Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap · 1m
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 The Rock Factor | 12/1 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Amplitude | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Excuzio Joe | 15/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Flash Of Fire | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Flying Fortress | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lady Arwen | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Speckled Meadow | 9/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Earls | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 San Aer | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Betfred |
| 9 Titanium | 14/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Jp's Express | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Aquilla Star | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Lady Mary Heath | 11/2 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Cash Me | 40/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Sylkie | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lady Mary Heath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Amplitude (SR:69, 7/2 equivalent at 15/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside San Aer and Jp's Express, but carries a more manageable 10-0 versus San Aer's declining form line (005255, drifting 10%) and Jp's Express's 14% drift off a MarkMv:+6. Crucially, Amplitude is the only horse in the top-SR tier with market confidence — steaming in 13% — suggesting informed money behind this yard booking of G.F. Carroll. Yes, DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, and MarkMv:+11 is a burden, but in a field where every other contender carries their own significant flaw, the combination of joint-top SR, strong late market support, and recent racecourse sharpness (10 days since last run) edges it ahead. Each-way alternative: Lady Mary Heath. Main danger: Jp's Express — Jp's Express (SR:69, 4/1 favourite) carries the lightest weight of the top-rated trio at 9-5 and is the market leader, though the 14% drift and GoingFit:- plus MarkMv:+6 are warning signs that may explain why it has drifted from opening.