Bath 15:12 RESULTED
Class 5 29 Oct 2026

Today Oakenson Ltd Handicap Stakes

Oakenson Ltd Handicap Stakes · 5f160y

Official Result

Oakenson Ltd Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kiss And Run (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Rachel Cook & John Bridger
    3/1
  2. 10/1
  3. 11/4F
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 25 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Burdett Estate silks
Burdett Estate
Age 3 · 9-11
1-3790
75
62
67
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 16/1 14/1
Burdett Estate has slipped since a win five starts back, with a ninth and a seventh before an unplaced run last time, and our figures rank him 11th of 13. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip, and a 38-day break gives him a fresh look from stall 13.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Born Slippy silks
Born Slippy
Age 3 · 9-10
038-07
74
59
82
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 22/1 14/1
Born Slippy tops our ratings at 82 and has run over today's trip, but he's been winless in his last five, with a third four starts back the best of it. The main risk is a seventh last time out and a 51-day break.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Over Spiced silks
Over Spiced
Age 4 · 9-10
352261
68
71
73
4
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 8/1
Won last time out and only ten days ago, so she arrives fit, with a second and a second also in her last six runs, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 136 lb from stall three, she's ranked seventh of 13 by our rating of 73, which suggests a solid but unspectacular chance.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Maharajas Express silks
Maharajas Express
Age 6 · 9-9
182218
72
69
75
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 9/1
Maharajas Express has won twice in his last six, including two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but he was eighth last time out, 30 days ago, and the yard is cold at 1/23 in the last fortnight. Our rating of 75 ranks him fifth of 13 under 135 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nogo's Dream silks
Nogo's Dream
Age 6 · 9-9
642642
72
69
82
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/2 11/1
Nogo's Dream was second last time out and has been in the frame in two of his last six, having also finished a second four starts back, while he has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh after 31 days, he is yet to win but our figures rate him second of 13.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mumayaz silks
Mumayaz
Age 7 · 9-6
356751
69
60
76
7
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 14/1
Mumayaz arrives a last-time-out winner and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 76 ranks him fourth of 13, so he looks a leading threat from stall six. The one concern is a stable cold at 1 from 35 over the last 14 days, with 132 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Perfect Location silks
Perfect Location
Age 3 · 9-6
781560
70
48
77
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Perfect Location showed she can win with a victory four starts back, and she's had a fairly fresh 22 days since her last run, having run over today's trip before. Our rating of 77 sits well above her official 70, though a sixth and a fifth since that win, then an unplaced last time, is the worry.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Musical Soldier silks
Musical Soldier
Age 3 · 9-5
211122
69
67
68
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 11/2 12/1
Musical Soldier arrives in cracking recent form, second last time out and second two starts back after three straight wins before that, and he has run over today's trip. Against that, 50 days off and a yard cold at 1/24 temper the case, while carrying 131 lb from draw 11.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Kiss And Run silks
Kiss And Run
Age 5 · 9-4
531676
67
73
73
5
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 9/2 7/2
Kiss And Run has finished sixth, seventh and sixth in her last three, though she did win four starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Fresh enough after 21 days, but she carries 130 lb from stall 10, and our rating of 73 ranks her sixth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Gelato silks
Gelato
Age 3 · 9-1
9-6155
65
50
67
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 22/1 16/1
Gelato has finished fifth in both her last two outings, and a break of 55 days raises fitness questions, so she is hard to fancy; on the plus side, she won three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating ranks her tenth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Punchbowl Flyer silks
Punchbowl Flyer
Age 9 · 8-13
116745
62
50
65
9
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Punchbowl Flyer has finished fifth, fourth, seventh and sixth in his last four runs since winning twice earlier in the sequence, so the trend is going the wrong way. He has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him 12th of 13 from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

12
Thunderous Love silks
Thunderous Love
Age 5 · 8-12
229485
61
68
69
5
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 9/1 7/2
Thunderous Love is yet to win in her last six, though a fifth last time out, nine days ago, follows two seconds five and six starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Eighth of 13 on our rating, she carries 124 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Pedros Dream silks
Pedros Dream FAV
Age 3 · 8-12
49-522
62
70
59
3
8-12
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 3/1 11/4
Pedros Dream filled the runner-up spot twice in a row, a second last time out and another two starts back, yet he is yet to win in his last five and our figures rank him 13th of 13. A yard struggling at 1/35 and a 21-day break do little to help his cause, though he has run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Burdett Estate 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Coral
2 Born Slippy 16/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Over Spiced 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Coral
4 Maharajas Express 10/1 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Nogo's Dream 11/1 open 5.50 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 Paddy Power
6 Mumayaz 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 Coral
7 Perfect Location 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Musical Soldier 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
9 Kiss And Run 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
10 Gelato 18/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
11 Punchbowl Flyer 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 Bet365
12 Thunderous Love 4/1 open 15.00 7/2 open 10.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 7/2 open 10.00 4/1 Bet365
13 Pedros Dream 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pedros Dream

Speculative

Pedros Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Tony Carroll David Probert
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kiss And Run

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Rachel Cook & John Bridger
✓ Value Signal

Perfect Location

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Tom Ward
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Pedros Dream
55.8 3/1
2 9. Kiss And Run
50.6 4/1
3 12. Thunderous Love
48.0 4/1
4 3. Over Spiced
47.5 8/1
5 4. Maharajas Express
47.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Burdett Estate
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

13
Age 3 · 8-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 5 · 8-12
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 9 · 8-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Burdett Estate
Confidence: Speculative

Burdett Estate (SR:62, 10/1) has steamed in 43% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — which is a significant signal in a 13-runner Class 5 handicap where market intelligence matters. It drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a manageable 9-11, and has proven form at this trip (DistFit:+), the only runner with a confirmed plus rating at 5f160y. The form string shows a recent '1' (rightmost) meaning it won last time out, giving it live confidence heading into today. Brian Toomey (12%) and Jack Callan (14%) are modest but competent connections, and the class drop combined with that market move makes this a compelling case. Each-way alternative: Kiss And Run. Main danger: Kiss And Run — Kiss And Run (SR:73, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-4, has confirmed GoingFit:+ on heavy ground, is a course specialist (W1P6 at Bath), and has had modest but real market support (Mkt:in9%) — the combination of top SR, proven going, and course form makes it the most likely alternative winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string '1-3790' shows the recent win is bookended by a lengthy gap (the '-') and prior finishes of 7th, 9th, 0 — the form before the last win was poor, raising questions about consistency at thi…
  • SR:62 is the second-lowest rating in the top half of the field; Over Spiced (71), Kiss And Run (73), Pedros Dream (70) and Nogo's Dream (69) all carry superior speed ratings into this race.
  • 38 days since last run — not a major concern alone, but combined with a modest trainer strike rate of 12% and jockey at 14%, connections offer limited confidence in placing horses fresh off a break.
  • Market move of in43% is dramatic but Thunderous Love (in35%, 9 days since last run, very fresh) and Pedros Dream (in16%, 11/4 favourite with top connections) both suggest the market's primary money i…
Shortlist Burdett Estate, Kiss And Run, Over Spiced
Each-way: Kiss And Run Danger: Kiss And Run

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f160y Distance to cover
Heavy Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade