Alkuwarrior arrives fresh from a third last time out, and a third two starts back, after 10 days off, and he has run over today's trip before. Yet to win in his last six starts, he carries 135 lb from stall 13, and our rating of 68 ranks him fifth of 15.
Form last 6566733
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Red Snapper won three and four starts back, then a second two starts back, so this gelding is a leading danger, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is a sixth last time out, while he carries 135 lb from stall six.
Form last 6771126
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out and fresh enough after 21 days, Maid In Devon has run over today's trip and sits two pounds better on our rating than her official 62, but she's won once in her last six starts, with that success six runs back, and carries 132 lb from stall ten.
Form last 6163604
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR64RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Act of Violence arrives with a solid recent profile, having been second three starts back and third four back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 70 ranks him fourth of 15. The main risk is a stable struggling at 1/35 in the last 14 days, plus a sixth last time out.
Form last 6413246
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR70RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Call Time arrives in cracking nick, runner-up in his last two starts after back-to-back wins, and he has run over today's trip and going, yet 131 lb from stall 12 is a big ask. Our rating of 63 ranks him only twelfth of 15, so he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6351122
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR63RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arnaz is a leading danger, a dual winner five and six starts back who has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's fresh enough after 17 days off; our rating of 70 sits third of 15 and comfortably above his official 61. The risk is a recent slump of three sixths in his last four outings.
Form last 6116566
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR70RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jenny Jerome is winless in her last six, with an unplaced effort last time out and a second six starts back her best recent finish, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and is back quickly after eight days, but 130 lb from draw 7 is a big ask, and our figures rank her 11th of 15.
Form last 6285430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR63RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Neptune Legend was beaten in ninth last time out, though a fifth two starts back and a win six starts back show some ability, and he has run over today's trip. A 16-day break and a cold yard (1/35) hold him back, while our rating of 64 sits above his official 60.
Form last 6160059
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Emporess has been well beaten lately, an eighth last time out and winless in her last five, though a quick 10-day turnaround and previous experience over today's trip and going give her a platform. A yard out of form (1/35) and 130 lb from stall four temper enthusiasm, though our rating of 65 sits above her official 60.
Form last 690-508
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR65RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Two And Two is yet to win in her last six, but she was a fourth last time out just ten days ago and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 74 ranks her top of the 15 and well clear of her official mark of 60.
Form last 6040574
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR74RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Savannah Smiles is winless in her last six, with a fourth three starts back her best finish and an unplaced effort last time, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after ten days, but our rating of 61 ranks her 14th of 15.
Form last 6695460
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR61RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Legendsoftheland was fourth last time out after an eighth two starts back, so the recent trend is hard to love, and our rating has him 13th of 15. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, is back after just 15 days, and has a win five starts back.
Form last 6313284
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR63RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hard to fancy as the lowest-ranked of 15 on our figures, yet Iconic Dawn has finished third last time out, and a third two starts back, after a win three starts back, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 127 lb from draw 11, she looks outclassed here.
Form last 6744133
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Connie's Rose has been consistent, finishing fourth last time out, a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Yet she is winless in her last six, and carrying 126 lb from stall 17 leaves her a little to prove despite our rating of 67.
Form last 6433344
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR67RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lahina Bay is yet to win in her last six, though seconds three and four starts back show she can get involved, and she has run over today's trip and going; unplaced last time and an eighth two starts back suggest her form has cooled, with our rating of 63 only tenth of 15.
Form last 6732280
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR63RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Legendsoftheland owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Adrian WintleFinley Marsh
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Red Snapper
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Kathy Turner✓ Value Signal
Savannah Smiles
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Grace Harris◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Red Snapper (SR 74, 6/1, 9-9) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into a very modest Class 6 contest where an SR of 74 stands well above the pack. The market has backed this horse in 18% since opening, the strongest steaming signal in the field, suggesting informed money at a workable price. Course form is excellent with W1P3 at Bath, and running off the same mark as the last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not punished any recent improvement. The blinkers (HG:b) are consistent headgear and the trainer (Kathy Turner, 18% strike rate from 66 runners) is sharp for a small yard. GoingFit:? is the main uncertainty on heavy ground, but the overall profile — best SR, dropping in class, course specialist, market confidence — makes this the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: Legendsoftheland.
Main danger: Call Time — Call Time (SR 70, 7/1) has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on heavy ground — the one key credential Red Snapper currently lacks — plus Course:W1P4 at Bath and recent back-to-back wins in the form string (1122), though the 11lb rise since last win (MarkMv:+11) is a real concern.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:? on heavy ground is a genuine red flag — Red Snapper's Bath course form (W1P3) was almost certainly achieved on faster surfaces, making that course record potentially misleading today.
Jockey Charlie Tucker claims 7lb but posts only a 9% strike rate from 134 rides — well below average and a meaningful negative when piloting the market's main hope in testing conditions.
Call Time (SR:70, MarkMv:+11) is on a sharp upward trajectory with 2 wins in last 2 starts, has superior course form W1P4, and is only 4 points below Red Snapper's SR — a much tighter class gap than…
Legendsoftheland (9/2 favourite, SR:66) is drifting only mildly and has a MarkMv:+2 suggesting the handicapper sees improvement; at 9/2 the market clearly prefers it, contradicting the narrative that…
ShortlistRed Snapper, Legendsoftheland, Call Time, Act of Violence