Kempton (AW) 18:45 RESULTED
Class 3 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) · 1m

Official Result

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Organ (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Owen Burrows
    9/2
  2. Second Aqpan (IRE)
    4/1F
  3. 14/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Musselburgh

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16:12–20:15 · 9 races

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16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
First Principle silks
First Principle
Age 4 · 9-9
210060
90
80
94
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 17/2 8/1
First Principle has won once in his last six starts, a victory five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 94 ranks him fourth of 14 on a 135 lb burden from stall ten. The risk is fitness, with three unplaced runs in his last four outings and 93 days off since the latest.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Witch Hunter silks
Witch Hunter
Age 7 · 9-9
010600
90
63
97
7
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 18/1
Witch Hunter has a winner five starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 97 puts him second of 14 and he returns fresh after 23 days off. The risk is form since that success, with nothing better than a sixth in his last four runs.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Yorkshire silks
Yorkshire
Age 6 · 9-9
092307
90
95
97
6
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 13/2 11/2
Yorkshire is a threat on ratings, with our figure of 97 ranking him third of 14 and a third and a second in his last six, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a 17-day break. The risk is a seventh last time out and being yet to win in that stretch.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Caromb silks
Caromb
Age 4 · 9-8
-30549
89
67
89OR
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/2 22/1
Caromb is yet to win in his last five starts, with a third five runs back his best finish, and he returns after 147 days off following a ninth last time out. He's lightly raced and open to improvement, carrying 134 lb from draw 13.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Spell Master silks
Spell Master
Age 4 · 9-7
836730
88
82
92
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 10/1 8/1
Winless in his last six, Spell Master was unplaced last time out but has a third two starts back and another five starts back to lean on, and he has run over today's trip. Carrying 133 lb from stall 11, he's 16 days since his last run, and our rating of 92 only ranks him sixth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Aqpan silks
Aqpan FAV
Age 3 · 9-6
687908
90
94
99
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 7/2
Aqpan is our top-rated runner, and while he's winless in his last six, with an eighth last time out, he's fresh enough after 16 days and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 99 sits well clear of his official 90, and he carries 132 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Racingbreaks Ryder silks
Racingbreaks Ryder
Age 6 · 9-5
-81183
86
92
89
6
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 15/2 14/1
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, Racingbreaks Ryder has some recent form to lean on, and he has run over today's trip and on the going. Even so, he's hard to fancy: an eighth two starts back, 42 days off and 131 lb from draw 3, with our rating of 89 ranking him only 11th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
I'm Workin On It silks
I'm Workin On It
Age 4 · 9-5
412044
86
82
88
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 6/1 12/1
I'm Workin On It has finished fourth in his last two starts and has won once in his last six, a victory five starts back, so he looks short of the sharpest form. He has run over today's trip and going and has a second four starts back, but 131 lb from draw 14 and a 37-day break make him hard to fancy, with our rating of 88 ranking him 12th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
One More silks
One More
Age 4 · 9-5
2-0815
86
65
89
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 20/1 40/1
Fifth last time out and a long 189 days off the track, so fitness is a worry for this gelding, whose win came two starts back and was followed by a fifth; he has run over today's trip and on the going, which is a plus, but our rating has him tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Star Anthem silks
Star Anthem
Age 4 · 9-5
08-007
86
85
91
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 17/2
Star Anthem is winless in his last five, with a seventh last time out and nothing better than that in the spell, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 37 days off. Our rating of 91 sits above his official 86, but carrying 131 lb from stall one is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Fantastic Fox silks
Fantastic Fox
Age 8 · 9-5
570-01
86
87
90
8
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
16/1 11/4 14/1
Fantastic Fox won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he was unplaced in the two starts before that and returns after 79 days off. Carrying 131 lb from stall four, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 90 ranking him ninth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Organ silks
Organ
Age 4 · 9-4
00-423
85
95
83
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/4 7/2
Organ is winless in his last five, though a third last time out and a second two starts back show he's competitive, and he has run over today's trip. A 114-day break, 130 lb from draw 2 and a ranking of 13th of 14 on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Crack On Boys silks
Crack On Boys
Age 4 · 9-4
156-89
85
68
91
4
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1
Crack On Boys has run over today's trip and going, but he has finished ninth, eighth, sixth and fifth in his last four after a win five starts back, and returns from 234 days off. Our rating of 91 is some support, though 130 lb from draw 9 is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

