EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race) · 2m70y
SR 129 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 166 and market confidence at 1/6 make this the class act.
SR 122 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bebe And Bean | 18/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cheap Sandwiches | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Emerald Tir | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Forthfactor | 1/7 open 1.29 | 1/9 open 1.25 | 1/8 open 1.22 | 1/8 open 1.22 | 1/10 open 1.29 | 1/9 open 1.29 | 1/7 Bet365 |
| 5 King Rolo | 66/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Rock On Ronnie | 15/2 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Chocks Away | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dernier Set | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Dressed Overall | 40/1 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Maria's Joy | 200/1 open 151.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 125/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Forthfactor owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (92) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 166 and market confidence at 1/6 make this the class act.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Forthfactor (SR 166, 1/6) is in a different class to every rival in this field — the next-best SR is Rock On Ronnie at 142, a 24-point gap that is enormous at this level. Dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) into a Class 4 novice hurdle and proven at the trip (DistFit:+), this is a horse whose ability simply dwarfs the opposition. The Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination (22%/27% career strike rates from large sample sizes) is as reliable a team as exists in British jump racing, and the market has continued to shorten (Mkt:in9%) despite the horse being a near-certainty on paper. The sole concern — a 201-day absence and unproven soft going (GoingFit:?) — is outweighed by the class superiority; a horse of this SR does not need peak fitness to beat this field. Each-way alternative: Rock On Ronnie. Main danger: Rock On Ronnie — Rock On Ronnie (SR 142) is the field's second-best rated horse and represents the same powerful Olly Murphy yard; if Forthfactor were to stumble or be stopped in its tracks by the soft ground, Ronnie is best-placed to capitalise at 10/1.