Newmarket (July) 14:35 RESULTED
Class 3 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August British EBF Novice Stakes

British EBF Novice Stakes · 0m7f0y

Official Result

British EBF Novice Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Majestic Jude (IRE) Harry Davies · William Haggas
    2/1
  2. 4/9F
  3. 22/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Al Jabbar silks
Al Jabbar
Age 2 · 9-2
156
2
9-2
8/13 8/11 1/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Astabuen silks
Astabuen
Age 2 · 9-2
144
2
9-2
16/1 11/2 7/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Majestic Jude silks
Majestic Jude
Age 2 · 9-2
5
155
2
9-2
7/4 3/2 7/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Moheebb silks
Moheebb
Age 2 · 9-2
6
127
2
9-2
50/1 33/1 28/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Nidal silks
Nidal
Age 2 · 9-2
8
125
2
9-2
125/1 80/1 100/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
On Target silks
On Target
Age 2 · 9-2
64
126
2
9-2
28/1 16/1 22/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Al Jabbar 8/13 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.73 4/7 open 1.80 4/7 open 1.80 1/2 open 1.73 8/15 open 1.80 8/13 Bet365
2 Astabuen 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 18/1 Paddy Power
3 Majestic Jude 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.62 7/4 open 2.62 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 Bet365
4 Moheebb 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 50/1 Bet365
5 Nidal 125/1 open 81.00 110/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 125/1 Bet365
6 On Target 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 22/1 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Al Jabbar

High conviction

Al Jabbar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Charlie Appleby Billy Loughnane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Majestic Jude

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Nidal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Al Jabbar
73.1 8/13
2 3. Majestic Jude
72.5 7/4
3 2. Astabuen
59.0 16/1
4 5. Nidal
52.8 125/1
5 4. Moheebb
52.5 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Al Jabbar
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-2
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Al Jabbar
Confidence: Medium

Al Jabbar carries the highest SR in the field at 156, 11 points clear of Majestic Jude (SR:155) and 12 clear of Astabuen (SR:144), giving him a meaningful ability edge. The 4/5 market price reflects strong market confidence from Godolphin — Charlie Appleby's yard fires at a 31% strike rate (209 career runners), by far the most powerful operation in this field, and Billy Loughnane is the in-house first jockey at a 19% clip across 1,761 rides. Being a debut runner is the only caveat, but this is Newmarket's July course — a straight track that rewards straightforward, well-schooled horses, and Godolphin debutants at this price on this track are invariably well-prepared. The SR advantage and connections combine into the clearest possible case. Each-way alternative: Majestic Jude. Main danger: Majestic Jude — Majestic Jude (SR:155, 13/8) is only 1 SR point behind Al Jabbar, has already racecourse experience (finished 5th on debut 24 days ago), is trained by William Haggas at a 21% strike rate, and the market backs him as a genuine second option — a step forward from that debut run could make him very competitive.

Case against 3
  • Al Jabbar is a debutant facing Majestic Jude, who has race experience under his belt (ran 5th, 24 days ago) — on a sharp track like Newmarket July, that debut greenness could cost crucial lengths in…
  • Majestic Jude's SR of 155 is only 1 point below Al Jabbar's 156, making the ability edge marginal rather than commanding — barely outside noise given SR measurement variance.
  • Billy Loughnane's 19% strike rate across all rides does not specifically indicate form on Newmarket's July course; a jockey unfamiliar with this straight's unique demands (low draw bias, camber) coul…
Shortlist Al Jabbar, Majestic Jude, Astabuen
Each-way: Majestic Jude Danger: Majestic Jude

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade