Newcastle (AW) 19:24 RESULTED
Class 3 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f14y

Official Result

Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Spirited Gesture (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden
    1/6F
  2. 5/1
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Spirited Gesture silks
Spirited Gesture
Age 2 · 9-9
1
159
2
9-9
2/9 1/5 1/6
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Angel In My Heart silks
Angel In My Heart
Age 2 · 9-6
41
71
73
71OR
2
9-6
13/2 FCST 9/2
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
All I Know silks
All I Know
Age 2 · 9-2
138
2
9-2
14/1 16/1 9/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Noccalula Falls silks
Noccalula Falls
Age 2 · 9-2
69
127
2
9-2
125/1 100/1 80/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
One Shot Kodi silks
One Shot Kodi
Age 2 · 9-2
87
125
2
9-2
66/1 33/1 50/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ortanique silks
Ortanique
Age 2 · 9-2
136
2
9-2
18/1 16/1 11/1
SR 136 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 136 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rubyroo silks
Rubyroo
Age 2 · 9-2
144
2
9-2
9/1 13/2 6/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Texting silks
Texting
Age 2 · 9-2
6
124
2
9-2
80/1 33/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Spirited Gesture 2/9 open 1.33 2/11 open 1.20 1/5 open 1.25 1/5 open 1.25 1/6 open 1.25 1/5 2/9 Bet365
2 Angel In My Heart 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 13/2 Bet365
3 All I Know 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Noccalula Falls 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 151.00 80/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 126.00 100/1 open 126.00 100/1 open 151.00 125/1 Bet365
5 One Shot Kodi 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Ortanique 18/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Rubyroo 9/1 open 7.50 8/1 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 9/1 Bet365
8 Texting 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 81.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Spirited Gesture

High conviction

Spirited Gesture owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/9 John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin
88% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rubyroo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Hugo Palmer
✓ Value Signal

Texting

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Ivan Furtado
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Spirited Gesture
76.6 2/9
2 7. Rubyroo
66.3 9/1
3 3. All I Know
59.2 14/1
4 6. Ortanique
57.0 18/1
5 8. Texting
51.8 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Spirited Gesture
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
2/9
★★★★☆ SR 159 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 136 🐾

SR 136 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Spirited Gesture
Confidence: High

Spirited Gesture (SR:159, 1/5) is in a different class to this field — her SR of 159 sits in the top-class bracket and dwarfs the next-best Rubyroo (SR:144) by 15 points, with everyone else at 138 or below. She won on debut (Form:1), is trained by the Gosdens at a 24% strike rate, and has tightened a further 7% in the market to near-unbackable odds, confirming connections' confidence. The weight of 9-9 is only marginally above the rest of the field and poses no meaningful concern on good all-weather ground over 7f. In a Class 3 novice with no opponent carrying comparable ability, this is a straightforward selection. Each-way alternative: Rubyroo. Main danger: Rubyroo — Rubyroo (SR:144, 9/1) is a debutante from Hugo Palmer's yard — a trainer capable of producing well-schooled first-timers — and at SR:144 represents the only runner within 15 points of Spirited Gesture, meaning an above-par debut showing could make her the main threat, despite the 18% market drift being a concern.

Case against 4
  • Robert Havlin's 14% strike rate is modest for a near-odds-on favourite; he has no strong recent form indicators to suggest he's in a purple patch at Newcastle AW.
  • Rubyroo (SR:144) is unraced and has drifted 18% in the market — a well-backed unknown quantity from Hugo Palmer who could be a dark horse capable of exposing Spirited Gesture's lone run sample.
  • Spirited Gesture's entire form reads '1' — a single debut win; stepping up to 7f on AW with no second run evidence leaves stamina and surface adaptability untested at this trip.
  • Ortanique (unraced, SR:136) has tightened 24% in the market under Sir Mark Prescott, whose 19% strike rate suggests connections are confident — a potential improver flying under the radar.
Shortlist Spirited Gesture, Rubyroo, All I Know, Ortanique
Each-way: Rubyroo Danger: Rubyroo

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade