Roscommon 14:30 RESULTED
12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I) · 7f111y

Official Result

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zarenakarena (IRE) Colin Keane · Eddie & Patrick Harty
    16/1
  2. 40/1
  3. 66/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

Yarmouth

13:54–16:55 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Goldrush Kid silks
Goldrush Kid
Age 5 · 10-1
-85P10
59
64
75
5
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 10/3
Goldrush Kid won two starts back and returns just 12 days after an unplaced run, having run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 75 ranks him second of 15, and his official mark of 59 looks workable. The main risk is a patchy record, with a pulled up and an eighth in the other recent runs.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
The Bear Trap silks
The Bear Trap
Age 5 · 10-1
/50-40
59
49
76
5
10-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 14/1
Fit after just 12 days off, The Bear Trap has run over today's trip and on this going, and he is yet to win in his last four starts, with a fourth two starts back his best finish. Our 76 rating makes him the one to beat, running off 141 lb from stall 8 at an official mark of 59.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Alex Belardo silks
Alex Belardo
Age 5 · 10-0
621067
58
59
68
5
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Alex Belardo has had a win and a second in his last six starts, and he's run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 68 ranks him fourth of 15, 10 lb clear of his official mark of 58. The main risk is that he has finished seventh and sixth in his last two runs, while a stable cold spell (1/32 over 14 days) adds to the worry.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Buttermere Ridge silks
Buttermere Ridge
Age 5 · 9-13
974003
57
58
69
5
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 6/1
Buttermere Ridge showed his best form last time with a third, has run over today's trip and going, and returns fresh after 21 days; our rating of 68 ranks him third of 15, well clear of his official 57. The risk is that he is winless in his last six and carries 139 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ella's Gold silks
Ella's Gold
Age 3 · 9-11
230408
58
52
66
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 10/3 11/2
Ella's Gold has twice hit the frame in her last six, a second six starts back and a third five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, but she was eighth last time out and is yet to win in that spell. Our rating of 66 puts her fifth of 15, though 137 lb from draw 9 is no easy task.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Little Wing silks
Little Wing
Age 3 · 9-10
99000
57
28
59
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP 22/1 28/1
Winless in her last five, with a ninth four starts back and another ninth five starts back, Little Wing has been unplaced in her latest three, though she has run over today's trip and returns after 24 days. Carrying 136 lb from stall 14 off an official 57, she looks a midfield type, with our 59 ranking her ninth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Watercraft silks
Watercraft
Age 3 · 9-9
86-60
56
28
59
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 28/1
Winless in his last four, Watercraft was unplaced last time, with a sixth two starts back, another sixth three starts back and an eighth four starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and returns after 23 days, but carrying 135 lb from stall 15 off a mark of 56 leaves him with plenty to prove, though our 59 rating ranks him eighth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Blue Orquidea silks
Blue Orquidea
Age 3 · 9-8
5060
55
24
51
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Blue Orquidea is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and winless in her last four, with a sixth two starts back the pick of a modest run. She has run over today's trip and going and drops in at 134 lb from stall 13, but our rating of 51 ranks her 12th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Monocle Rocket silks
Monocle Rocket FAV
Age 3 · 9-4
50-207
51
63
66
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 5/1 7/2
Quick back-out after a seventh last time out four days ago, though Monocle Rocket was second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last five and carrying 130 lb from stall 11, he sits sixth on our rating of 66.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Zarenakarena silks
Zarenakarena
Age 4 · 9-4
900
48
39
49
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 15/2 11/1
Zarenakarena is winless in her last three, unplaced twice after a ninth three starts back, and returns after 33 days off. She has run over today's trip and carries 130 lb from draw 6, but our figures rank her last of 15.
AI verdict

SR 39 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Tamazu silks
Tamazu
Age 7 · 8-13
0/7-50
43
28
64
7
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 28/1
Tamazu is winless in his last four, finishing unplaced last time and a fifth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 20 days. Carrying 125 lb from draw 10 off an official 43, he looks a mid-pack type, with our rating of 64 ranking him seventh of 15.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