14
Archer Royal silks
Archer Royal
Age 3 · 9-4
7-7085
88
70
93
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 12/1 15/2
Archer Royal is winless in his last five, though a fifth last time out is his best finish in that run, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 44-day break and 130 lb are against him, but the yard's 10 from 35 in the last fortnight and our rating of 93 offer support.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 First Principle 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 Coral
2 Witch Hunter 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 26.00 22/1 Coral
3 Yorkshire 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Caromb 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 6.50 28/1 open 8.50 28/1 open 8.50 22/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 10.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Spell Master 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Coral
6 Aqpan 4/1 open 13.00 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 4/1 open 13.00 7/2 open 6.50 9/2 Coral
7 Racingbreaks Ryder 18/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 Bet365
8 I'm Workin On It 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Coral
9 One More 66/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
10 Star Anthem 11/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
11 Fantastic Fox 16/1 open 3.75 14/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 4.50 16/1 open 4.50 16/1 open 3.75 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 Bet365
12 Organ 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 3.75 5/1 Coral
13 Crack On Boys 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 20/1 Coral
14 Archer Royal 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 21.00 9/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Aqpan

Live signal

Aqpan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yorkshire

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

One More

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Chelsea Banham
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Aqpan
61.4 4/1
2 3. Yorkshire
56.0 6/1
3 12. Organ
55.6 4/1
4 1. First Principle
52.1 8/1
5 5. Spell Master
51.3 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Yorkshire
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Aqpan FAV
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 4 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 8 · 9-5
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 9-5
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 9-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Age 7 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Yorkshire
Confidence: Speculative

Yorkshire (SR:95, 13/2) ties for the top SR in the field alongside Organ, but carries 9-9 versus Organ's 9-4 — that 5lb pull is significant on an AW mile. Critically, Yorkshire has a confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good to soft conditions, while Organ's GoingFit:? leaves a real unknown stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1). Yorkshire also holds a course win at Kempton (Course:W1P1), has been backed from its opening price (Mkt:in9%), and the MarkMv:-5 means the handicapper has handed back ground. Billy Loughnane (18% career SR) is a strong booking, and Edward Bethell's 17% strike rate is competitive at this level. The recent form 092307 shows inconsistency but the tongue-tie (HG:t) and the drop back in mark suggest connections are targeting a return to form today. Each-way alternative: Aqpan. Main danger: Organ — Organ (SR:95, 11/4 favourite, Mkt:in30%) shares the top SR, carries a favourable 9-4, and connections have backed it firmly — the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and unproven going (GoingFit:?) are the only reasons to oppose it, and the market clearly believes those concerns are manageable.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form 092307 shows Yorkshire has finished 7th, 3rd, 2rd, 0th, 9th, 2nd — the last run was a 7th and recent form is deeply inconsistent, with only one placing in the last four starts.
  • Kempton AW is an all-weather surface; 'good to soft' GoingFit:+ likely refers to turf form, but this race is on the AW Polytrack where going descriptions are irrelevant, undermining the GoingFit adva…
  • Aqpan (SR:94) is only 1 SR point behind, carries 3lb less, is a 3yo getting the age allowance, is backed in 40% with a Stable:1 flag and Roger Varian's 20% strike rate — a materially stronger market…
  • Tongue-tie applied first time (HG:t) is a concern, not a positive — it signals Yorkshire has had a breathing or behavioural issue serious enough to intervene, and first-time headgear adds an unknown…
Shortlist Yorkshire, Organ, Aqpan, Star Anthem
Each-way: Aqpan Danger: Organ

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade