six, with a fifth four starts back the best of a patchy run, though she's fresh enough after 20 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 60 sits two pounds above her official 58, but 140 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Navagio silks
Navagio
Age 7 · 10-0
060960
58
49
65
7
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 FCST 10/1
Navagio has been unplaced last time out and has finished sixth and ninth in the runs before, yet he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 65 ranks him top of 14 against an official 58. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last six, carrying 140 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

3
Big Bill silks
Big Bill FAV
Age 3 · 9-12
60-516
59
57
57
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 6/1 5/1
Big Bill won two starts back but was only sixth last time, and he's back after just seven days; he has run over today's trip and going before, though 138 lb from stall one and a rating of 57 that ranks eighth of 14 leave him a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cosmic Funk silks
Cosmic Funk
Age 3 · 9-12
755644
59
59
64
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Cosmic Funk comes here consistent, with a fourth last time out and another fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 64 ranks him fourth of 14, but he is yet to win in his last six starts, and 138 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Zabriskie Point silks
Zabriskie Point
Age 5 · 9-12
525753
56
55
64
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 FCST 6/1
Third last time out and only 12 days ago, Zabriskie Point arrives fresh and in decent heart, with experience of today's trip and going, while our rating of 64 sits well clear of his official 56. The risk is a winless run in his last six, with three fifths in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Brains silks
Brains
Age 10 · 9-11
756334
55
55
64
10
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 9/2 6/1
Fourth last time out and a third two starts back, then another third three starts back, Brains arrives fit after just 13 days and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 64 sits well clear of his official 55, though he is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Cisterna silks
Cisterna
Age 3 · 9-11
558020
58
54
59
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 7/1
Cisterna was unplaced last time out, but he did finish second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 20 days off. Winless in his last six, he carries 137 lb from stall 2, with our rating of 59 ranking him sixth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Little Miss P silks
Little Miss P
Age 4 · 9-8
078075
52
37
58
4
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1
Little Miss P is yet to win in her last six starts, though a fifth last time out, just 12 days ago, hints at a bit of improvement, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from stall 14, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 58 only seventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Unfamiliar silks
Unfamiliar
Age 3 · 9-4
851000
51
28
50
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Unplaced in her last three outings, she did win four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but a 68-day break and 130 lb from stall 13 make this a tall order, with her rating of 50 ranking tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Courtlough Gula silks
Courtlough Gula
Age 3 · 9-1
0-900
48
22
46
3
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Courtlough Gula is winless in her last four, unplaced last time out and a ninth three starts back, so she is hard to fancy off 127 lb from stall eight. She has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 11 days, but our rating of 46 ranks her 12th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

11
Movin And Groovin silks
Movin And Groovin
Age 4 · 9-1
75-137
45
44
54
4
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 FCST 10/1
Movin And Groovin was a seventh last time out after a third two starts back, and she won three starts back, so there is some ability in the book. She has run over today's trip and going, but 127 lb from draw 3 and a 32-day break leave plenty to prove, with our rating of 54 ranking her ninth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Draiocht silks
Draiocht
Age 6 · 8-10
-43695
40
43
38
6
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 7/1
Winless in his last five, Draiocht was fifth last time out a week ago, and a ninth two starts back shows how patchy he has been, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back is the pick of it, but our figures rank him last of 14 from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Manhattan Dandy silks
Manhattan Dandy
Age 9 · 8-10
683740
39
23
43
9
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 20/1 22/1
Manhattan Dandy is winless in his last six, unplaced last time and a fourth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy, though a third four starts back, a quick 12-day turnaround and experience of today's trip and going count for something. Ranked 13th of 14 on our figures, he runs from draw 12 with 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

14
Mogwli silks
Mogwli
Age 9 · 8-10
000084
38
42
47
9
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Mogwli is winless in his last six, with a fourth last time out the best of a poor bunch and unplaced efforts before that, so he is hard to fancy at 122 lb from stall four. He is quick back after four days and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 47 ranks him 11th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 La Tulipe Noire 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
2 Navagio 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
3 Big Bill 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Cosmic Funk 5/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1 Bet365
5 Zabriskie Point 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 13/2 Bet365
6 Brains 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 13/2 Bet365
7 Cisterna 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365
8 Little Miss P 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Unfamiliar 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Courtlough Gula 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 Bet365
11 Movin And Groovin 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
12 Draiocht 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
13 Manhattan Dandy 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Paddy Power
14 Mogwli 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Big Bill

Speculative

Big Bill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Aidan Melia Reese Holohan(5)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cosmic Funk

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · P J F Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Courtlough Gula

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · P Cluskey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Big Bill
46.5 11/2
2 4. Cosmic Funk
46.5 5/1
3 6. Brains
45.3 13/2
4 5. Zabriskie Point
42.9 13/2
5 7. Cisterna
42.7 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Cosmic Funk
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Big Bill FAV
Age 3 · 9-12
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 10 · 9-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-11
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 8-10
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 9 · 8-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 10-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

11
Age 4 · 9-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾 —

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 6 · 10-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 30 🐾 —

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cosmic Funk
Confidence: Speculative

Cosmic Funk (SR:59, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has been backed in 9% since opening, with Ben Coen — a jockey with an 11% strike rate from 1,887 rides — in the saddle. At 9-12, the weight is manageable against rivals carrying similar burdens. The form string 755644 is consistent without being flashy, but at this level of contest (SR range largely 22-59) that workmanlike consistency combined with the market confidence and top SR is enough to give a clear edge. The absence of a DistFit or GoingFit negative (both listed as ? or - for most rivals) is not an advantage unique to this horse, but the market appears to be siding with the three-year-old's upside potential in a field of mostly exposed, older plodders. Each-way alternative: Zabriskie Point. Main danger: Big Bill — Big Bill (SR:57, 6/1) is a lightly-raced three-year-old only 1 SR point behind Cosmic Funk with an unknown distance and going profile (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) that could conceal untapped ability, and ran just 7 days ago suggesting he is in a productive spell under trainer Aidan Melia (14% strike rate).

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer P J F Murphy has a strike rate of just 5% from 246 runners — the weakest handler strike rate among the leading fancies, suggesting limited stable form this season.
  • Form string 755644 shows Cosmic Funk has not finished better than 4th in its last four starts; no win or place in the placings column signals a horse that consistently underperforms its SR rating.
  • Big Bill (SR:57) ran just 7 days ago and arrives race-fit and fresh, carrying the same weight (9-12), and is trained by Aidan Melia whose 14% strike rate dwarfs Murphy's 5%.
  • Zabriskie Point was backed in 16% to Cosmic Funk's 9% and offers a more recent run (12 days) vs Cosmic Funk's 23-day absence, with virtually identical SR (55 vs 59) at the same weight.
Shortlist Cosmic Funk, Zabriskie Point, Big Bill, Brains
Each-way: Zabriskie Point Danger: Big Bill

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f111y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting