Weatherbys Lonsdale Cup Stakes (Group 2) · 2m0f56y
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Carmers | 11/2 | — | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 1 Caballo De Mar | 13/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 15/8 Betfred |
| 2 Al Nayyir | 15/2 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Amiloc | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Columbus | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 French Master | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 15/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Illinois | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 Betfred |
| 8 Mount Atlas | 7/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Quickthorn | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mount Atlas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mount Atlas (SR:120, 6/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the same weight as most rivals at 9-5, giving no penalty disadvantage. His form string 4-2231 shows a last-time-out win and a consistent sequence of placed efforts, and he brings confirmed course form of W1P2 at York — a specialist-track advantage that matters on this demanding 2m circuit. The market has moved significantly in his favour (Mkt:in27%), suggesting informed money is behind him, and trainer Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, 1464 runners) is a reliable handler at this level. Caballo De Mar's SR:117 is inferior and his MarkMv:+22 is a substantial concern — he's running off a mark 22lb higher than his last win, which is a huge ask at Group 2 level. Each-way alternative: Illinois. Main danger: Illinois — Illinois (SR:113, 6/1) has steamed in 36% in the market — the biggest move in the race — is off a mark 3lb below his last win (MarkMv:-3), has Ryan Moore booked at 27% career strike rate, and his form 36155 shows a recent win and consistent improvement that the market is clearly taking seriously.