Ffos Las 14:10 RESULTED
Class 5 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes

Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Safari Dream (IRE) Finley Marsh · Rod Millman
    100/30
  2. 28/1
  3. 5/4F
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sixtygeesbaby silks
Sixtygeesbaby
Age 4 · 10-3
508551
73
58
78
4
10-3
5/4 5/6 6/5
Sixtygeesbaby arrives on the back of a win last time out, returning quickly on ten days' rest and having already encountered today's trip and conditions; rated 78 and ranked top of six here, he makes a compelling case, though the patchy nature of his other recent efforts gives the main cause for caution.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

2
Safari Dream silks
Safari Dream
Age 6 · 9-11
417531
72
77
76
6
9-11
4/1 3/1 7/2
Safari Dream won last time out and has previous experience over today's trip and going, making conditions familiar; he carries 137 lb from stall four and, with two wins in his last six starts, arrives in solid heart just 17 days after that success.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Army Bugler silks
Army Bugler
Age 3 · 9-8
2147-6
72
52
78
3
9-8
25/1 14/1 25/1
Army Bugler brings distance and going experience to this, and his our rating of 78 ranks him second in the field, giving him solid claims; the worry is that he has been sixth and seventh in his last two starts, so a return to the form that saw him win four starts back is the key.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Alkuwarrior silks
Alkuwarrior
Age 3 · 9-7
901575
71
66
75
3
9-7
9/1 9/1 8/1
Alkuwarrior won four starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with a speed rating of 76 supporting his claims from stall one carrying 133 lb; the risk is that his last three outings have brought a pair of fifths and a seventh, so he must recapture that winning form.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Liosa silks
Liosa
Age 6 · 9-6
0-4613
67
79
73
6
9-6
9/2 9/2 4/1
Ranked fifth of six on our figures, Liosa is hard to fancy at these weights carrying 132 lb, and his recent form is patchy — sixth and fourth in the two starts before a win, though he does return in fair time and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Pull The Rug silks
Pull The Rug
Age 3 · 9-4
-74942
68
73
72
3
9-4
13/2 7/2 13/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Pull The Rug faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a runner-up finish last time out — just 15 days ago — at least suggests she returns in reasonable heart.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sixtygeesbaby 5/4 open 1.83 5/4 6/5 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.10 5/4 Bet365
2 Safari Dream 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Army Bugler 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
4 Alkuwarrior 9/1 open 21.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Liosa 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Pull The Rug 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Liosa

Speculative

Liosa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Zoe Hawkins Oliver Carmichael(7)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pull The Rug

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Grace Harris
✓ Value Signal

Army Bugler

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Warren Greatrex
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Liosa
51.8 9/2
2 6. Pull The Rug
51.4 13/2
3 2. Safari Dream
51.2 4/1
4 1. Sixtygeesbaby
50.1 5/4
5 4. Alkuwarrior
45.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Liosa
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-3
5/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

2
Age 6 · 9-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Liosa
Confidence: Speculative

Liosa (SR:79, 4/1) is the highest-rated runner in this six-horse Class 5 sprint and carries a light 9-6, giving her a 11lb weight advantage over top-weight Sixtygeesbaby. The 23% market move inward is the most significant positive market signal in the field and demands respect — money has come for a reason. Her recent form (0-4613, right-to-left: last run was a 3rd) shows improvement on her latest outing, and the same-class placement (ClassMv:=) means she is not stepping into unknown territory. The distance fitness is moderate (DistFit:~) and going fitness unknown (GoingFit:?), but at 4/1 with clear SR superiority and the strongest market move, the balance of evidence points firmly her way. Each-way alternative: Safari Dream. Main danger: Safari Dream — Safari Dream (SR:77, 5/1) has a course record of W1P1 at Ffos Las and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) on confirmed good going (GoingFit:+), giving her a stronger course-and-distance profile than Liosa despite the 20% drift, which may simply reflect market money flowing to Liosa rather than any genuine concern about the horse.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Going fitness unknown (GoingFit:?) at Ffos Las — a Welsh track notorious for quick ground changes — is a genuine blind spot when rivals like Safari Dream have course form already established.
  • Trainer Zoe Hawkins has only 25 runners in the database (12% strike rate from tiny sample) — far too small to trust the stat; low-volume handlers can misfire on big days.
  • Jockey Oliver Carmichael (claim, 8% win rate from 111 rides) is the weakest pilot in the field by win% and has not demonstrated the big-race composure that rivals' jockeys Morris and Marsh bring.
  • Form string 0-4613 shows a '0' (last-to-finish) and a career gap (the '-'), and the 27-day absence means she has not raced since that 3rd — fitness after a near-month off on unknown going is a live c…
Shortlist Liosa, Safari Dream, Alkuwarrior
Each-way: Safari Dream Danger: Safari Dream

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Ffos Las Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade