York 15:35 RESULTED
Class 1 21 Aug 2026

Friday 21 August Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)

York — Class 1 · 0m5f0y

Mr Fox tips Pershaada 10/1 Read the verdict
0m5f0yDistance
£340,260Prize Fund
Official Result

Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bacio Juan J Hernandez · Wesley A Ward
    3/1F
  2. Second Starlust
    25/1
  3. Third Rumstar
    22/1
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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Comment
1
Ain't Nobody silks
Ain't Nobody
Age 4 · 10-1
07-090
104
71
112
4
10-1
40/1 40/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 66 days off, Ain't Nobody has experience of today's distance and going but his recent form makes for grim reading; stall six and 141 lb are the neutral backdrop to what must be a sharper effort.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
American Affair silks
American Affair
Age 6 · 10-1
-02061
112
102
108
6
10-1
7/1 7/1 6/1
American Affair won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but his patchy recent record — unplaced twice in his last five starts — and a rating four pounds below official suggest he faces a stiff task from stall four carrying 141 lb.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cover Up silks
Cover Up
Age 6 · 10-1
-13801
109
87
110
6
10-1
18/1 12/1 18/1
Cover Up won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but a 34-day absence and a stiff 141 lb to carry from stall 15 are both factors to weigh against him, leaving him a competitive if not straightforward proposition here.
AI verdict

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Jm Jungle silks
Jm Jungle
Age 6 · 10-1
-49035
107
70
107
6
10-1
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, Jm Jungle does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a third two starts back hints at residual ability, though he carries 141 lb from stall 16 and ranks 12th of 18 on our assessment.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Night Raider silks
Night Raider
Age 5 · 10-1
0-1100
111
99
118
5
10-1
17/2 10/1 17/2
Night Raider brings winning form into this, scoring in two of his last five starts, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; at 141 lb from stall 2, the weight burden may be the key question mark.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Partisan Hero silks
Partisan Hero
Age 6 · 10-1
713327
106
72
104
6
10-1
80/1 50/1 66/1
Ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Partisan Hero makes little appeal off 141 lb from stall 17, and a seventh last time out does nothing to reverse that view, though he has placed twice in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

7
Redorange silks
Redorange
Age 4 · 10-1
7-8141
108
77
104
4
10-1
25/1 20/1 22/1
Redorange has won twice in his last five starts, including a win last time out, but our figures rank him thirteenth of eighteen in this field, and 141 lb from stall 18 makes him hard to fancy at this level despite his recent winning form over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Rumstar silks
Rumstar
Age 6 · 10-1
0-2012
110
94
116
6
10-1
20/1 12/1 20/1
Rumstar arrives here in good heart following a win two starts back and a runner-up effort last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions. The chief concern is that his 141 lb burden may test him against lighter-weighted rivals.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Starlust silks
Starlust
Age 5 · 10-1
74-604
106
83
115
5
10-1
14/1 22/1 12/1
Starlust has run over today's trip and going, carries 141 lb from draw 10, and our rating of 115 marks him out as a live threat in a wide-open field — the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Bacio silks
Bacio
Age 3 · 9-13
121-11
114
111
122
3
9-13
3/1 10/3 3/1
Bacio arrives on the back of three successive wins and four victories in his last five starts, making him impossible to ignore at the top of the weights on 139 lb; he has run over today's trip before, and a 63-day break is the only question mark against an irresistible recent record.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Mission Central silks
Mission Central
Age 3 · 9-13
0-1117
115
105
113
3
9-13
8/1 15/2 8/1
Mission Central has won three of his last five starts, including back-to-back victories, but was well held on his most recent outing 41 days ago; he has run over today's trip before and carries 139 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 105 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Asfoora silks
Asfoora
Age 8 · 9-12
-00794
108
86
108
8
9-12
12/1 6/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts, Asfoora at least returns on a workable 21-day break having run over today's trip and going before, though carrying 138 lb from stall 3 and ranked tenth of eighteen on ratings, she faces a stiff task off the pace.
AI verdict

SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

13
Azure Angel silks
Azure Angel
Age 6 · 9-12
615050
103
61
97
6
9-12
150/1 FCST 100/1
Azure Angel has been out of the placings in five of her last six starts, including an unplaced effort last time, and our figures rank her near the foot of the field; she has run over today's trip and returns on a reasonable 21-day break, but it is hard to make a case at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

14
Heavenly Heather silks
Heavenly Heather
Age 5 · 9-12
254260
104
63
96
5
9-12
80/1 33/1 66/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Heavenly Heather arrives 41 days between runs, winless in her last six starts, and unplaced on her most recent outing, with a second three starts back the brightest recent spark; experience over today's trip and a fourth-placed finish four starts back offer slim comfort at best.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

15
Rayevka silks
Rayevka
Age 4 · 9-12
6-5612
108
99
113
4
9-12
5/1 7/2 5/1
Rayevka won two starts back but was only second last time out, and a 66-day absence adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and carries 138 lb from stall 12, with our rating of 113 suggesting she holds solid claims if straight forward.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Time For Sandals silks
Time For Sandals
Age 4 · 9-12
-58003
107
75
111
4
9-12
25/1 18/1 22/1
Winless in her last five starts, Time For Sandals at least shaped with encouragement when third last time out, and she has run over today's distance and going before; the 138 lb burden from stall 13 may not help her cause among a field of 18.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

17
Fitzella silks
Fitzella
Age 3 · 9-10
-56505
102
67
103
3
9-10
80/1 FCST 66/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, Fitzella makes little appeal despite drawing stall 1 and returning on a fresh 19 days; she has run over today's trip before, but her recent string of fifths and worse offers scant encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

18
Pershaada silks
Pershaada
Age 2 · 8-2
32141
106
107
100
2
8-2
10/1 9/1 10/1
Ranked well below the top-rated runners on our figures, Pershaada is hard to fancy from stall 11, though a win last time out and a second win three starts back show she knows how to find the line, and she has experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ain't Nobody 40/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 81.00 40/1 Bet365
2 American Affair 7/1 6/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Cover Up 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Paddy Power
4 Jm Jungle 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
5 Night Raider 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Paddy Power
6 Partisan Hero 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
7 Redorange 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 25/1 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Rumstar 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Coral
9 Starlust 14/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Bacio 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 William Hill
11 Mission Central 8/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Coral
12 Asfoora 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Coral
13 Azure Angel 150/1 open 101.00 100/1 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 Bet365
14 Heavenly Heather 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
15 Rayevka 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 William Hill
16 Time For Sandals 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 25/1 Bet365
17 Fitzella 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 126.00 80/1 Bet365
18 Pershaada 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bacio

Live signal

Bacio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

American Affair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Jim Goldie
✓ Value Signal

Rumstar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Jonathan Portman
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Bacio
61.6 3/1
2 2. American Affair
58.8 7/1
3 11. Mission Central
58.3 8/1
4 15. Rayevka
57.6 5/1
5 5. Night Raider
56.1 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.

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🦊 Mr Fox
Pershaada
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Bacio
Three-way split

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 3 · 9-13
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 4 · 9-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 10-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-13
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 10-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 2 · 8-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 8 · 9-12
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

9
Age 5 · 10-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Age 6 · 10-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Age 6 · 10-1
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Bacio

Bacio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Favourite Focus lens leaned on market confidence (84) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Mission Central

Mission Central's King Charles III victory over Rayevka provides the strongest direct Group 1 five-furlong form in the field, while 17/2 offers significantly more appeal than several shorter-priced rivals.

Gemini
American Affair

American Affair's decisive trajectory and recent Group 2 success at Goodwood provides the strongest blend of peak speed ratings and current winning form over 5f.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionPershaadaFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade