Kaleidoscope Eyes won two starts back and five starts back, but she was unplaced last time out after 27 days off, and she has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 62 ranks her eighth of 14, so a 135 lb burden from stall 2 leaves plenty to prove.
Form last 6315210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR62RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rogue Sea has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 21 days off, while our rating of 68 ranks him second of 14 and makes him a leading threat from draw 14. The risk is form that has tailed off, with an eighth last time out and a seventh the start before.
Form last 6/357-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Fifth last time out, after a sixth and a fourth, Thiscouldbefun has slipped since winning four starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after 30 days. Our rating of 65 ranks her fourth of 14, but 133 lb from stall 3 asks plenty.
Form last 6301465
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spirit Lead Me arrives in top form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he's back quickly after just 10 days, having run over today's trip before. Carrying 133 lb from draw 6, he is our pick on overall profile, though our figures rank him fifth of 14.
Form last 6998611
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Look Back Smiling has been in the frame twice in his last six, a third two starts back and another five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 68 ranks him top of the 14. The risk is that he's yet to win in that spell and was only sixth last time out.
Form last 6437636
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Riyadh Gem is a threat on our figures, ranked third of 14 with a speed rating of 68, and he has run over today's trip before, while his third four starts back is the best of a winless recent run. The main risk is a 167-day absence after an unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 603-850
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR65RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Just Queen High is hard to fancy, unplaced last time and beaten in all six recent starts, with a seventh two starts back her best finish. Experience of today's trip and going, and a rating of 60 from 130 lb, are small positives, but a yard going 1/23 is a worry.
Form last 6090970
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR57RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Man From Havana is winless in his last five, finishing a ninth last time out and unplaced in the two runs before, so he is hard to fancy at 129 lb. He has run over today's trip and is back quickly after seven days, but our rating of 56 ranks him 13th of 14.
Form last 657-009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR57RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Divine Wish is yet to win in her last five, with two unplaced runs most recently after a fourth three starts back, though she has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 22 days. Our rating of 63 sits above her official 58, but she carries 128 lb from stall 13.
Form last 6-45400
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR63RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Sixth last time out, and a second two starts back, show Rwenearlytheredad is competitive enough, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a 17-day break. Yet he is winless in his last five and carries 127 lb from draw 11, so the ceiling looks limited.
Form last 6-65026
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Havana Mojito has been placed second three times in his last six starts and was fourth last time out, only ten days ago, but he is still yet to win in that spell. Ranked last of 14 on our figures, he is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip before.
Form last 6226024
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR56RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Equion was fifth last time out after a win two starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, but he has a patchy record behind that and a yard going 1/35 lately. Our rating of 63 sits seventh of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from stall four.
Form last 6549815
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pitney was fourth last time out just ten days ago, and he has a second four starts back, but he's yet to win in his last six and was unplaced two runs before that. He has run over today's trip and carries 124 lb from stall 1, while our rating of 62 ranks him ninth of 14.
Form last 63D2504
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lovely Jubly was fifth last time out, with a third two starts back and a win three starts back, but she's ranked 11th of 14 on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 29-day break is no concern, though a ceiling around this level makes her hard to fancy.
Form last 668-135
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Spirit Lead Me owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Richard HughesFinley Marsh
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Equion
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Rogue Sea
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · John & Rhys Flint◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Equion (SR:67, 7/2) is one of only two horses in this field with an SR in the upper tier for this Class 6 contest, carries the lightest weight among the leading SRs at 9-0, and crucially is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's heavy ground — a critical edge in a 1m heavy-ground handicap at Bath where ground-handling separates fields dramatically. Hector Crouch's 18% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race, and the market has steamed in 17% (Mkt:in17%), the strongest move in the field — money that knows this horse handles the conditions. The recent form figure of 5 last time out at Class 6 off the same mark is moderate, but the class/weight/going combination and market confidence collectively make a compelling case. Spirit Lead Me (SR:69, 7/2) is the other live contender but carries 9-7 versus Equion's 9-0 on heavy ground and has no confirmed going record (GoingFit:?), meaning the 7lb weight disadvantage on an energy-sapping surface is a genuine concern.
Each-way alternative: Spirit Lead Me.
Main danger: Spirit Lead Me — Spirit Lead Me (SR:69, 7/2) holds the highest SR in the field, is course-proven (Course:W1P1), has won most recently (Form ending in 1), and Richard Hughes's 15% strike rate paired with Finley Marsh's 14% makes it a powerful yard booking — if the heavy ground is not the issue the unproven GoingFit:? implies, it beats Equion on raw ability.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Equion is aged 8 in a flat handicap — the oldest horse in this field by 2 years, and stamina/vitality on energy-sapping heavy ground at Bath is a real concern for an older horse whose form figures (5…
Spirit Lead Me (SR:69, form 998611) won last time out just 10 days ago and arrives in peak form on a sharp rebound — Equion's last run was a 5th, 30 days ago, and the form line lacks a recent win to…
Equion's Course record is W0P1 — never won at Bath despite having run there, which is a concrete negative at a track where the unique configuration and gradient matter, particularly on heavy ground.
The MarkMv of only +3 suggests the handicapper has barely budged on Equion despite recent running, implying official assessment sees no dramatic improvement forthcoming, and at 7/2 the value is share…
ShortlistEquion, Spirit Lead Me, Kaleidoscope Eyes