Faoladh bounced back to winning ways last time out and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, with a our rating of 75 placing him second among the field; the chief concern is a trainer operating at just 5% over the past fortnight.
Form last 6169001
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR75RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Altimara has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 72 against an official mark of 68, she holds a clear edge on paper from stall 8; the main concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts, with a fifth the best she has managed recently.
Form last 67-0965
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and absent for over 400 days, Naoi faces obvious questions on comeback, though three thirds in that sequence show she has placed consistently; she has run over today's trip before, and a rating of 71 offers some encouragement from stall 10.
Form last 63338-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win two starts back and showed more with a second three starts back, but an unplaced return last time and a trainer without a winner in 24 recent attempts are real concerns; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 136 lb from stall 20.
Form last 6906210
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Fourth last time out after winning two starts back, La La Lucrative has experience over today's trip and going in his favour, but an eighth three starts back hints at inconsistency, and 135 lb from stall nine is no easy ask.
Form last 67-1814
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts, All Hail has nonetheless run over today's trip and going before, and a second in recent starts shows some ability; however, back-to-back struggles since make him hard to fancy from stall 7 off 134 lb.
Form last 62-8409
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR71RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last six starts and drawn 19 carrying 133 lb, Free Solo faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and our rating of 71 suggests more ability than his official mark of 63 implies after 48 days off.
Form last 6070659
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR71RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ballymagreehan won four starts back but has posted three modest efforts since, including back-to-back sevenths and a ninth last time out 13 days ago; he has run over today's trip and going before, though his recent consistency is the obvious concern at 132 lb from stall 13.
Form last 6601779
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Phoenix Pairc nevertheless steps back up to a trip she has run over before and arrives here fresh on a 17-day break, though she carries 132 lb from stall 12 and her recent sequence of unplaced efforts makes it hard to fancy her too strongly.
Form last 690-070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last four starts with finishes of seventh, unplaced, seventh, and eighth, Mr Perth is hard to fancy at the foot of the weights on 131 lb, and our rating of 65 ranks him 17th of 21 — though he has run over today's trip and returns after a 20-day break.
Form last 68707
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR65RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent but winless, Bear Right has been placed in her last five starts — second last time out, and thirds two, three, and five starts back — yet she remains yet to win in recent form; drawn in stall three carrying 130 lb, she has run over today's trip before.
Form last 6734332
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kc Bear has run over today's trip and showed a second two starts back, but that eighth last time out is hard to overlook, and 39 days off the track plus 130 lb to carry from stall 17 gives him plenty to contend with.
Form last 61-2428
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 18 of 21 on our figures, Zheleznaya Dama is hard to fancy at her current level, though a win last time out and just 17 days between runs at least show she is in form and fresh, and she has run over today's trip before.
Form last 63-P521
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR64RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Hazrama faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a 36-day break plus draw two offer slim crumbs of comfort.
Form last 60-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR61RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Brains has been consistently held and ranks fifteenth of twenty-one on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going and a return after just a fortnight.
Form last 6426575
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR66RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Gordon Bennett does at least bring experience over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back shows he can get competitive; but a ninth and unplaced effort since then are harder to ignore off 126 lb from stall 21.
Form last 66039-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR69RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 16 of 21 on our figures, Oppenheimer is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround at least suggesting he is fit.
Form last 687-074
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR66RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jazzit is winless in his last six starts, finishing down the field on three of those occasions, and he is ranked last of the 21 runners on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite a placed effort last time out and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6058832
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR60RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ninth Crusade shaped with promise when second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip, carrying 139 lb from stall 18; the concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts, and top form has proven elusive.
Form last 67062-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR74RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Sporting Hero has won twice in his last six starts, most recently scoring two starts back before a couple of unplaced efforts, and he has experience of today's trip and going; a break of 86 days is the one query, but rated top of this field he remains the one to beat.
Form last 6106100
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR81RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bear Right owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Mrs John HarringtonShane Foley
76%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mr Perth
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · M C Grassick✓ Value Signal
Phoenix Pairc
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · W McCreery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Bear Right (SR:74, 4/1) is the standout on ability in this field — the SR of 74 is well clear of every other runner, with the next-best cluster (Faoladh, Altimara, Mr Perth, Jazzit, Oppenheimer, Zheleznaya Dama) bunched at 61. Carrying just 9-4, Bear Right enjoys a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Sporting Hero (10-5) and Faoladh (10-1), meaning the SR edge is not eroded by burden. Shane Foley (11%, 884 career runners) is an elite booking and the trainer Mrs John Harrington runs at 10% with 800 runners — a solid, consistent yard. The DistFit:- is a flag worth noting, but at 7 furlongs this is unlikely to be a disqualifying concern for a progressive 3yo whose recent form string 7-3-4-3-3-2 shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and there is no market drift to suggest connections have concerns.
Each-way alternative: Altimara.
Main danger: Jazzit — Jazzit (SR:61, 7/1, 8-9) carries the lightest competitive weight in the field, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at 7f, and a recent form uptick to a placed run (2 last time), making it the most dangerous each-way threat to Bear Right.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
DistFit flag is a concrete worry at 7f: Bear Right's form string 7-3-4-3-3-2 shows no win, and if the trip is on the short or long side of optimum, the SR edge may not convert to a victory.
Bear Right's SR of 74 is built on consistency without winning — six consecutive runs without a win suggests a horse that performs but finds one too good; a 12-runner handicap at Leopardstown may expo…
Mr Perth (SR:61, 5/1) is only fractionally bigger in the market despite a significantly lower SR, hinting the market sees Mr Perth as a more live winning threat — possible form not fully captured in…
No headgear flag for Bear Right while multiple rivals (Jazzit, Phoenix Pairc, All Hail, Free Solo, Brains) wear cheekpieces or tongue ties, giving those runners a potential first-time or continuing g…