Belvedere House & Gardens Handicap Steeplechase · 3m1f180y
SR 105 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Charlie Luciano | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 A Wave Of The Sea | 17/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Ceanndana | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 4 Koori Star | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Ira Hayes | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Scalpnagoon | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Granville Street | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Ad Caelum | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 The Dara Man | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Charlie Luciano owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Scalpnagoon (SR 104, 6/1) is the most compelling combination of signals in this modest field. Trained by Gordon Elliott (15% strike rate, 1,739 runners — the dominant yard in Irish NH racing) and ridden by Jack Kennedy (19% strike rate, 621 runners), this is comfortably the strongest connections pairing in the race. The horse carries 11-5 — 7lb lighter than top-weight Charlie Luciano — which is a meaningful advantage over 3m1f. GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground, and a recent form line of 223423 shows genuine consistency without winning; at 6/1 the market hasn't fully priced in the Elliott/Kennedy combination firing at a €12,000 handicap chase at Kilbeggan. The tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections are trying something specific to unlock a win. Each-way alternative: Ad Caelum. Main danger: Charlie Luciano — Charlie Luciano (SR 105, 4/1) has course form (W1P1 at Kilbeggan), GoingFit:+, and Noel Meade is a capable handler — despite the drift and top-weight burden of 11-12, the course specialisation on confirmed good ground is a genuine threat.