Southwell (AW) 19:00 29 Oct 2026
Class 3 29 Oct 2026

Today AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes

AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes · 7f15y

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  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Storm Free Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 11 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Asuka silks
Asuka
Age 4 · 9-12
/21134
93
104
98
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 3/1 10/3
Asuka arrives with two wins in his last five starts, a third two starts back and a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 98 ranks him second of 14, but 46 days off and 138 lb from stall 14 leave the layoff as the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Storm Free silks
Storm Free
Age 4 · 9-12
606118
93
97
93
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 13/2 3/1
Storm Free won two starts back and three starts back, but was an eighth last time out, and that 34-day break raises a fitness question. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 138 lb off an official 93 and a ninth-ranked rating of 92 make this a tough ask from draw 3.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mirabeau silks
Mirabeau
Age 4 · 9-11
012000
92
75
94
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 33/1
Mirabeau has been unplaced in his last three starts, though a second four starts back and a win five starts back show he can still be competitive; he has run over today's trip and returns after 40 days off. Carrying 137 lb from draw 7, his 94 rating ranks him eighth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Nikovo silks
Nikovo
Age 7 · 9-10
433150
91
81
95
7
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 12/1 11/1
Nikovo won three starts back and was third before that, but he was unplaced last time and a fifth two starts back, so the form has cooled. He has run over today's trip and going, and 20 days since his last run is fine, though 136 lb from draw nine is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Grand Traverse silks
Grand Traverse
Age 6 · 9-10
665-65
91
63
95
6
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 33/1
Consistent but yet to win in his last five, Grand Traverse has finished fifth, sixth, fifth, sixth and sixth, and has run over today's trip and going, though a 238-day absence and 136 lb are hurdles. Our rating of 95 sits above his official 91, suggesting a fair chance from draw 5.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
First Legion silks
First Legion
Age 3 · 9-9
454512
92
99
96
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 11/2
First Legion arrives in good heart, a second last time out and a winner two starts back, after a break of 27 days, and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 96 ranks him third of 14, and while 135 lb is a hefty burden, his profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Alfa Kellenic silks
Alfa Kellenic
Age 5 · 9-9
/036-0
90
72
101
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 25/1
Alfa Kellenic is fresh enough after 19 days off, a third three starts back shows she can go close, and she has run over today's trip and going from stall 1; our rating of 101 puts her top of the 14, 11 lb clear of her official 90. The risk is a fade to unplaced last time and a sixth before that.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Oliver Show silks
Oliver Show
Age 6 · 9-9
044276
90
89
95
6
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 10/1
Oliver Show has been beaten in his last two, a sixth last time out and a seventh two starts back, though he ran a second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Winless in his last six, he's off 36 days, and our rating of 95 sits above his official 90.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
American Gulf silks
American Gulf
Age 3 · 9-7
0922-0
90
82
92
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 FCST 18/1
American Gulf bounced back from a ninth to finish second twice, but he was unplaced last time out and remains winless in his last five starts. He has run over today's trip and returns after 24 days, while our rating of 92 only ranks him tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Khaleejy silks
Khaleejy
Age 5 · 9-6
142
87
94
83
5
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 13/2 11/2
Khaleejy was second last time out and a winner three starts back, but he returns after 119 days off, and our rating of 83 ranks him 12th of 14 against an official mark of 87 and 132 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, which is the best that can be said.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Yorkshire silks
Yorkshire
Age 6 · 9-6
923070
87
91
96
6
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 5/1 13/2
Yorkshire arrives fresh after 17 days and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 96 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits well above his official 87. The risk is a recent slide, with unplaced and seventh finishes in his last three outings, and he is yet to win in six.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Dapper Guest silks
Dapper Guest
Age 4 · 9-6
031100
87
67
76
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Dapper Guest has been unplaced in his last two starts after back-to-back wins three and four starts back, and that dip is hard to ignore at 132 lb off an official rating of 87. He has run over today's trip and going and is fit enough after 16 days, but our rating of 76 ranks him last of 14.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Down To The Kid silks
Down To The Kid
Age 7 · 9-5
131226
86
75
83
7
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 11/1 22/1
Down To The Kid showed plenty earlier, with two wins and two seconds in his last six, but he was only sixth last time and returns after 187 days off. Carrying 131 lb from draw 6, he has run over this trip and on this going, yet our figures rank him 13th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Raging Raj silks
Raging Raj
Age 3 · 9-3
151260
86
85
85
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 12/1
Raging Raj is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and a sixth two starts back, though he did score twice in his last six starts, with a second three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, and 16 days since his last run is fine, but our rating of 85 ranks him eleventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Asuka 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Paddy Power
2 Storm Free 4/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Mirabeau 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Nikovo 14/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Grand Traverse 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
6 First Legion 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Coral
7 Alfa Kellenic 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Oliver Show 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
9 American Gulf 25/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
10 Khaleejy 6/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 13/2 Coral
11 Yorkshire 13/2 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Coral
12 Dapper Guest 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365
13 Down To The Kid 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
14 Raging Raj 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Asuka

Speculative

Asuka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 George Boughey P. J. McDonald
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

First Legion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

American Gulf

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Oliver Cole
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Asuka
58.7 10/3
2 6. First Legion
56.6 11/2
3 2. Storm Free
56.3 4/1
4 10. Khaleejy
54.2 6/1
5 11. Yorkshire
54.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Storm Free
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-12
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 6 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 9-9
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Storm Free
Confidence: Speculative

Storm Free (SR:97, 13/2) posts the second-highest SR in the field and, crucially, arrives with DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — proven at this trip and on this going — while carrying the joint-lowest weight among the leading SR group at 9-12. His form string 606118 shows a last-time win and a place before that, meaning peak form is current. Trainer James Tate hits at 18% and the horse has a course win and place (Course:W1P1) at Southwell, giving him a specialist edge. The market favourite Asuka (SR:104, 7/2) carries the same 9-12 top-weight, has DistFit:? (unproven at the trip), steps down only one class with a mark 4lb above last win, and her form shows a 4 then a 3 in the last two runs — regressing rather than improving. Storm Free's combination of proven trip+going credentials, current winning form, course familiarity, and a lighter weight edge over Asuka's SR advantage makes him the stronger overall case. Each-way alternative: Yorkshire. Main danger: Asuka — Asuka holds the highest SR in the field at 104 and drops a class for trainer George Boughey (18% strike rate), and if the unproven trip (DistFit:?) proves no obstacle she has the raw ability to dominate this grade.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Storm Free's SR of 97 is notably lower than First Legion (99) and Asuka (104), and First Legion arrives on a tighter 27-day turnaround with a last-time win (form 454512) at 5/1 — significantly shorte…
  • MarkMv:+4 means Storm Free's official mark has risen 4lb since last win, so he is 4lb higher-rated than when he won — the handicapper has responded and his winning margin may not have been wide enoug…
  • Jockey Lewis Edmunds (12% strike rate, 1954 rides) is one of the weaker riders in the field relative to his book; Yorkshire's Clifford Lee (17%) and Khaleejy's Kevin Stott (15%) both represent superi…
  • Yorkshire (SR:91, 11/2) carries 6lb less than Storm Free, holds Course:W1P2 at Southwell, has been dropped 8lb in the weights (MarkMv:-8), and is trained by Edward Bethell at 17% — a well-handicapped…
Shortlist Storm Free, Asuka, First Legion, Yorkshire
Each-way: Yorkshire Danger: Asuka

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade