Won last time out and was placed in four of his previous five, so Edmond Halley arrives in cracking form, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Only five days since that success and 139 lb on his back is the main risk, with our rating of 61 ranking him top of 13.
Form last 6335331
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR61RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ramon di Loria brings solid placed form, with a second three starts back and thirds four and five runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 59 ranks him second of 13. The risk is a fading profile, with a sixth then an eighth last time out, though he's fit after 17 days off.
Form last 6633268
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR59RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last six, Jenni was eighth last time out and a fifth two starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 56 ranks her fifth of 13. Her 45-day break and 134 lb from stall 12 leave questions to answer.
Form last 6904658
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Crystal Dagger is yet to win in her last six, with a fourth four starts back her best finish, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after 28 days off. Carrying 134 lb from stall five, she looks a midfield type, rated 56 by us.
Form last 6684880
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Homme de Fer is consistent without cracking it, finishing fourth in his last two outings and third six starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, he's burdened by 132 lb from stall 8, and the yard's 1/35 form is a worry.
Form last 6335544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR53RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six, Keep Me Stable did at least finish third last time out, 17 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before. Still, a string of sevenths and a sixth, plus 131 lb from stall 1, makes her hard to fancy, ranked 10 of 13 on our figures.
Form last 6377063
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR52RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Miss Willows is winless in her last six, with an unplaced effort last time and a seventh two starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after just 13 days. Carrying 131 lb from stall six, she sits seventh of 13 on our rating of 55, a few pounds above her official 51.
Form last 6284070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR55RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Distillate arrives in cracking nick, having won last time out and again two starts back, and she's only 10 days off the last run. She has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 59 backs the pick, though a pair of eighths earlier in the sequence temper things slightly.
Form last 6038811
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR59RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Al Suil Eile is yet to win in his last five, with a fifth two starts back and a fourth three starts back his best efforts, and he was unplaced last time just five days ago. He has run over today's trip and going, but 130 lb from draw 7 is a stiff ask.
Form last 60-6450
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR53RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brother Dave is hard to fancy after a ninth last time out and a sixth two starts back, with 184 days off the track and no win in his last six outings. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and he was third three starts back, from draw 2.
Form last 6243369
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
30SR50RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five, Sovereign Class was sixth last time out 38 days ago and unplaced in the two runs before, so she is hard to fancy. A third five starts back and experience of today's trip and going are the best points, while our rating of 50 ranks her twelfth of 13.
Form last 6-36006
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR50RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Joshuas Dream is winless in his last five, finishing a ninth last time out and no better than eighth in that spell, and he returns after 66 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 126 lb from draw 10, he is hard to fancy as our 13th-ranked runner of 13.
Form last 68-0909
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR41RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Mister Sky Blue is admirably consistent, finishing fourth in each of his last four outings and third five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 57 against an official 45 makes him a leading threat, though he is yet to win in recent starts, and that is the main risk.
Form last 6434444
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR57RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Edmond Halley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8Edward BethellRyan Sexton
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Distillate
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/4 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Sovereign Class
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Grant Tuer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Edmond Halley (SR:64, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — the next-best SR is 55 (Al Suil Eile) and 54 (Homme de Fer), but Edmond Halley's SR of 64 is comfortably superior. The 12% market move in (Mkt:in12%) confirms money is arriving, and Edward Bethell's 17% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field. The recent form 335331 shows a win last time out and consistent competitiveness, while GoingFit:+ confirms he handles this going bucket, and Course:W1P1 adds a Southwell course winner stamp at 7f. Carrying 9-13 as top-weight is a minor concern in a Class 6 sprint, but the SR advantage of 9+ points over the nearest rivals makes this manageable.
Each-way alternative: Distillate.
Main danger: Distillate — Distillate (SR:46, evens) is the market favourite with Course:W2P2 and a recent 038811 form string showing two consecutive wins, and although GoingFit:- is a concern and the 5% drift is a mild negative signal, the course specialist record and back-to-back winning form make it the most likely danger to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Carrying 9-13 as top-weight in a Class 6 AW sprint at Southwell — concedes 9lb to Distillate (evens, SR:46, Course:W2P2) who is the market favourite and is shorter in the market despite lower SR.
Distillate drifted only 5% out and is at evens — the market as a whole is NOT endorsing Edmond Halley as favourite despite the 12% in-move, suggesting the money flow may be insufficient to overcome t…
Only 5 days since last run (Days:5) — a very quick turnaround following a win last time out; fitness risk of a horse being asked to back up so sharply, especially top-weighted.
Jockey Ryan Sexton has only a 12% strike rate from 769 rides — weaker than Clifford Lee (17%) on Homme de Fer and Robert Havlin (15%) on Al Suil Eile, both dangers with superior jockey form today.
ShortlistEdmond Halley, Al Suil Eile, Homme de Fer, Distillate