12
Dark Willow silks
Dark Willow
Age 6 · 8-11
0408-0
41
23
50
6
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 20/1 25/1
Dark Willow is winless in her last five, unplaced last time and beaten in all but a fourth four starts back, and she returns after 70 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, and an official mark of 41 helps, but our rating of 50 ranks her 13th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Sunday Sovereign silks
Sunday Sovereign
Age 9 · 8-11
8-0400
41
43
57
9
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 11/1
Winless in his last five, Sunday Sovereign was unplaced last time out just 12 days ago, with a fourth three starts back his best recent finish. He has run over today's trip and going and tops out at an official 41, though our 57 rating ranks him only tenth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

14
Kayamite silks
Kayamite
Age 4 · 8-10
87-080
40
22
49
4
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Kayamite is hard to fancy, winless in her last five with finishes of eighth and seventh among them, and she returns after 173 days off. She has run over today's trip and going before, though, and her official rating of 40 gives her a low base to work from from stall 7.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

15
Master Garvey silks
Master Garvey
Age 6 · 8-10
503970
36
46
52
6
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 FCST 8/1
Master Garvey is winless in his last six, with an unplaced effort last time out, a seventh and a ninth since, so he is hard to fancy after 41 days off. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows he can bounce back.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Goldrush Kid 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
2 The Bear Trap 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Alex Belardo 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Paddy Power
4 Buttermere Ridge 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 Bet365
5 Ella's Gold 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
6 Little Wing 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 Paddy Power
7 Watercraft 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Blue Orquidea 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Monocle Rocket 7/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Paddy Power
10 Zarenakarena 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power
11 Tamazu 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Dark Willow 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Sunday Sovereign 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
14 Kayamite 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
15 Master Garvey 9/1 open 9.50 8/1 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Monocle Rocket

Speculative

Monocle Rocket owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Daniel McLoughlin Ben Coen
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Alex Belardo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · John McConnell
✓ Value Signal

Watercraft

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · J P Flavin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Monocle Rocket
51.6 7/2
2 3. Alex Belardo
49.0 6/1
3 1. Goldrush Kid
47.8 4/1
4 5. Ella's Gold
44.2 11/2
5 4. Buttermere Ridge
43.8 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Goldrush Kid
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-1
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-11
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 10-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 6 · 8-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾 —

SR 39 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 10-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Age 9 · 8-11
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Goldrush Kid
Confidence: Speculative

Goldrush Kid (SR:64, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 10-1, giving it a weight edge over co-market leader Monocle Rocket (SR:63, 4/1) who is on just 9-4 but shows GoingFit:- and DistFit:- — no proven platform for today's soft ground over this trip. The decisive signal here is the market: Goldrush Kid has been backed in 33% since opening, a strong steamer in a 15-runner Class 6 handicap where insider confidence matters. McGuinness has Sam Coen (5) in the saddle over the stable's preferred runner (Stable:1), the yard's #1 ride confirmed by the jockey upgrade over The Bear Trap's Adam Caffrey. DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, but the SR lead, the weight advantage over the field, and the dramatic market move outweigh those flags at this level where the bar is low. Each-way alternative: Monocle Rocket. Main danger: Monocle Rocket — Monocle Rocket (SR:63, 4/1) is co-favourite, has been backed in 21%, carries a favourable 9-4, and has Ben Coen aboard — a jockey with a 11% strike rate over 1,887 rides — though its GoingFit:- on soft ground is the key reason it falls behind the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -85P10: the 'P' (pulled up) and '0' (last) in recent runs are alarming, and the '1' win came 12 days ago — before that the form is poor. No GoingFit or DistFit evidence means the soft Rosc…
  • GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are both flagged — in a 15-runner Class 6 handicap on soft ground, unproven suitability to both trip and conditions is a dual liability that the SR lead alone cannot offset.
  • Sam Coen (5) is a 5lb claimer with a 12% strike rate from only 427 rides — in a competitive 15-runner field the inexperience in traffic could be decisive, especially on testing soft ground requiring…
  • Monocle Rocket (SR:63, 4/1) has been backed in 21% and sits just 1lb behind on ratings, carries 6-4 less weight at 9-4, and ran only 4 days ago meaning fitness is sharp — it represents a live rival t…
Shortlist Goldrush Kid, Monocle Rocket, Alex Belardo
Each-way: Monocle Rocket Danger: Monocle Rocket

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f111y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting