HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race · 2m0f180y
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 40 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Murat | 15/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.00 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Ragmans Corner | 2/1 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Samui | 9/4 open 2.50 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.50 | 5/2 open 2.38 | 11/4 Paddy Power |
| 4 Can Happen | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Glowing Account | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Silas Marner | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Simpletwistoffaith | 250/1 open 201.00 | 300/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 300/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Supreme Law | 250/1 | 300/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 300/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Samui owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Murat (SR 87, 5/2) carries 11-11 as topweight but brings the key asset in this amateur/QR contest: proven distance form (DistFit:+) on good ground, with a recent form line of 7-1 showing a decisive last-time-out win just 43 days ago. Peter Lawlor's yard runs at a respectable 14% and Mr H C Swan posts 15% on 157 rides, both solid for this sphere. Samui holds the highest SR (109) but has drifted 15% in the market and hasn't raced in 405 days — a 13-month absence is a major red flag regardless of ability, and the trip is unproven (DistFit:?). Ragmans Corner (SR 94, 2/1) is the market rival but carries a MarkMv:-46 which tells us the handicapper has lowered expectations significantly, reflecting a poor recent sequence of 3-3-3-0-8; the 6% market support is noted but modest. Murat's last-time-out win at this trip, combined with the most relevant recent form in the field, makes it the clearest selection. Each-way alternative: Ragmans Corner. Main danger: Ragmans Corner — Ragmans Corner (SR 94, 2/1) is the market favourite with a 6% move in, holds the second-best SR in the field, and the MarkMv:-46 drop gives it a very lenient current mark — if the recent poor run of 3-3-3-0-8 was going or trip-related rather than permanent decline, it bounces here at a very winnable weight of 11-7.