Bellarchi has won four times in her last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs back, but a sixth last time out after 44 days off raises a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going before, though 140 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 6119116
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR99RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Royal Velvet won back-to-back races four and five starts back, has experience of today's trip and going, and returns in decent order just 22 days on; the worry is that she has finished fifth in each of her last two starts, suggesting she may need to find more.
Form last 6-11055
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR101RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Mubasimah nonetheless rates highly on our figures and has run over today's trip and going before, making her a strong contender from stall 17; the risk is that recent form — unplaced last time out — offers little encouragement after a 62-day break.
Form last 62-6050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR106RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Lam Yai arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, while her official mark of 96 underlines her claims; the sole concern is 299 days off the track, which leaves fitness the one question to answer.
Form last 614321-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR100RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two wins in her last five starts show Just Call Me Angel has ability, but back-to-back unplaced efforts since are a concern; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 127 lb from stall 16, and an official mark of 94 suggests she remains competitive if recapturing that earlier form.
Form last 61-1700
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR93RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tryst won two of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; however, her two efforts before that winning run were a sixth and seventh, suggesting some inconsistency, and 126 lb from stall 12 may not help.
Form last 6427611
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR95RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Carnival Of Light arrives in fine nick, winning on each of her last two outings, though she carries 126 lb from stall 18 and her rating of 87 leaves her ranked towards the foot of this field — the recent winning momentum is the key asset to weigh against those negatives.
Form last 64411
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR87RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bella Lyra has shown ability with two runner-up finishes in her recent starts, but a ninth and eighth in her last two runs are a concern, and 75 days off the track adds an unknown fitness angle; winless in her last five, she has plenty to prove from stall 19.
Form last 642-289
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oolong Poobong has experience over today's trip and conditions, and her trainer is firing at 38% in the past fortnight, but an unplaced run last time and a fifth before that are a concern and a 64-day absence adds a fitness question mark for this 125 lb assignment.
Form last 6214-50
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR92RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Figjam nonetheless catches the eye on our figures, rated 103 against an official mark of 90, and arrives here fit on just 12 days' rest with experience of today's trip and conditions to her credit.
Form last 6746467
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR103RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Beaujolais Nouveau won four starts back but has finished fourth, fourth and fifth in her last three, suggesting she needs things to fall right; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 23 days between runs keeps her fresh enough to go close if rediscovering that winning form.
Form last 6051544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR91RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 18 of 21 on our figures, Caim looks hard to fancy despite a win three starts back; she was beaten into fourth last time out and returns after an 86-day break, though the trainer is in cracking form and she has run over today's trip before.
Form last 612-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR84RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Albaydaa won two starts back and has experience over today's trip and going, but a fifth last time out and 57 days off the track are questions to answer, and she carries 122 lb from stall 10.
Form last 61-3215
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, Perfect Part does at least bring experience over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back shows she can threaten at this level; a seventh last time out and 121 lb from stall eight are the checks.
Form last 6464207
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR94RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked a long way down the field on our figures, Machadadorp has questions to answer after finishing sixth last time out, and back-to-back wins three and four starts back feel increasingly distant; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 23 days between runs suggests she is fit enough to go.
Form last 661126
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR86RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Starlight Lass faces a stiff task despite a genuinely eye-catching recent run of two wins and a second in her last three starts; she has run over today's trip before, though 43 days off and a demanding 120 lb ask make her hard to fancy from stall 15.
Form last 6211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR63RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Starfinch has looked inconsistent in recent starts — sixth and ninth before a third last time out — though she does bring distance and going experience and a win four starts back at least shows she can find the line.
Form last 60-1693
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR87RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Secret History faces a stiff ask from stall 14 carrying 116 lb, yet her recent form is genuinely eye-catching — third last time out, but a winner two starts back, and boasting three wins in her last five starts, with experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6-11413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR86RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Cotai Belle has been a model of consistency, finishing second in four of her last five starts, yet that winning breakthrough continues to elude her — winless in recent starts, she remains frustratingly stuck at the silver medal position. Has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 29 days fresh enough to go again.
Form last 6-82222
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR88RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Woohoo faces a stiff ask here despite five consecutive runner-up finishes suggesting she is consistent if frustrating, and she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6722222
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR75RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 19 of 21 on our figures, Zooella faces a stiff ask off 114 lb from stall 11, and a speed rating of 64 leaves her well short of what is likely needed here, despite back-to-back wins in her last two starts and experience over today's trip.
Form last 6234-11
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR76RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Starlight Lass owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1John & Thady GosdenSaffie Osborne
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Machadadorp
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Bellarchi
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Grant Tuer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Albaydaa (SR 95, 13/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this competitive Class 2 handicap, which is a meaningful advantage. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's 7f trip on good ground, and her form 1-3215 shows consistent competitiveness at a high level — the 5 last time out is the only blot but comes off the back of a sequence showing she fires near the top. William Haggas operates at 21% career strike rate with 1,078 runners, a powerful yard, and Tom Marquand (13%, 1,141 runners) is a solid booking. At 13/2 the market respects her without making her unbackable, offering fair value for the class drop + proven going and distance credentials.
Each-way alternative: Caim.
Main danger: Starlight Lass — Starlight Lass (SR 88, 11/4 favourite) carries only 8-8 — 2lb less than Albaydaa — and her unblemished form of 211 (stepping up two classes from a winning sequence) suggests a progressive 3yo still on the upgrade, trained by the powerful Gosden yard.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
57-day absence is a material concern — Albaydaa has not raced since mid-June and there is no market confidence signal (no 'Mkt:in' flag) to suggest the yard expects a peak-fitness run first time back.
Last run was a fifth, and the form string 1-3215 shows a regressive trajectory over her last three outings (3→2→1→5), suggesting she may be on a downward curve rather than a bounce-back candidate.
Starlight Lass (11/4) is a rapidly improving 3yo on a 3-race winning streak (Form:211), trained by the yard with the highest strike rate in the field (Gosden 24%), and represents a genuine class thre…
Machadadorp (SR:92, 9/1) also carries Stable:1 support and is on a positive MarkMv:+8, presenting a closely-rated rival fresh from a yard (Balding, 19%) firing in form — Albaydaa's SR advantage of ju…