Ffos Las 17:02 RESULTED
Class 6 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes

Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes · 1m3f209y

Official Result

Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dream Of Ithaca (GB) Liam Wright · John Gallagher
    6/1
  2. 9/4F
  3. Third Adrian (GER)
    14/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cogital silks
Cogital
Age 11 · 9-9
83-953
52
50
58
11
9-9
12/1 13/2 11/1
Placed third last time out and third again four starts back, Cogital shows enough consistency in recent starts to appeal here, and he returns fresh after 52 days with experience of today's trip and conditions — winless in his last five, but the overall profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Virtual Hug silks
Virtual Hug
Age 8 · 9-8
641344
51
56
56
8
9-8
6/1 4/1 9/2
Virtual Hug brings solid fitness on 24 days' absence and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, with a win and a third in recent starts giving him a live each-way profile; the worry is he has finished fourth in three of his last six starts, suggesting consistency remains the risk.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Buck Barrow silks
Buck Barrow
Age 4 · 9-8
067133
51
61
59
4
9-8
9/2 4/1 11/4
Buck Barrow catches the eye as one of the highest-rated runners in the field, arriving in solid nick with consecutive thirds last two outings and a win three starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the concern is that his official mark of 51 leaves him shouldering 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Master Dancer silks
Master Dancer
Age 9 · 9-7
-96308
50
37
51
9
9-7
12/1 11/1 8/1
Winless in his last five starts, Master Dancer does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third three starts back shows he can find the frame; however, that eighth last time out after a 46-day break, combined with a lowly official mark of 50, leaves him hard to enthuse over.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Adrian silks
Adrian
Age 9 · 9-7
308-62
50
44
55
9
9-7
14/1 11/2 12/1
Adrian shaped with promise when second last time out, and he has experience of today's distance and going to call upon; winless in his last five starts is the concern, as is the 78-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Atalanta Mist silks
Atalanta Mist
Age 3 · 9-1
-53323
53
60
55
3
9-1
11/4 5/2 11/4
Consistently placed in recent starts — third last time out, and a placed effort in four of her last five — Atalanta Mist has experience of today's trip and going, though 44 days off the track and a mark of 53 leave her with something to prove.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Saxophonic silks
Saxophonic
Age 3 · 9-0
0-3864
52
55
55
3
9-0
4/1 7/2 4/1
Winless in his last five starts, Saxophonic at least has experience over today's trip and a modest 29-day turnaround keeping him fresh, though a fourth last time out and a string of modest efforts before that suggest he faces a stiff ask from 126 lb off a mark of 52.
AI verdict

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Dream Of Ithaca silks
Dream Of Ithaca
Age 3 · 9-0
-45581
52
50
49
3
9-0
15/2 7/2 15/2
Beaten in three of her last four starts before winning last time out, Dream Of Ithaca arrives on a quick turnaround but that victory is the solitary bright spot in a patchy recent spell, and a rating of 49 ranked eighth of ten makes her hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Emerald Reine silks
Emerald Reine
Age 3 · 8-10
779
48
23
47
3
8-10
33/1 16/1 33/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Emerald Reine has tumbled down the field on each recent outing and 86 days off the track adds a fitness query, though she has run over today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Beau Chevalier silks
Beau Chevalier
Age 3 · 8-7
-95800
45
18
36
3
8-7
100/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Beau Chevalier faces a stiff task, though a 12-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh and the 119 lb burden is at least manageable.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cogital 12/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Virtual Hug 6/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 5/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Buck Barrow 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Master Dancer 12/1 open 26.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Adrian 14/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 16/1 Paddy Power
6 Atalanta Mist 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 Paddy Power
7 Saxophonic 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 4/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Coral
8 Dream Of Ithaca 15/2 open 4.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 Paddy Power
9 Emerald Reine 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Beau Chevalier 100/1 open 51.00 70/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saxophonic

Speculative

Saxophonic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 David Simcock Luke Morris
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Atalanta Mist

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Marcus Tregoning
✓ Value Signal

Beau Chevalier

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Ed de Giles
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
26 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Saxophonic
48.4 4/1
2 6. Atalanta Mist
46.8 11/4
3 3. Buck Barrow
45.4 9/2
4 2. Virtual Hug
44.9 6/1
5 8. Dream Of Ithaca
44.3 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Buck Barrow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-1
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 9-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 11 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 9-7
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 9 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Buck Barrow
Confidence: Medium

Buck Barrow (SR:61, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 27% in the market — the strongest move of any runner — suggesting informed confidence. DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at this trip, a rare and decisive edge in a field where most rivals show DistFit:? or worse. The form string 067133 shows three consecutive placed or winning efforts, with the rightmost '3' indicating a recent placed run, and at only 4 years old this horse has room to improve further. Adrian Wintle (11% strike rate, 409 runners) is a competent handler and Finley Marsh (12%, 844 runners) is a reliable booking; weight of 9-8 is manageable for the SR advantage held over the field. Each-way alternative: Atalanta Mist. Main danger: Atalanta Mist — Atalanta Mist (SR:60, 10/3 favourite) carries just 9-1 — 7lb less than Buck Barrow — and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground well, giving her a real weight-and-going combination that could overhaul the pick.

Case against 4
  • Atalanta Mist (SR:60, 10/3 market leader) is nearly equally rated, 3 years younger's weight advantage of 8-9 lbs over Buck Barrow, and has shown consistent placing form -53323 — she is shorter in the…
  • Buck Barrow's HG:p (preferred going: good/soft) is unconfirmed for today's conditions at Ffos Las — if the ground is firmer or softer than preferred, the DistFit:+ edge could be undermined.
  • Form string 067133 shows two early zeros and a 6 — the recent improvement trend may be flattered by a drop in class or easier opposition; the MarkMv of only +1 suggests handicapper is not convinced o…
  • Adrian Wintle (11% strike rate) and Finley Marsh (12%) are modest statistics in a race where rival trainers David Simcock (10%) and Marcus Tregoning (5% but 3-star rating) could field sharper prepara…
Shortlist Buck Barrow, Atalanta Mist, Virtual Hug, Cogital
Each-way: Atalanta Mist Danger: Atalanta Mist

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m3f209y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Ffos Las Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade