Wisper looks a leading threat, having finished third two starts back and a third four starts back after winning five starts back, and she's fresh enough off an 18-day break, with our rating of 90 ranking her second of 14. The main risk is a sixth last time out, plus 140 lb to carry.
Form last 6-13436
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR90RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Box To Box is yet to win in his last five, but two seconds four and five starts back show he can go close, and he has run over today's trip before. Our 93 rating tops the field, though the yard's cold run is a mild concern.
Form last 622-655
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR93RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Royal Approval won two starts back before a sixth last time out, and his 84 rating, fourth of 14, backs him as a leading danger, having run over today's trip and carrying 138 lb from draw 11. The main risk is a 114-day absence, so fitness is the question.
Form last 60901-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR84RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Oratorical won four starts back and was third five runs ago, while his 87 rating ranks third of 14 and he has run on today's going before. The risk is a poor recent trend of unplaced, sixth and eighth, plus 60 days off.
Form last 631-860
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR87RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Belfrina won last time out after an eighth two starts back, but that came 587 days ago, and such a long absence is a real concern; she has run over today's trip and going, yet carries 134 lb off 79 and is ranked eleventh of 14 on our figures.
Form last 681/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR73RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out, Due To Henry has run over today's trip and returns after 28 days, but he was a sixth and a seventh in the two runs before that, and 132 lb is a notable burden from draw 6. Our rating of 84 puts him fifth of 14.
Form last 6535761
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Just An Hour won three starts back and was third two starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and is back after just one day, which raises a freshness question. He has run over today's trip, carries 130 lb from draw 9, and our rating of 82 ranks him seventh of 14.
Form last 6334130
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Helga is hard to fancy after 246 days off, having finished fifth last time out, and she is ranked 14th of 14 on our figures at 64 against an official 77. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and was a winner two starts back, from draw 3.
Form last 68-15
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR64RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three wins in her last six starts and a third two runs back point to a capable filly, though she was only fifth last time and returns after 62 days off, with a yard in poor form (1 from 24). She has run over today's trip and carries 127 lb from stall four.
Form last 6121135
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR77RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Newtown Duke has been creeping backwards since a win five starts back, finishing third, third, fourth and then eighth last time out, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 17 days. A yard at 1/23 lately and a mid-pack ranking of eighth of 14 on our rating temper the appeal from 126 lb.
Form last 61-3348
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR80RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kokoluna won two starts back and five starts back, with a second three starts back, but she was only seventh last time out 22 days ago. She has run over today's trip, and our rating of 76 leaves her tenth of 14, so she looks mid-pack here.
Form last 6-14217
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR76RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sergei Breeze was a fifth last time out after a second two starts back, and he's yet to win in his last five, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 28 days. Our rating of 83 sits well above his official 73, but ranking sixth of 14 suggests a modest ceiling.
Form last 68-4325
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR83RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Albus Anne won last time out and was third two starts back, with a 21-day gap suggesting she's fit, but a pair of sixths before that and a 12th-of-14 ranking on our figures make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and carries 123 lb from draw 14.
Form last 6-46631
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten into ninth last time out, The Dark Baron is hard to fancy, with fourths three, four and five starts back and only one win in his last six, though that victory came two starts back and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 67 ranks him 13th of 14, and he carries 121 lb from stall one.
Form last 6644419
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR67RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sergei Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Kathy TurnerCharlie Tucker(7)
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Box To Box
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
17/2 · Hugo Palmer✓ Value Signal
Helga
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Jack Channon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Albus Anne (SR:78, 4/1) is the market leader and the case is built on multiple converging signals. Course:W6P8 at Bath is exceptional specialist form — six wins and eight places from prior visits, which on a track as quirky and undulating as Bath is a massive edge. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles heavy ground, a critical factor today when many rivals show GoingFit:?. Despite stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 6lb above her last win (MarkMv:+6), her Bath record transcends those concerns, and the market has backed her in 13% since opening. Wgt:8-11 is the second-lightest weight in the field, giving her a 13lb pull on the co-joint top-weights, and jockey Olivia Haines (15% strike rate) is in good form.
Each-way alternative: Wisper.
Main danger: Box To Box — Box To Box (SR:81, 6/1) is the joint-highest SR in the field, carries only 10-0, and has been backed in 15% — the visor goes on for the first time which could sharpen a horse whose recent 2-2 placed form shows ability if the headgear unlocks improvement.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Trainer Jimmy Fox runs at only 9% strike rate from just 86 runners — a very thin, low-volume operation that rarely lands big-field handicaps, and Albus Anne is the yard's headline runner under pressu…
MarkMv:+6 means she is running off a mark 6lb higher than her last win; at 7 years old with recent form reading -46631, she has not won since and may have peaked on her handicap mark.
Due To Henry (11/2) has drifted 28% in the market yet shows Stable:1 (in-form yard) with a winning form figure of 535761 — a live rival whose drift masks strong stable confidence signals that could n…
Jockey Olivia Haines holds a 7lb claim but has only 96 rides in the database — limited big-race experience in a 14-runner handicap on testing heavy ground at Bath's tricky undulating track could be e…
ShortlistAlbus Anne, Wisper, Box To Box, Due To Henry