Killarney 19:20 RESULTED
21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap

Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap · 1m6f80y

Official Result

Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gaoth Chuil (IRE) Reese Holohan · T M Walsh
    12/1
  2. 3/1J
  3. 4/1
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  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Taipan silks
Taipan
Age 8 · 10-0
88-902
96
71
104
8
10-0
14/1 12/1 14/1
Taipan arrives here as the top-rated runner in the field and bounced back to second last time out after a rough patch, showing he retains ability at this trip and going; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 3% over the last fortnight, while he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Eagle Fang silks
Eagle Fang
Age 6 · 9-10
3/214
92
96
100
6
9-10
3/1 5/1 5/2
A winner two starts back and placed three starts back, Eagle Fang arrives in good nick after 25 days off, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; he carries 136 lb but the overall profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Granite Bay silks
Granite Bay
Age 5 · 9-10
42-437
92
89
99
5
9-10
7/1 9/2 6/1
Granite Bay shaped with plenty of promise when third two starts back and second four starts back, and he returns after 25 days in good order with experience of today's distance and going; the main concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and dropped to seventh most recently.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Royal Hollow silks
Royal Hollow
Age 8 · 9-8
104-26
90
64
93
8
9-8
22/1 FCST 20/1
A second two starts back hints at residual ability, and she has experience over today's trip and going, but a sixth last time out and a trainer strike rate of just five per cent in the past fortnight are significant drags on confidence at 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
The Real Screamer silks
The Real Screamer
Age 5 · 9-8
4-1130
90
68
88
5
9-8
16/1 12/1 16/1
Ranked well down the field on our figures and representing a trainer without a winner in 25 attempts over the past fortnight, The Real Screamer is hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins three and four starts back; unplaced last time out, only the going experience and 21-day gap offer any encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Factual Fact silks
Factual Fact
Age 7 · 9-7
2-2120
89
91
102
7
9-7
13/2 10/1 6/1
Factual Fact arrives with strong claims, having won three starts back and finishing second on three other occasions in recent starts, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; the main risk is a return from 54 days off.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Light Up The Dark silks
Light Up The Dark
Age 5 · 9-7
34-149
89
87
95
5
9-7
6/1 11/2 6/1
Landed a winner three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but that ninth last time out is a concern; she carries 133 lb here, and with a rating of 95 she sits mid-division of thirteen in what looks a competitive contest.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
War Rooms silks
War Rooms
Age 5 · 9-7
70-801
89
83
96
5
9-7
7/1 8/1 7/1
War Rooms won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but four of his last five outings have been unimpressive, and 133 lb is a stiff ask for a gelding rated 89 officially.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Immutable silks
Immutable
Age 6 · 9-4
35-922
86
86
93
6
9-4
SP FCST 9/2
Consistent but winless, Immutable has finished second in each of his last two starts and brings solid recent form into this, though he is yet to score in his last five and faces a stiff ask from 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Gaoth Chuil silks
Gaoth Chuil
Age 8 · 8-9
4-9110
77
73
93
8
8-9
16/1 11/1 16/1
Gaoth Chuil won two of her last five starts but comes here on the back of an unplaced effort 23 days ago, and a mark of 77 leaves her with something to find on our rating; she has run over today's trip and going, at least bringing relevant experience to the table.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Luker's Tipple silks
Luker's Tipple
Age 5 · 8-9
6/20-7
77
91
91
5
8-9
11/2 6/1 5/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Luker's Tipple faces a stiff ask here, with a seventh last time out and an unplaced run two starts back doing little to inspire confidence; going experience and a trainer firing at 35% in the past fortnight are the few crumbs of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Sir Jeremy silks
Sir Jeremy
Age 4 · 8-9
-71951
77
77
79
4
8-9
15/2 10/1 15/2
Sir Jeremy won last time out and is back quickly enough on going he has encountered before, but ranked last of the 13 runners on our figures, he looks up against it here despite that recent victory.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Chutzpal silks
Chutzpal
Age 7 · 8-7
12-056
74
77
81
7
8-7
8/1 10/1 15/2
Beaten in his last three starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Chutzpal is hard to fancy at present, though he has run over today's trip and going before and does carry a manageable 119 lb.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Taipan 14/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Paddy Power
2 Eagle Fang 3/1 open 6.00 5/2 open 7.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Granite Bay 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Royal Hollow 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
5 The Real Screamer 16/1 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 Paddy Power
6 Factual Fact 13/2 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 Bet365
7 Light Up The Dark 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
8 War Rooms 7/1 open 9.50 8/1 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 Paddy Power
9 Immutable 11/2 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 11/2 Bet365
10 Gaoth Chuil 16/1 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Luker's Tipple 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
12 Sir Jeremy 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 Bet365
13 Chutzpal 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Eagle Fang

Speculative

Eagle Fang owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 William Durkan Chris Hayes
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Light Up The Dark

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Royal Hollow

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Andrew Slattery
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Eagle Fang
56.4 3/1
2 7. Light Up The Dark
55.7 6/1
3 6. Factual Fact
55.0 13/2
4 11. Luker's Tipple
54.6 11/2
5 3. Granite Bay
54.2 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Eagle Fang
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-10
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 5 · 8-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 8-9
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 7 · 8-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 10-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

10
Age 8 · 8-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Eagle Fang
Confidence: Speculative

Eagle Fang (SR 96, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 5 points above the next cluster of SR 91 runners — and carries only 9-10, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over any SR peer. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and a Mkt:in9% move shows money coming for him with no obvious public reason to steam, which adds credibility. The visor (HG:v) is a positive intervention signal suggesting connections are expecting improvement, and trainer William Durkan's 14% strike rate with a modest but respectable sample (125 runners) is solid. The DistFit:? is a mild concern over 1m6f80y, but the form figure of '4' last time out (beaten third-to-last run, placed) and a steady recent profile (3/214) indicates a consistent, progressing horse rather than a flashy one-run wonder. Each-way alternative: Sir Jeremy. Main danger: Immutable — Immutable (SR 86, 11/2) is the joint second-shortest price in the race, carries only 9-4 (lightest of the serious contenders), and recent form of 35-922 shows consistent placing — two seconds last two runs — suggesting a horse right at the top of its form curve that could finally convert.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? over 1m6f80y is a real flag — no confirmed evidence Eagle Fang stays this marathon trip, and stamina doubts at this distance could expose him late in a strongly-run staying race.
  • The visor (HG:v) is a first-time headgear switch, which historically carries a binary risk — if the horse over-races or resists the aid, it can undermine performance rather than enhance it.
  • Factual Fact (SR:91) is also steaming in 8% with a De Bromhead/Whelan combo at 14% strike rate, 54 days fresh and a Stable:1 flag, suggesting a well-prepared danger that could bridge the 5-point SR g…
  • Jockey Chris Hayes posts only 11% strike rate on a modest 377-ride sample — underwhelming for a horse that needs an assured front-running or tactical ride over an unfamiliar trip in a 13-runner field.
Shortlist Eagle Fang, Immutable, Factual Fact, Sir Jeremy
Each-way: Sir Jeremy Danger: Immutable

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m6f80y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting