AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m14y
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sin City | 6/4 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.88 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Beaujon | 11/8 open 2.63 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 6/4 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 William Hill |
| 3 Casement Park | 300/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Dream of Albion | 150/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Shadow Boxer | 5/2 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 9/4 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.62 | 2/1 open 2.25 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Wild Rock | 50/1 | 30/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Galileo's Gift | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Momotombo | 50/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beaujon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Beaujon (SR:156, 11/10) is head and shoulders above the field on ability — a 5-point SR gap over Shadow Boxer and a 28-point gap over the next group is decisive in a novice where class translates directly. The market has backed this view emphatically, steaming in 20% since opening, while rival Shadow Boxer has drifted a massive 28% out — the money is not split between the two joint-favourites, it is entirely on Beaujon. At 9-4 to carry, Beaujon holds a 7lb weight advantage over Sin City and enjoys a significant pull on Shadow Boxer (same weight, 5 SR points inferior, drifting badly). In a novice at Class 4 over an identical trip to Brian Meehan's yard's profile, the combination of elite SR, market confidence and weight edge makes this a straightforward selection. Each-way alternative: Sin City. Main danger: Shadow Boxer — Shadow Boxer (SR:151, 9/4) holds the second-best SR in the field and Robert Havlin is a strong booking, but the 28% market drift and tongue-tie addition suggest connections or the market know of a concern — if those worries prove unfounded on the day, a SR:151 novice cannot be ignored.