Killarney 17:47 RESULTED
21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August CSG Rated Race

CSG Rated Race · 1m0f30y

Official Result

CSG Rated Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Manton Bay (IRE) Luke McAteer · David Marnane
    13/8F
  2. 14/1
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mayflower silks
Mayflower
Age 3 · 10-0
1-6657
88
83
95
3
10-0
10/1 15/2 9/1
Mayflower landed a win in her last five starts and has experience of today's trip and going, giving her a solid foundation here; a run of mid-field finishes since is the slight concern, though her rating of 95 marks her as the one to beat from stall four carrying 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Do For Love silks
Do For Love
Age 3 · 9-13
45-166
87
66
87OR
3
9-13
33/1 28/1 33/1
Lightly raced and open to improvement, Do For Love won three starts back and, returning from 127 days off carrying 139 lb from stall two, she remains a filly with untapped potential.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kirkland Sioux silks
Kirkland Sioux
Age 3 · 9-13
757110
87
83
69
3
9-13
6/1 4/1 6/1
Kirkland Sioux has won twice in her last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs back, and has experience over today's trip and going, but she was unplaced last time out and her rating of 69 leaves her with plenty to find on these terms.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Manton Bay silks
Manton Bay
Age 3 · 9-13
1-3282
87
98
88
3
9-13
15/8 32/17 7/4
Manton Bay catches the eye with a second last time out and a winner five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before — the main risk is carrying 139 lb from stall seven on a mark of 87.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Oscar Nominee silks
Oscar Nominee
Age 3 · 9-10
12
84
72
67
3
9-10
10/1 15/2 10/1
Oscar Nominee showed fair recent form — a winner two starts back and runner-up last time — but 165 days off the track is a significant fitness concern, and our rating of 67 leaves her well below the top end of this field.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Iamimmaculate silks
Iamimmaculate
Age 3 · 9-9
012-42
83
97
84
3
9-9
3/1 10/3 3/1
Iamimmaculate has shown consistent form in recent starts, finishing second last time out and a winner four starts back, and he has experience of today's distance and going. Carrying 135 lb from stall three is the chief weight query for a gelding rated 83.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Totally Puzzled silks
Totally Puzzled
Age 3 · 9-8
6-01
82
71
67
3
9-8
15/2 13/2 15/2
Totally Puzzled faces a stiff task on our figures, ranked seventh of eight in the field, though she does bring a win from her last three starts and has run over today's distance and going before; the 96-day absence is a further concern.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Elmakaya silks
Elmakaya
Age 3 · 9-7
7234
81
74
73
3
9-7
8/1 17/2 8/1
Elmakaya has been knocking on the door, finishing second and then third in her last two starts before a fourth last time out, and she has experience of today's distance and going; the main concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mayflower 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
2 Do For Love 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
3 Kirkland Sioux 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Manton Bay 15/8 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
5 Oscar Nominee 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Iamimmaculate 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 10/3 3/1 open 4.50 10/3 William Hill
7 Totally Puzzled 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 William Hill
8 Elmakaya 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Iamimmaculate

Speculative

Iamimmaculate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Gerard O'Leary Shane Foley
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Manton Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · David Marnane
✓ Value Signal

Do For Love

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · K J Condon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Iamimmaculate
58.6 3/1
2 4. Manton Bay
57.3 15/8
3 3. Kirkland Sioux
53.0 6/1
4 8. Elmakaya
52.0 8/1
5 1. Mayflower
51.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Manton Bay
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-13
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 98 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-13
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 10-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Manton Bay
Confidence: Speculative

Manton Bay leads the field on SR (98) and carries 9-13 — level with Kirkland Sioux but with a far cleaner recent form line (1-3282 vs Kirkland Sioux's MarkMv:+11 penalty). Crucially, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's mile trip on good ground, and the market has shortened 5% since opening rather than drifting, suggesting stable confidence. David Marnane's yard runs at 8% but Luke McAteer (7% overall) is the booked jockey; the real endorsement is the market move in — small but meaningful in a field where every other major runner has drifted. Iamimmaculate (SR 97) is the sole credible rival on ability, but the DistFit:? flag means unproven at the trip, and its market support (in 7%) is partially offset by Gerard O'Leary's modest 7% stable strike rate versus Marnane's competitive yard. Each-way alternative: Iamimmaculate. Main danger: Iamimmaculate — Iamimmaculate matches Manton Bay almost identically on SR (97 vs 98), carries 4lb less at 9-9, and has shortened 7% in the market — Shane Foley's experience (11%, 891 runners) could exploit that weight advantage if the mile trip suits on the day.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 1-3282 — two consecutive defeats including a 8th-place finish, with no win in the current campaign; momentum is running away from this horse, not towards it.
  • Marnane 8% strike rate and McAteer 7% are both well below the field's top connections; JP O'Brien (16%) with DBM (15%) on Kirkland Sioux and JPMurtagh (11%) with Ben Coen represent materially superio…
  • 29 days since last run is the longest absence among the market principles; Iamimmaculate (19 days) and Kirkland Sioux (23 days) are both sharper and more race-ready heading into today.
  • Kirkland Sioux carries the same 9-13 weight but has a recent winning run (form ending 10) and has drifted only because of a penalty — that drift may be an overreaction, leaving the pick exposed at a…
Shortlist Manton Bay, Iamimmaculate, Kirkland Sioux
Each-way: Iamimmaculate Danger: Iamimmaculate

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m0f30y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting