Wind Your Neck In looks a leading danger, having won two starts back and finished second in the two runs before that, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 208-day absence, plus 168 lb, after a fifth last time out.
Form last 672215-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR93RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Black Dakota is consistent, finishing third last time out and fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip after 26 days off, but he is yet to win in his last five and carries 165 lb off an official 94, with our rating of 86 ranking him sixth of 11.
Form last 6-54643
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR86RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Drakaris is a leading danger on our figures, with a fresh 22-day gap, experience on today's going and a third five starts back showing the ability is there. The risk is a recent slide, with an unplaced effort last time and two eighths before that, while carrying 163 lb.
Form last 63788-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR93RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out is a positive for Tobi Kanobee, who has run on today's going, but he is winless in his last five and returns after 198 days off. Carrying 160 lb from an official mark of 89, he may need the run, and our rating of 87 ranks him fifth of eleven.
Form last 656503-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR87RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Little Pi has finished in the first three in four of his last five starts, including a win four starts back, but he was only seventh last time out, 18 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carries 160 lb off 89 and ranks only seventh of 11 on our rating.
Form last 62133-7
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bannister is our top-rated runner, and he arrives fresh from a fourth last time out just 21 days ago, with experience of both today's trip and the going. He is yet to win in his last five starts and carries 154 lb, but our rating of 94 against his official 83 makes him the one to beat.
Form last 6-60474
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR94RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fresh from a win last time out and a third two starts back, Milan Milos has the form to build on, but he returns after 207 days off and carries 151 lb, while our rating of 80 ranks him eighth of eleven. He has run over today's trip.
Form last 675431-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR80RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Finjimk's recent form is poor, with a pulled up last time out and nothing better than a seventh in his last six, but he returns after 22 days off 150 lb with our rating of 91 well clear of his official 81. The risk is plain: he's yet to find any consistency.
Form last 678800P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR91RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Churchman has been placed in four of his last five, including a second last time out, yet he is winless in that spell and returns after 154 days off, carrying 148 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, but ranking last of 11 on our figures makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6223-62
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR74RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yanka Blue is winless in her last six, though a third last time out, a fourth two starts back and a fourth three starts back show she is competitive, and she has run over today's trip and on this going. Carrying 147 lb off 76, she is hard to fancy, with our figures ranking her tenth of 11.
Form last 627P443
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR75RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
River Glance is winless in his last five, with a fifth last time out the best of a modest bunch after a pulled up four starts back, and he returns from 215 days off carrying 142 lb. Our rating of 77 puts him ninth of 11, though his official mark of 71 is the one small positive.
Form last 68P705-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR77RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Black Dakota owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Daisy HitchinsRobbie David(5)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Drakaris
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Dan Skelton✓ Value Signal
Tobi Kanobee
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Claire Hitch◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Little Pi (SR:86, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 11-6, giving her a meaningful SR edge over rivals on similar or heavier weights. The 38% market move in (Mkt:in38%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race — sharp money on a 5/1 shot in a Class 5 hurdle is meaningful. DistFit:+ confirms she handles 2m2f territory and GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on soft, but the form figure of '3133' shows genuine consistency at this level, and trainer Sam Allwood's booking of an experienced conditional with 16% strike rate reinforces yard confidence. The mark is only 1lb higher than her last win (MarkMv:+1), so she's not being punished.
Each-way alternative: Drakaris.
Main danger: Drakaris — Drakaris (SR:82, 7/2) has the second-best SR in the field, the Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton yard combination brings a 22%/27% strike rate pairing that wins races like this, and at 7/2 the market is pricing him as near-favourite — the only material concern is GoingFit:- on soft ground, but Skelton horses are well-managed and the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) could see him dominate if the going concern is overblown.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form figure shows '2133-7' — that '7' (last run) is a notable regression, finishing 7th after a promising sequence, raising questions about current form heading into today.
HG:p (preferred going is good/good-soft) yet today's Stratford ground is soft — GoingFit:~ is a real doubt for an 8yo who may not relish the underfoot conditions.
Trainer Sam Allwood runs at only 6% strike rate from 87 runners — well below field average — undermining confidence that yard form translates to race day execution.
Drakaris (SR:82, 7/2) is trained by Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton (22%/27% strike rates) — elite handler combo at a significantly shorter price may absorb the market money more efficiently on soft ground.
ShortlistLittle Pi, Drakaris, Black Dakota, River Glance