Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 6f6y
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hunky Dory | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Sir Garfield | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Lipsink | 22/1 open 5.50 | 25/1 open 8.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 9.50 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Jannas Journey | 10/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 51.00 | 10/1 open 51.00 | 10/1 open 51.00 | 9/1 open 51.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Wreck It Ryley | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Belsito | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Shoot To Kill | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Abduction | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 | 17/2 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Stirrup Cup | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Ashen | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Coral |
| 11 Whiskey Kisses | 28/1 open 12.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ashen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sir Garfield (SR 82, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — an SR of 82 versus the next-best Wreck It Ryley at 76 — and critically holds Course:W2P3, making him a proven Hamilton specialist at this 6f6y trip. His last two completed runs show back-to-back wins (form -11682, rightmost = last, so recent finishes are 2, 8, 1, 1 reading right-to-left, indicating two wins prior to the last two outings), and John & Sean Quinn's 11% strike rate with David Nolan in the plate (10%, 727 career rides) is a solid booking. The blinkers are retained from prior runs and GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on good-to-soft, but his course superiority and class edge outweigh that reservation at a workable 10/3. Each-way alternative: Wreck It Ryley. Main danger: Ashen — Ashen (SR 74, 9/2) has steamed in 27% in the market, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 giving it a 11lb pull on Sir Garfield, and Jim Goldie's 13% yard strike rate combined with a young 4-year-old on a progressive profile (form 134202 shows a recent second) makes it the most likely improver in the field.