Racing Welfare Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Beguiled | 4/7 open 1.80 | 8/15 open 1.57 | 8/15 open 1.62 | 8/15 open 1.62 | 4/7 | 8/15 open 1.57 | 4/7 Bet365 |
| 2 Give Me A Bow | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Jessica | 11/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Late Night Show | 15/2 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Show Me Glory | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Woollahra | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Zirconic | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beguiled owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Beguiled (SR 158, 4/7) is the clear class leader in this field, rated 6 points above the next-best Jessica (SR 152) and commanding a 17-point advantage over the unraced maiden Show Me Glory and Woollahra. The John & Thady Gosden yard operates at a 24% strike rate from 766 runners — one of the shrewdest operations in British racing — and Billy Loughnane at 19% on 1,761 rides is in excellent nick. Crucially, Beguiled is stepping DOWN a class (ClassMv:↓1), which in a fillies' novice over 7f at Newmarket July should translate to a straightforward exercise, and the market has tightened a further 5% since opening, confirming stable confidence. The sole concern is a single run showing a third-place finish, but in the context of dropping in class against predominantly unraced rivals, that experience advantage is decisive. Each-way alternative: Jessica. Main danger: Jessica — Jessica (SR 152, 11/2) has steamed in 35% from opening — by far the most dramatic market move in the field — suggesting Kevin Philippart De Foy's yard holds this filly in high regard, and at 11/2 she represents the only realistic SR-backed threat to Beguiled.