Southwell (AW) 17:30 29 Oct 2026
Class 6 29 Oct 2026

Today ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap Stakes

ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap Stakes · 7f15y

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  • 14 declared
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AI rates Son of Light Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 11 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
From Me To You silks
From Me To You
Age 2 · 9-13
406361
63
69
73
2
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 7/2 8/1
Won last time out and back within six days, this gelding looks a leading danger, having also run over today's trip and on the going, with our rating of 73 ranking him fourth of 14. The risk is a quick turnaround under 139 lb after a patchy run of form before that win.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Diamondise silks
Diamondise
Age 2 · 9-9
098
65
55
51
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 9/1
Diamondise is yet to win in his last three starts, finishing eighth last time out and ninth two runs before, and he returns after 40 days off. He has run over today's trip and his official 65 is modest, but carrying 135 lb from draw 4, our 51 rating ranks him 13th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Passerine silks
Passerine
Age 2 · 9-9
45243
65
63
81
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 15/2 20/1
Passerine arrives in sound recent form, third last time out and a second three starts back, and she is fit after just 14 days off, having run over today's trip before. Our rating of 81 makes her the one to beat, though she is yet to win in her last five.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lilywhite Hart silks
Lilywhite Hart
Age 2 · 9-9
955636
65
41
72
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 14/1 17/2
Lilywhite Hart was sixth last time out after a third two starts back, which is her best recent effort, and she has run over today's trip. She's yet to win in her last six starts, though, and 135 lb from draw 10 asks plenty, even if our rating of 72 ranks her fifth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Wintour silks
Wintour
Age 2 · 9-9
964
65
64
69
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 9/1
Wintour is winless in her last three, though a fourth last time out, after a sixth two starts back and a ninth three starts back, shows she is heading the right way. She has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 20 days, but 135 lb from stall 8 is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Forever Faithfull silks
Forever Faithfull
Age 2 · 9-9
786
65
45
53
2
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 28/1
Forever Faithfull is hard to fancy, having finished sixth last time out, then an eighth two starts back and a seventh three starts back, so she is winless in her last three. She has run over today's trip and returns after 22 days, but 135 lb from stall 5 and our rating of 53, ranked 12 of 14, leave her with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Son of Light silks
Son of Light
Age 2 · 9-9
43
65
71
68
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/4 3/1 2/1
Son of Light was third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, so he arrives in steady form after 23 days off, having run over today's trip and going before. He is yet to win in recent starts, though, and 135 lb from stall 12 is a fair burden.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Caravel silks
Caravel
Age 2 · 9-8
774
64
52
68
2
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1
Caravel showed a bit more when fourth last time out after two sevenths, but she's winless in her last three and returns from a 92-day break, which leaves fitness a question. She has run over today's trip and drops in from stall 1, with our rating of 68 only mid-pack at eighth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Tarn Hows silks
Tarn Hows
Age 2 · 9-8
073
64
51
50
2
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 15/2
Tarn Hows is winless in his last three, though a third last time out, 21 days ago, is a positive, and he has run over today's trip. Carrying 134 lb from draw 14, he is hard to fancy, with our figures ranking him last of 14.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Perfect Hope silks
Perfect Hope
Age 2 · 9-8
982222
64
76
79
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 7/1
Perfect Hope has finished second in each of her last four starts, including last time out 27 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 79 ranks her second of 14. The risk is that she remains yet to win and carries 134 lb from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Hoosier silks
Hoosier
Age 2 · 9-7
5446
63
60
74
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 7/1 11/1
Hoosier is fit after a run just 10 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 74 ranks her third of 14 and makes her a leading danger off an official 63. The risk is that she is winless in her last four, including a sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Kochella silks
Kochella
Age 2 · 9-7
30637
63
48
67
2
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 16/1
Kochella is winless in her last five, with a seventh last time out, though she was third two starts back, and a 71-day break raises fitness questions. She has run over today's trip and our rating of 67 is above her official 63, but 133 lb from stall seven is a tall order.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

13
Lopefernza silks
Lopefernza
Age 2 · 9-3
6675
59
53
62
2
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 12/1
Lopefernza was fifth last time out, and he has finished sixth and seventh in the starts before, so he is consistent but yet to win in his last four starts. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 62 sits a few pounds above his official 59, though 129 lb from stall 13 after 35 days off keeps him mid-pack.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Ten of Clubs silks
Ten of Clubs
Age 2 · 9-2
880308
58
41
62
2
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Ten of Clubs is winless in his last six, with an eighth last time out and just a third three starts back to show, while a yard going 1 from 35 offers little encouragement. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 10 days, but ranked 11th of 14 on our figures he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 From Me To You 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.50 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 4.50 8/1 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.50 17/2 Bet365
2 Diamondise 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Passerine 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
4 Lilywhite Hart 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 26.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 9/1 open 23.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Wintour 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
6 Forever Faithfull 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Son of Light 9/4 open 6.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 open 6.50 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 6.50 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
8 Caravel 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
9 Tarn Hows 17/2 open 13.00 15/2 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
10 Perfect Hope 15/2 open 5.00 7/1 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
11 Hoosier 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 Bet365
12 Kochella 20/1 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 20/1 Bet365
13 Lopefernza 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
14 Ten of Clubs 50/1 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Son of Light

Speculative

Son of Light owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Dylan Hogan
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Perfect Hope

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Tom Ward
✓ Value Signal

Forever Faithfull

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Jonathan Portman
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Son of Light
50.2 9/4
2 10. Perfect Hope
48.4 15/2
3 1. From Me To You
45.6 17/2
4 5. Wintour
45.5 10/1
5 8. Caravel
43.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Son of Light
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-9
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 9-8
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-13
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 9-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾 —

SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 2 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 2 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Son of Light
Confidence: Speculative

Son of Light holds the joint-highest SR in the field at 71, drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), and has been backed meaningfully from its opening price (Mkt:in21%) — money coming for a lightly-raced two-year-old with only two runs on the card is a meaningful signal. The form figures of 4-3 show consistent placed form and there is clear scope for improvement; the addition of headgear (p) suggests connections expect a step forward. At 10/3 it is the market's second-shortest price and carries just 9-9, 4lb below the top-weight From Me To You, which has drifted badly (Mkt:out24%) and shows a recent form string of 4-0-6-3-6-1 — patchy at best. The distance fitness is unproven for Son of Light (DistFit:?) but that is equally true for most of this field on this trip, so it is not a specific disadvantage. Each-way alternative: Perfect Hope. Main danger: Diamondise — Diamondise has been backed aggressively from its opening price (Mkt:in30%), drops three classes (ClassMv:↓3), and despite a DistFit:- flag, the market confidence here is the strongest single movement in the whole field and cannot be entirely dismissed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos has a strike rate of just 5% from 74 runners — by far the weakest yard in this field, and a joint-top SR means little if connections rarely get horses to win.
  • Only two career runs (form 4-3) means Son of Light is largely unexposed and the class drop may reflect connections seeking confidence rather than a horse ready to win; headgear first time can also un…
  • Perfect Hope (SR:76, higher than Son of Light's 71) is already equipped with a tongue-tie and cheekpieces (tp), has four placed efforts from six starts showing genuine consistency at this level, and…
  • Distance fitness marked '?' for a horse with only two runs is a genuine unknown on Southwell's unique Fibresand surface, which rewards specific stamina profiles that Son of Light has never demonstrat…
Shortlist Son of Light, Perfect Hope, From Me To You, Diamondise
Each-way: Perfect Hope Danger: Diamondise

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade