Walters Group National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 1m7f182y
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Clondaw Sergeant | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 De Inovator | 7/2 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Goodbye Earl | 13/8 open 5.00 | 13/8 open 4.33 | 6/4 open 4.50 | 6/4 open 4.50 | 7/4 open 5.00 | 7/4 open 4.50 | 7/4 William Hill |
| 4 Memphis Bel | 20/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 | 12/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Miravis | 20/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Mistral du Chenet | 9/2 open 19.00 | 9/2 open 15.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Verney Fox | 13/8 open 2.10 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 13/8 open 2.20 | 13/8 open 2.20 | 13/8 open 2.10 | 13/8 open 2.25 | 13/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Verney Fox owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Goodbye Earl (SR 110, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has been heavily backed — a 19% market move in is a meaningful signal in a 7-runner bumper. David Pipe (15% strike rate, 885 career runners) is a competent handler for this type, and Rian Corcoran (5) at 15% from 184 career rides is an able pilot. The form string '31-' shows a placed effort and a win, suggesting a horse in progressive order stepping into a bumper after a break — the market endorsement is the critical extra layer here. Verney Fox (SR 106, 6/5) is the danger and the favourite, but Mistral du Chenet's extraordinary 73% market steam warrants monitoring; Goodbye Earl offers better odds with equivalent signals minus the steam concern. Each-way alternative: Mistral du Chenet. Main danger: Verney Fox — Verney Fox (SR 106, 6/5) is the market leader trained by Paul Nicholls (22% strike rate, 573 runners) — a yard that routinely sends out bumper winners, and the 12% jockey strike rate from Keighley is acceptable; if Nicholls has targeted this Class 5 elimination deliberately, the favourite has every right to win.