Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f6y
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Winged Messenger | 10/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 City Captain | 3/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Montezuma | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lord Bertie | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Wobwobwob | 20/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 They All Know Me | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Miraculous | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dandy Magic | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Daizen | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Iris Dancer | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
City Captain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
City Captain (SR:83, 10/3, 9-12) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a competitive weight that gives him a clear SR edge over every rival. The market has firmed 15% since opening — significant money coming for a horse returning from 104 days off, suggesting connections are confident he's ready. He has course form (W1P1 at Hamilton) and his last win at a similar class level backs up the current mark. Jockey Callum Rodriguez boasts a 16% career strike rate, the sharpest booking in the field, and trainer Harriet Bethell operates at 15% — a small but efficient yard sending him here with purpose. Each-way alternative: Lord Bertie. Main danger: Lord Bertie — Lord Bertie (SR:81, 9/2) has shortened dramatically in the market (in 24% — the biggest move in the field) and carries the same weight as City Captain off a mark 5lb lower than his last win, giving him a meaningful handicap advantage if he handles the going bucket today.