Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap · 1m0f30y
SR 82 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Belicoso | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Margot Mae | 2/1 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 11/4 Paddy Power |
| 3 Seaxburh | 11/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Razmataz | 14/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Maggie Walker | 9/2 open 8.50 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Old Joanie | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Elyatta | 10/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Fine Line | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Seaxburh owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Seaxburh (SR 85, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, a meaningful edge in a nursery where ground suitability separates horses at this level. The form string 56223 shows consistent improvement through five starts, arriving here just 19 days ago in good order. While drifting 14% in the market, the O'Brien yard's #1 runner signals are pointing elsewhere (Belicoso carries DBM, the more senior jockey booking), but Seaxburh's SR advantage of 3 points over the next-best rival, combined with a 4lb weight concession versus Belicoso and proven good-ground form, makes the drift exploitable rather than alarming. Declan McDonogh knows the horse's needs after recent runs. Each-way alternative: Maggie Walker. Main danger: Belicoso — Belicoso (SR 82, 5/2) carries the yard's senior jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle, has shortened 7% in the market making it the O'Brien stable's market-implied #1, and despite the GoingFit:- flag remains only 3 points behind Seaxburh on SR while receiving clear connections confidence.