Killarney 18:20 RESULTED
Class 1 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) · 1m0f30y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jagged Edge (IRE) Jack Kearney · Stephen Thorne
    7/2
  2. 3/1
  3. 11/8F
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cristal Clere silks
Cristal Clere
Age 8 · 9-9
251-96
99
72
102
8
9-9
50/1 25/1 50/1
Cristal Clere landed a winner three starts back but has since finished ninth and sixth, and 63 days off the track raises freshness questions; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall nine is the challenge he faces returning to form.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
East Hampton silks
East Hampton
Age 4 · 9-9
60-256
107
96
114
4
9-9
20/1 11/1 20/1
East Hampton shaped with promise when second three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 114 that ranks him ahead of all rivals, makes him a leading danger; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and must bounce back from a pair of disappointing efforts.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jagged Edge silks
Jagged Edge
Age 4 · 9-9
0-1030
103
102
107
4
9-9
4/1 FCST 7/2
Jagged Edge shaped with promise when third two starts back and landed a win four starts back, and at 135 lb from stall 2 he retains solid claims on today's distance and going — the risk is that two unplaced efforts since that victory leave his form looking patchy.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Carolina Jetstream silks
Carolina Jetstream
Age 4 · 9-4
140268
105
105
105
4
9-4
5/2 3/1 7/4
A second three starts back and a winner six starts back in recent form, Carolina Jetstream brings distance and going experience into this, and her official rating of 105 makes her a genuine threat from stall one carrying 130 lb; the concern is a 55-day absence and two modest efforts since that placed finish.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Quebec silks
Quebec
Age 4 · 9-4
638-80
97
65
88
4
9-4
50/1 33/1 50/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Quebec arrives 89 days since her last run and has shown little encouragement recently, with back-to-back eighths and an unplaced effort; a third four starts back is the sole bright spot, and distance and going experience offers limited consolation.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Rion Rubette silks
Rion Rubette
Age 4 · 9-4
-81102
91
82
87
4
9-4
25/1 18/1 25/1
Rion Rubette shaped well on her latest start with a second, but an unplaced effort two starts back and our figures ranking her tenth of eleven make her hard to fancy, though she does return fit on 14 days' rest and has experience over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Subsonic silks
Subsonic
Age 4 · 9-4
1-3874
92
70
100
4
9-4
25/1 22/1 25/1
Subsonic has experience over today's trip and conditions and showed she can win in recent starts, but four of her last five outings have yielded a fourth, seventh, eighth and third, suggesting consistency remains elusive; the 130 lb burden does her no favours either.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Syzygy silks
Syzygy
Age 4 · 9-4
-33624
98
87
98
4
9-4
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, Syzygy showed she can mix it when second two starts back, though a sixth three starts back tempers enthusiasm; she has run over today's distance and going, and 130 lb from stall four is the challenge to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Hardy Warrior silks
Hardy Warrior
Age 3 · 9-3
4-1344
104
114
108
3
9-3
15/8 31/19 7/4
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Moonlit Sun silks
Moonlit Sun
Age 3 · 8-12
314
90
94
95
3
8-12
13/2 5/1 13/2
Moonlit Sun won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing she can mix it at this level, and she has experience over today's trip and conditions; however, a stable operating at just 3% in the past fortnight is a significant concern, and her fourth last time out suggests she has questions to answer.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Wearing Stars silks
Wearing Stars
Age 3 · 8-12
-49242
79
58
74
3
8-12
33/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Wearing Stars faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and draws stall three carrying 124 lb.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cristal Clere 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 Paddy Power
2 East Hampton 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 Paddy Power
3 Jagged Edge 4/1 7/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
4 Carolina Jetstream 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.00 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 7/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 5/2 Bet365
5 Quebec 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Rion Rubette 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Paddy Power
7 Subsonic 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 28/1 Paddy Power
8 Syzygy 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 18/1 Paddy Power
9 Hardy Warrior 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.75 7/4 2/1 William Hill
10 Moonlit Sun 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 William Hill
11 Wearing Stars 33/1 open 26.00 35/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 35/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hardy Warrior

Live signal

Hardy Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jagged Edge

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Stephen Thorne
✓ Value Signal

Rion Rubette

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Michael Butler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Hardy Warrior
63.1 15/8
2 3. Jagged Edge
57.8 4/1
3 4. Carolina Jetstream
57.2 5/2
4 10. Moonlit Sun
54.1 13/2
5 8. Syzygy
47.1 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hardy Warrior
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-3
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-12
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hardy Warrior
Confidence: Speculative

Hardy Warrior (SR 114, 7/4) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin — 9 points clear of Carolina Jetstream (SR 105) — and carries the lightest weight of any competitive runner at 9-3, a meaningful edge in a Listed contest. As the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard's designated number-one (ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle, the yard's premium jockey booking at 15% career strike rate versus McDonogh on stable companion Quebec at 8%), all stable signals point here. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip, the mark has dropped 3lb since last win (MarkMv:-3 is a positive), and while GoingFit:? reflects limited good-ground data, nothing in the form string (4-1344) suggests a ground-sensitive profile. The market at 7/4 is the shortest price in the field and there has been no drift — money is confident. Each-way alternative: Carolina Jetstream. Main danger: Carolina Jetstream — Carolina Jetstream (SR 105, 5/1) has DistFit:+ AND GoingFit:+ — the only runner in the field with both confirmed — and carries just 9-4, with trainer Robson De Aguiar posting a healthy 14% strike rate; the MarkMv:+13 is a concern but the going and trip fit are the strongest in the race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Hardy Warrior's last three runs are 3-4-4, suggesting a horse that has plateaued or is finding its ceiling after an early win — the form string shows no win in four starts since the victory.
  • GoingFit:? is a real flag for a Listed contest at Killarney in August where good ground is typical; limited data on this surface introduces genuine uncertainty for a horse being backed at a short pri…
  • HG:tp (tongue-tie) is already applied, meaning this gear has likely already been factored into the rating — no further headgear upgrade available if the horse disappoints again.
  • Moonlit Sun (SR:94, 3yo, 8-12) is lightly raced with a Form:314 and receives 5lb from Hardy Warrior; a progressive 3yo still on the upgrade with a top handler (Harrington) could outperform the rating…
Shortlist Hardy Warrior, Carolina Jetstream, Jagged Edge, Moonlit Sun
Each-way: Carolina Jetstream Danger: Carolina Jetstream

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f30y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade