Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap Hurdle Race · 1m7f182y
SR 92 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 suggests ability but 15/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lully du Houx | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Boyles Hill | 6/5 open 3.50 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 3.50 | 6/5 open 3.50 | 5/4 open 3.50 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 5/4 Paddy Power |
| 3 Berkshire Smudge | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 4 Whatsgoingonmarvin | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Department of War | 100/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Kates Choice | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dalcassian Girl | 12/1 open 2.75 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 2.75 | 12/1 open 2.75 | 11/1 open 2.75 | 12/1 open 3.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Boyles Hill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 96 suggests ability but 15/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Boyles Hill (SR:96, 15/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which is a significant concession from connections and suggests they are targeting a win here. The market has steamed 15% since opening, confirming meaningful support at a competitive price. Adam Wedge (14% strike rate, 476 career rides) is a solid booking. The unknowns on distance and going (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) are a mild concern, but at Class 5 over a staying hurdle trip, the class drop and SR advantage of 5-9 points over the nearest rivals outweigh those question marks. Each-way alternative: Whatsgoingonmarvin. Main danger: Whatsgoingonmarvin — Whatsgoingonmarvin (SR:87, 10/3) has steamed in 34% in the market with Sean Bowen — a 24% career strike-rate jockey — aboard, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and has moderate going fit (GoingFit:~), making it the horse connections and the market most believe can win despite the DistFit:- flag.