Stratford 15:20 RESULTED
Class 3 29 Oct 2026

Today Happy Birthday Penny Tyacke Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Happy Birthday Penny Tyacke Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m3f98y

Official Result

Happy Birthday Penny Tyacke Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gatineau Park (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
    5/2F
  2. Second Go West (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 25 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Issam silks
Issam
Age 8 · 12-2
13616-
142
127
141
8
12-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 13/2 9/1
Issam has won twice in his last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. A sixth last time and 243 days off are the only reservations, but he tops our ratings and looks the one to beat despite carrying 170 lb.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
George's Lad silks
George's Lad
Age 6 · 11-13
4251-3
139
119
133
6
11-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 15/2 17/2
Third last time out, and a winner two starts back, George's Lad is fresh from a 15-day break and has run over today's trip, but he carries 167 lb off an official mark of 139. Our rating of 133 ranks him sixth of ten, so that big weight looks the sticking point.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Go West silks
Go West
Age 8 · 11-11
23144-
137
124
137
8
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 7/1 10/1
Go West has hit the frame in three of his last five, including a win three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before; the one concern is a 187-day absence, which leaves fitness the question under 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Mr Hope Street silks
Mr Hope Street
Age 8 · 11-9
/6341-
135
130
133
8
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 11/2
Won last time out, with a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, 201 days off is a long absence, and 163 lb is a hefty burden, with our rating of 133 leaving him seventh of ten.
AI verdict

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Jipcot silks
Jipcot
Age 7 · 11-5
31404-
131
130
134
7
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
Jipcot ran a fourth last time out and has a win four starts back, plus experience over today's trip and going, but he returns after 195 days off and carries 159 lb. Our rating of 134 ranks him fifth of ten, so he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Gatineau Park silks
Gatineau Park FAV
Age 6 · 11-4
/5121-
130
138
128
6
11-4
★★★★☆
—
2/1
Gatineau Park won last time out and two of his last four, with a second in between, but 236 days off is a big concern and 158 lb is a hefty burden. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him ninth of ten.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Lounge Lizard silks
Lounge Lizard
Age 9 · 10-13
/P5F-7
125
90
138
9
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 33/1 100/1
Lounge Lizard has run over today's trip and on this going before, and he's rated 138 by us, second of ten and well clear of his official 125 off 153 lb. The risk is a shaky recent record, a seventh last time, and 159 days off.
AI verdict

SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

8
Big Ticket silks
Big Ticket
Age 5 · 10-13
2P133-
125
126
124
5
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 13/2 5/1
Big Ticket has been creditable in recent starts, with a third last time out, another third two starts back and a win three starts back, but a 217-day absence is a concern. Carrying 153 lb and ranked last of ten on our figures, he is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Bucksy des Epeires silks
Bucksy des Epeires
Age 7 · 10-10
44U1P-
122
110
132
7
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 11/1
Pulled up last time out after a win two starts back, and now returning from 236 days off, Bucksy des Epeires is hard to fancy, with an unseated three starts back adding to the doubts. He has run over today's trip and going, and carries 150 lb off 122.
AI verdict

SR 110 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Onemorefortheroad silks
Onemorefortheroad
Age 11 · 10-10
24P/2-
122
108
135
11
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 28/1
Onemorefortheroad returns from a 405-day absence having finished second last time out, and he has been runner-up twice in his last four starts, with a fourth three starts back as well. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 135 sits well above his official 122, but ring rust is the obvious risk off 150 lb.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Issam 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
2 George's Lad 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 Bet365
3 Go West 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Mr Hope Street 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Betfred
5 Jipcot 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
6 Gatineau Park 2/1 5/2 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Paddy Power
7 Lounge Lizard 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
8 Big Ticket 11/2 open 12.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 13.00 11/2 Bet365
9 Bucksy des Epeires 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Onemorefortheroad 28/1 open 12.00 30/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 30/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gatineau Park

Live signal

Gatineau Park owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Tom Bellamy
77% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jipcot

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
✓ Value Signal

Onemorefortheroad

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Neil King
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +29.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Gatineau Park
71.1 2/1
2 5. Jipcot
65.7 11/2
3 4. Mr Hope Street
65.4 11/2
4 1. Issam
61.6 10/1
5 8. Big Ticket
60.8 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gatineau Park
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 6 · 11-4
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 138 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 8 · 11-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 130 🐾 —

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 11-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 130 🐾 —

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 10-13
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 126 🐾 —

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾 —

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-13
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 124 🐾 —

SR 124 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 10-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gatineau Park
Confidence: Speculative

Gatineau Park (SR:138, 2/1) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 8 SR points above the next best — and crucially carries only 11-4, meaning the weight advantage over Issam (12-2) and Mr Hope Street (11-9) is real and significant on soft ground. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm the trip and conditions are proven quantities, and the form string /5121- shows a progressive 6-year-old who has won twice in four completed runs this season. Yes, ClassMv:↑1 is a flag, but the SR gap and weight advantage more than compensate for the step up in class, and the 2/1 market price has held without any meaningful drift, suggesting stable confidence in a horse returning after 236 days — a yard that books Tom Bellamy (16% career SR) regularly, signalling this is a live intended run. Each-way alternative: Mr Hope Street. Main danger: Big Ticket — Big Ticket (SR:126, 8/1) has been steamed into significantly (Mkt:in31%), the strongest market move in the field, suggesting market intelligence that the data alone does not fully capture — a 5-year-old with improvement potentially in hand.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 236-day layoff is a significant fitness question — HG:t flag suggests the horse needs the run, and Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls' 16% strike rate offers no special confidence in returning horses first ti…
  • ClassMv:↑1 combined with a MarkMv:+5 means the handicapper has already reassessed upwards; Gatineau Park must prove the SR:138 rating is genuine against a stiffer benchmark than last season's wins.
  • Mr Hope Street (SR:130, 4/1, Dan/Harry Skelton 22%/27%) and Jipcot (SR:130, 5/1) are proven operators at this level with far shorter breaks, giving them a fitness and rhythm edge over a horse absent…
  • Form string /5121- shows the last completed run was a dash (-), meaning we have no recent racecourse evidence the horse has trained on; one poor run last time out at an unknown point undermines the p…
Shortlist Gatineau Park, Mr Hope Street, Big Ticket
Each-way: Mr Hope Street Danger: Big Ticket

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m3f98y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade