Kilbeggan 19:05 RESULTED
21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase

New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase · 3m1f180y

Official Result

New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB) Eoghan Finegan · John G Carr
    6/1
  2. Second Gorthill (FR)
    40/1
  3. 40/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
One Way Traffic silks
One Way Traffic
Age 9 · 12-0
6F9-22
98
83
94
9
12-0
9/2 7/2 9/2
Consistent if winless in recent starts, One Way Traffic has posted back-to-back runner-up finishes and has run over today's trip and going before, though a hefty 168 lb burden and a ranking of sixth from fourteen suggest he faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Gorthill silks
Gorthill
Age 10 · 11-13
P5P-5P
97
62
117
10
11-13
40/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last five starts and twice pulled up in that sequence, Gorthill nonetheless carries the weight of a 97-rated performer and our assessment marks him well clear of his rivals; the 19-day turnaround is acceptable, and experience on today's going is at least a known quantity.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

3
Lecale's Diamond silks
Lecale's Diamond
Age 6 · 11-11
36-418
95
85
93
6
11-11
11/2 9/2 5/1
Lecale's Diamond won two starts back but flopped on his most recent outing, and at 165 lb he faces a stiff ask; has run over today's going before, and a trainer striking at 35% recently keeps him of interest despite ranking seventh of fourteen on our ratings.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Broken Ice silks
Broken Ice
Age 10 · 11-9
48-503
93
86
102
10
11-9
11/2 13/2 9/2
Broken Ice shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out, and his rating of 102 marks him out as a serious contender in a field of 14; he has run over today's trip and going, and the chief concern is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sampoet silks
Sampoet
Age 9 · 11-7
584U7U
91
54
101
9
11-7
28/1 20/1 28/1
Sampoet carries a hefty 161 lb yet our rating has him ten points clear of his official mark, making him one to respect despite being winless in his last six; the unseating trouble in recent outings is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Our Zebo silks
Our Zebo
Age 7 · 11-6
02316-
90
93
102
7
11-6
11/2 11/4 11/2
Our Zebo won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing he can perform at this level, and his distance and going experience stands him in good stead carrying 160 lb; the sole concern is a layoff of 336 days since that latest sixth.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Zolpharine silks
Zolpharine
Age 8 · 11-5
05-114
89
78
78
8
11-5
11/1 8/1 11/1
Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures and representing a trainer without a winner in 20 recent attempts, Zolpharine is hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins two and three starts back; the hefty 159 lb burden adds further concern.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Glendine Billy silks
Glendine Billy
Age 8 · 11-3
0P9-84
87
72
89
8
11-3
17/2 10/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Glendine Billy returns on a quick 14-day turnaround and at least has experience of today's going to call on, though a fourth last time out is the only bright spot in a patchy recent record and his 157 lb burden makes life tough.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

9
Joe's Turn silks
Joe's Turn
Age 10 · 11-2
/2F-86
86
75
84
10
11-2
8/1 9/1 7/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked tenth of fourteen on our assessment, Joe's Turn does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, though a fall and a pair of disappointing finishes since a second four starts back make confidence hard to justify at 156 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Fr Gilligansvoyge silks
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Age 13 · 10-11
421321
81
82
74
13
10-11
15/2 9/2 15/2
Ranked a lowly 13 of 14 on our figures, Fr Gilligansvoyge faces a stiff ask under 151 lb, yet there is genuine recent form to note — a winner last time out and a second two starts back, with experience of today's distance and going in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Seventy Eight Team silks
Seventy Eight Team
Age 8 · 10-9
45P-P8
79
47
86
8
10-9
28/1 20/1 28/1
Winless in her last five starts, including two pulled-up efforts, Seventy Eight Team faces a stiff ask off 149 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 86 suggests some latent ability to tap into.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

12
Deadheat silks
Deadheat
Age 13 · 10-8
79/P-0
78
57
96
13
10-8
40/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last four starts and pulled up two runs back, Deadheat arrives on 49 days off carrying 148 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 96 suggests more ability than his official mark of 78 implies.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
He Fitz In silks
He Fitz In
Age 10 · 10-8
66766-
78
64
84
10
10-8
16/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and not seen on a racecourse for 197 days, He Fitz In has run over today's distance and going before but has been out of the frame throughout recent starts, and at 148 lb he faces a stiff task from 11th in the rankings.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Tullabrack Lad silks
Tullabrack Lad
Age 7 · 10-2
/P995-
72
55
66
7
10-2
14/1 20/1 11/1
Tullabrack Lad has been winless in his last four starts, with a pulled-up effort among them, and our figures rank him last of the field; 131 days off the track adds to the concerns, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 One Way Traffic 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Gorthill 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Paddy Power
3 Lecale's Diamond 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 6/1 William Hill
4 Broken Ice 11/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Sampoet 28/1 open 26.00 30/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 30/1 Paddy Power
6 Our Zebo 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 3.75 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Zolpharine 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Glendine Billy 17/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
9 Joe's Turn 8/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
10 Fr Gilligansvoyge 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Coral
11 Seventy Eight Team 28/1 open 21.00 30/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 30/1 Paddy Power
12 Deadheat 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Paddy Power
13 He Fitz In 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1 Bet365
14 Tullabrack Lad 14/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Broken Ice

Speculative

Broken Ice owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 John C McConnell Alex Harvey
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Our Zebo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Noel C Kelly
✓ Value Signal

Gorthill

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Stephen Carlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Broken Ice
57.2 11/2
2 6. Our Zebo
56.8 11/2
3 3. Lecale's Diamond
53.9 11/2
4 1. One Way Traffic
50.3 9/2
5 10. Fr Gilligansvoyge
50.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 9 · 12-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-11
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 10 · 11-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 11-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 13 · 10-11
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 10 · 11-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 11-3
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

7
Age 8 · 11-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 7 · 10-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 10 · 10-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Confidence: Speculative

Fr Gilligansvoyge (SR:82, 15/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-11 and arrives on a red-hot form line of 421321 — six consecutive finishes in the frame or thereabouts, with three wins in the sequence. The GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles good ground well, a key edge in a field where most rivals show GoingFit:- or unknown. Trainer John G Carr (7%) and jockey Patrick M O'Brien (9%) are modest but functional, and at 13 years old this horse is clearly in a rich vein of late-career form. The MarkMv:+6 is a minor concern but the weight advantage over the busier end of the field more than compensates. Each-way alternative: Our Zebo. Main danger: Broken Ice — Broken Ice (SR:86, 6/1) has steamed in 14% in the market — the strongest shortening in the field among credible runners — and carries only 11-9, giving it a meaningful weight edge over One Way Traffic and a plausible class advantage over most rivals despite the GoingFit:- flag.

Case against 4 clamped
  • At 13 years old, Fr Gilligansvoyge carries significant age-related stamina/soundness risk over a staying trip at an evening summer fixture — very few horses win handicaps at this age.
  • MarkMv:+6 means the handicapper has raised this horse 6lb since last win, trimming the weight advantage that has been central to recent successes in the sequence.
  • Market has drifted out 7% despite the eye-catching form, suggesting bookmakers and market movers see something they dislike — possibly track/trip suitability or paddock concerns on the day.
  • Ran just 7 days ago — for a 13-year-old, this quick turnaround risks residual fatigue, and the form sequence 421321 may reflect horses being fresher than this horse will be today.
Shortlist Fr Gilligansvoyge, Our Zebo, Broken Ice, Lecale's Diamond
Each-way: Our Zebo Danger: Broken Ice

🗺 The Course Race conditions

3m1f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Kilbeggan Track and setting