Robert Gilbert Birthday Celebration Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.
SR 122 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Chan Noir | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 2 Hello You Ten | 20/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Kaboom | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Thanks Harry | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 5 Lowcountry | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Storm Force Ten | 80/1 open 51.00 | 90/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 90/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Fillipas | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Spirit Of Lyra | 4/9 open 1.80 | 1/2 | 2/5 open 1.73 | 2/5 open 1.73 | 4/11 open 1.67 | 1/2 open 1.67 | 1/2 Paddy Power |
| 9 Christmas Is Comin | 66/1 open 51.00 | 70/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 70/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Mr Montgomery | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Reece's Call | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Inmyopinion | 40/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Pent Up Charm | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Vera Lemon | 125/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 200/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thanks Harry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thanks Harry (SR:149, 7/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside the most credible market price, and his rating edges Chan Noir (SR:148) while sitting 5lb lighter than the equivalent comparison would suggest at 9-7 versus Chan Noir's identical weight — though the decisive factor is jockey and stable context. Tom Dascombe runs a 12% yard and the form string '72' shows a competitive second on the back of a wide run, a clear step forward from debut. Chan Noir (SR:148, 6/1) is the closest SR rival but has drifted 17% in the market, a meaningful signal of market disillusionment, while Thanks Harry holds the top AI star rating at ★★★★☆ which no other shortlisted horse matches. Spirit Of Lyra is the obvious fly in the ointment as a 4/5 favourite, but her SR of just 90 — well below the 120 workmanlike threshold — is alarming for market leadership, and her recent '41' form at the same class provides no evidence she can match horses rated 50-60 points above her. Each-way alternative: Fillipas. Main danger: Chan Noir — Chan Noir carries an SR of 148 — essentially level with Thanks Harry — drops a class, and despite the 17% drift may simply have been backed off-course, with Jane Chapple-Hyam's form record giving him a legitimate each-way chance at 6/1.