Newmarket (July) 15:10 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August #Come Racing Handicap Stakes

#Come Racing Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y

Official Result

#Come Racing Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Venetian Lion (GB) Harry Davies · William Haggas
    9/4J
  2. 9/4J
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Potomac River silks
Potomac River
Age 4 · 9-11
3-6764
70
69
74
4
9-11
5/1
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Calyxoh silks
Calyxoh
Age 4 · 9-11
973043
70
66
81
4
9-11
17/2 13/2 17/2
Calyxoh arrives here just six days after finishing third last time out, with experience of today's distance and going working in his favour and our rating of 81 the highest of these; winless in recent starts, but that placed effort underlines his competitiveness and he looks the one to beat from stall 6 off 137 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Wield silks
Wield
Age 3 · 9-9
4-3250
74
49
77
3
9-9
66/1 25/1 50/1
Wield has shown plenty of consistency in recent starts, finishing second and third in his last five, and he has experience over today's trip and going — a solid profile at a fair weight of 135 lb from stall seven; the worry is he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Mertoun silks
Mertoun
Age 3 · 9-8
-92114
73
81
72
3
9-8
5/1 10/3 5/1
Mertoun has back-to-back wins in his recent form, which is a genuine positive, but he ranks last on our figures among these rivals and his speed rating of 65 trails the field, making him hard to fancy despite his current winning thread.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Glen Nevis silks
Glen Nevis
Age 3 · 9-8
24394
73
79
78
3
9-8
4/1 FCST 7/2
Glen Nevis shaped with promise when third three starts back and returns here fit on 15 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going and a rating that marks him out as a genuine threat under 134 lb from stall two; the concern is he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Venetian Lion silks
Venetian Lion
Age 3 · 9-7
79621
72
81
71
3
9-7
7/4 3/2 7/4
Venetian Lion has shown inconsistency in his last five starts, with only one win to his name in that span and a sixth, ninth, and seventh also on the card, making him difficult to fancy at the foot of the rankings; the step back up in trip and today's conditions are at least familiar territory.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Legacy Rock silks
Legacy Rock
Age 3 · 9-6
941126
71
65
78
3
9-6
16/1 11/1 12/1
Legacy Rock won back-to-back races three and four starts back, and he shapes as a serious threat with experience over today's trip and going, carrying 132 lb from stall 8; the main concern is a 51-day absence since his last run.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Big Alex Walmsley silks
Big Alex Walmsley
Age 4 · 8-13
90-733
58
56
72
4
8-13
16/1 20/1 14/1
Twice third in his last three starts, Big Alex Walmsley arrives here in fair nick after 18 days off and has experience of today's trip and going, though he remains winless in recent starts and his ranking of sixth of eight reflects the task ahead.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Potomac River 5/1 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 Bet365
2 Calyxoh 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Wield 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
4 Mertoun 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Glen Nevis 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 4/1 Bet365
6 Venetian Lion 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 Betfred
7 Legacy Rock 16/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Big Alex Walmsley 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Venetian Lion

Speculative

Venetian Lion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 William Haggas Harry Davies
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mertoun

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Jane Chapple-Hyam
✓ Value Signal

Wield

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Joseph Parr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Venetian Lion
55.1 7/4
2 4. Mertoun
53.3 5/1
3 5. Glen Nevis
52.8 4/1
4 2. Calyxoh
49.4 17/2
5 1. Potomac River
48.2 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mertoun
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-7
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Age 4 · 8-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mertoun
Confidence: Speculative

Mertoun (SR 81, 9/2) is the joint-highest rated horse in the field and crucially holds confirmed distance (DistFit:+) and going (GoingFit:+) credentials — the only runner in the field to tick both boxes simultaneously. The recent form string -92114 shows a marked progressive arc culminating in back-to-back wins, and while running off a mark 11lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+11) is a concern, the form has been earned at this class level. Jane Chapple-Hyam operates at 12% overall and Rob Hornby is a reliable booking. The market drift of 26% is noted but may reflect the higher mark rather than any latent issue — the horse's fitness is confirmed (20 days since last run) and the conditions suit better than any rival. Each-way alternative: Venetian Lion. Main danger: Venetian Lion — Venetian Lion (SR 81, 7/4) is joint-top on SR, carries the lowest weight (9-7) among the SR leaders giving it a real lbs edge, has GoingFit:+ confirmed, and the William Haggas yard runs at 21% — if the tongue-tie sparks improvement from the last-time-out win, the lighter weight makes this the most dangerous rival.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Mertoun faces a +11lb rise in handicap mark — a significant jump that moves the horse into unproven territory; both prior wins came off a lower mark and the form has not been tested at this raised le…
  • The 26% market drift is notable given the horse is joint-top rated; Venetian Lion (William Haggas, 21% strike rate) has been backed in from the 7/4 position and commands trainer confidence that Chapp…
  • Glen Nevis (SR:79, 4/1) is shorter in the market and shortening (in 20%), offering a very similar profile without the penalty concern — the market is actively preferring a rival of near-identical rat…
  • Form string -92114 includes a 9 and a 2 among the recent figures; the back-to-back wins may have been achieved against weaker opposition, and today's SR:81 rivals (Venetian Lion also SR:81) represent…
Shortlist Mertoun, Venetian Lion, Glen Nevis
Each-way: Venetian Lion Danger: Venetian Lion

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade