Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Petticoat Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Aidan O'BrienJack Cleary(5)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
San Juan De Lope
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · P. Twomey✓ Value Signal
Handsoffshesmine
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · A. Slattery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Wunderschon (SR:101, 11/8) is the clear market leader at 11/8 with no drift recorded, and in a fillies maiden where form is thin across the board, market confidence in a nine-runner field carries significant weight. The favourite's DistFit:- is a concern at 1m, but the form string 7344 shows consistent recent activity and the Harrington yard (10%, 1678 runners) is a solid operation. Anymore (SR:144, 11/1) steamed 15% but carries the apprentice Paddy Harnett (9%, 447 runners) rather than a senior booking, and in a maiden the bar for opposing 11/8 without a hard negative on the favourite's line — no drift, no long absence, no marked failure — is too high to clear. Petticoat Bay (SR:153) has drifted 15% and is clearly not the O'Brien yard's #1 pick, so Wunderschon's market supremacy stands.
Each-way alternative: Anymore.
Main danger: Petticoat Bay — Petticoat Bay holds the highest SR in the field at 153 and is trained by Aidan O'Brien (22% strike rate), and if the 15% drift is noise rather than a genuine negative signal, her raw ability could assert over a mile.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Wunderschon has the lowest Speed Rating in the field at SR:101 — Petticoat Bay (153), San Juan De Lope (151) and Anymore (144) all rate significantly faster on raw figures.
Jockey Nathan Crosse strikes at just 4% from 949 rides — the weakest book in the field by a distance, a material negative in a competitive maiden.
Form string 7344 shows a horse finishing mid-field or worse across four starts; no win or runner-up finish to underpin favouritism at 11/8.
San Juan De Lope (SR:151, 4/1, P. Twomey 25% yard) is a debut runner from the highest-strike-rate yard in the race and represents a significant unquantified threat at a tempting price.