Killarney 19:50 RESULTED
21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Killarney Towers Hotel & Leisure Centre Apprentice Handicap

Killarney Towers Hotel & Leisure Centre Apprentice Handicap · 1m6f80y

Official Result

Killarney Towers Hotel & Leisure Centre Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Trubshaw (GB) Gabriella Hill · Henry De Bromhead
    7/1
  2. 13/8F
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lady Plimsoll silks
Lady Plimsoll
Age 4 · 10-0
62-332
70
74
77
4
10-0
13/8 11/4 31/19
Consistent and well-treated on her last five starts, Lady Plimsoll has run over today's trip and going and arrives just three days after finishing second, suggesting she is in good heart; winless in recent starts, she must convert her placings, but on a rating of 77 she tops these ratings.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Trubshaw silks
Trubshaw
Age 4 · 9-10
1-8067
66
55
70
4
9-10
9/1 12/1 17/2
Trubshaw's win came five starts back and he carries 136 lb into this, but he has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 puts him as a genuine threat here; the risk is that his recent form has been well below that level.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Jurality silks
Jurality
Age 5 · 9-6
321258
62
47
62
5
9-6
14/1 12/1 10/1
Beaten into eighth last time out and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Jurality is hard to fancy against this field despite the experience over today's trip and going, and a win in his last six starts; a trainer without a winner in 25 attempts over the past fortnight compounds the concern.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Numidia silks
Numidia
Age 8 · 9-6
078118
62
58
66
8
9-6
11/1 7/1 10/1
Numidia won two of his last six starts and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround having run over today's trip and going before, but that eighth last time out is a concern, and 132 lb is no easy burden for a horse rated 62 officially.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Charlie Brow'n silks
Charlie Brow'n
Age 6 · 9-4
5515-7
60
33
67
6
9-4
12/1 16/1 17/2
Charlie Brow'n won three starts back and returns in good order on 16 days' rest, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; the risk is that he has to prove his two subsequent outings were just blips.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Chicago Moon silks
Chicago Moon
Age 3 · 9-1
93751
66
71
66
3
9-1
4/1 3/1 4/1
Chicago Moon won last time out and has going experience to call on, but her three starts before that return just one third from four, and 39 days off the track leaves a fitness question to weigh against her recent peak.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Espritroyale silks
Espritroyale
Age 3 · 9-0
-56522
65
68
69
3
9-0
15/2 9/2 15/2
Espritroyale has finished second in each of her last two starts and arrives here 21 days fresh, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour; a trainer firing at 35% over the past fortnight is a serious booster, though she remains yet to win and that final step up may again prove the stumbling block.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Desert Friend silks
Desert Friend
Age 10 · 8-13
919044
55
34
64
10
8-13
SP 22/1 33/1
Desert Friend showed up with a win five starts back but has finished fourth twice and unplaced in between, making his recent form inconsistent; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 125 lb, and returns after 25 days off.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Celestially silks
Celestially
Age 3 · 8-11
040632
62
62
63
3
8-11
6/1 5/1 6/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Celestially is hard to fancy despite being placed two of her last three outings; she has run over today's trip and going before, and her 37-day absence suggests she returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Queen Of Astolat silks
Queen Of Astolat
Age 3 · 8-7
8-6338
56
44
61
3
8-7
28/1 16/1 25/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Queen Of Astolat faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a fresh enough 16-day break.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lady Plimsoll 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 7/4 Betfred
2 Trubshaw 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 19.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Jurality 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
4 Numidia 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Charlie Brow'n 12/1 open 23.00 17/2 open 17.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Chicago Moon 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Espritroyale 15/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 Paddy Power
8 Desert Friend 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Celestially 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 Paddy Power
10 Queen Of Astolat 28/1 open 19.00 30/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Chicago Moon

Speculative

Chicago Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Henry De Bromhead Conor Cusack(7)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Plimsoll

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · M D O'Callaghan
✓ Value Signal

Queen Of Astolat

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Chicago Moon
51.4 4/1
2 1. Lady Plimsoll
51.4 13/8
3 7. Espritroyale
44.6 15/2
4 9. Celestially
44.1 6/1
5 4. Numidia
43.0 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Plimsoll
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 8-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Age 8 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-4
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 33 🐾

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Age 5 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Plimsoll
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Plimsoll (SR 74, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR, carrying 10-0 but enjoying a significant ability edge over the next-best Chicago Moon (SR 71) and Espritroyale (SR 68). The decisive signal is a 20% market move inward — serious money has arrived in the last few hours despite the modest prize and apprentice context. Form of 62-332 is consistent for the level, and O'Callaghan's yard at 10% strike rate is respectable. The GoingFit:- flag is a genuine concern, but no rival has a confirmed positive going record either — most show '-' or '?' — so this negates the disadvantage across the field. The 3-day turnaround is tight but trainers rarely run horses back so quickly at a small meeting unless confidence is high. Each-way alternative: Chicago Moon. Main danger: Chicago Moon — Chicago Moon (SR 71, 3/1) has a course record of W1P1 at Killarney, the only runner with proven course form, carries a feather 9-1, and De Bromhead's top apprentice booking on the yard's #1 runner makes this a genuine alternative if the course specialist edge matters over a stayer's trip.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- at Killarney tonight is a genuine unresolved question — Lady Plimsoll carries top weight of 10-0 and an unfavourable going profile could disproportionately blunt her SR advantage over ligh…
  • 3-day turnaround after a race is extremely tight; form of 62-332 shows she finished 3rd last time, and a horse returning so quickly without a win may simply not have fully recovered to reproduce her…
  • Chicago Moon (SR 71, 3/1) is 3yo with a course record of W1P1 at Killarney and is trained by De Bromhead at 14% strike rate — a significantly stronger trainer/course combination that the primary pick…
  • Apprentice jockey Reese Holohan (10%, 144 rides) on a top-weight in a competitive mixed-age field is a navigational risk; the 10-0 burden combined with inexperience could prove costly in a competitiv…
Shortlist Lady Plimsoll, Chicago Moon, Espritroyale, Celestially
Each-way: Chicago Moon Danger: Chicago Moon

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m6f80y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting