Newmarket (July) 16:20 RESULTED
Class 4 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f0y

Official Result

End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zurna (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett
    9/2
  2. 4/1
  3. Third Patrol (IRE)
    13/2
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rizal silks
Rizal
Age 4 · 10-3
26-311
82
92
81
4
10-3
5/6 8/11 2/3
Rizal has won two of his last five starts, including back-to-back victories, and he arrives with experience of both today's trip and going — a thoroughly relevant profile. The main risk is 35 days off the track, leaving his current sharpness to prove.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Patrol silks
Patrol
Age 4 · 9-10
822436
75
81
86
4
9-10
13/2 4/1 6/1
Patrol arrives here in solid fitness after a run 27 days ago and has experience of today's distance and going, with a third two starts back and a second four starts back in recent form; rated 86 by us and the top-ranked of the four, he looks the one to beat despite being winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Parisian Scholar silks
Parisian Scholar
Age 3 · 9-6
041160
80
90
85
3
9-6
9/2 9/2 4/1
Parisian Scholar arrives on the back of back-to-back wins earlier in this sequence and returns fit on 21 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the risk is that two unplaced efforts since those successes leave his current form under a question mark.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Zurna silks
Zurna
Age 3 · 9-4
9721
78
80
72
3
9-4
7/2 9/4 7/2
Zurna arrives on the back of back-to-back placed efforts culminating in a win last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the chief concern is that 43 days off the track leaves a fitness question hanging over him heading into this contest.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rizal 5/6 open 1.80 8/11 4/6 open 1.83 4/6 open 1.83 4/5 open 2.00 4/6 open 1.83 5/6 Bet365
2 Patrol 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Bet365
3 Parisian Scholar 9/2 open 11.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
4 Zurna 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rizal

Speculative

Rizal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 George Scott Billy Loughnane
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zurna

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Julia & Shelley Birkett
✓ Value Signal

Zurna

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/2 · Julia & Shelley Birkett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Rizal
56.4 5/6
2 4. Zurna
53.3 7/2
3 3. Parisian Scholar
52.7 9/2
4 2. Patrol
50.5 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rizal
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-3
5/6
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rizal
Confidence: Speculative

Rizal (SR:92, 8/15) is the class leader in a small four-runner field with a recent form line of 26-311 — three consecutive wins culminating in a last-time-out victory just 35 days ago. The market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and Billy Loughnane (19% career strike rate) aboard a George Scott-trained improver is a strong booking. While MarkMv:+5 means he runs off a 5lb higher mark, his SR of 92 is a clear 2-10lb edge over every rival, and at 10-3 he still carries a manageable weight for this class. The unknowns on distance and going (both flagged as '?') are the only caveats, but his class advantage in a field of four overrides them. Each-way alternative: Parisian Scholar. Main danger: Parisian Scholar — Parisian Scholar (SR:90) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), handles this going well (GoingFit:+), and carries the lightest weight of the older competitors at 9-6, giving him a real pounds advantage if Rizal's unproven trip and going combination catches up with him.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Distance and going both unknown — a 4yo on a 5lb higher mark has zero form evidence for today's specific Newmarket conditions, which can be unforgiving for unsuited types.
  • MarkMv:+5 means handicapper has already reacted to the winning streak; if the three wins were gained in softer company, a further class ceiling may now be exposed.
  • Parisian Scholar (SR:90, 21 days ago) is only 2lb inferior on ratings and has fresher legs with a very recent run, making the class gap far narrower than the primary analyst implies in a four-runner…
  • 8/15 favourite in a four-runner race with two unknowns (distance, going) offers slim value margin — any negative draw of conditions at Newmarket July course could flip the outcome with no pace buffer…
Shortlist Rizal, Parisian Scholar, Patrol
Each-way: Parisian Scholar Danger: Parisian Scholar

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade