Newmarket (July) 14:35 RESULTED
Class 3 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Van Buck 50th Anniversary Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Van Buck 50th Anniversary Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Van Buck 50th Anniversary Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tie A Navyribbon (GB) Josephine Gordon · William Stone
    100/30
  2. 6/4F
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Missouri Waltz silks
Missouri Waltz
Age 2 · 9-6
1
157
2
9-6
13/8 FCST 3/2
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Highland Girl silks
Highland Girl
Age 2 · 9-2
0
152
2
9-2
7/1 13/2 7/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Mandolin Rain silks
Mandolin Rain
Age 2 · 9-2
4
152
2
9-2
6/1 11/2 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Tie A Navyribbon silks
Tie A Navyribbon
Age 2 · 9-2
36
155
2
9-2
9/4 32/17 2/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Veloria silks
Veloria
Age 2 · 9-2
145
2
9-2
17/2 5/1 17/2
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Voyager One silks
Voyager One
Age 2 · 9-2
130
2
9-2
18/1 9/1 18/1
SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Missouri Waltz 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 6/4 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 Betfred
2 Highland Girl 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
3 Mandolin Rain 6/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 6/1 Bet365
4 Tie A Navyribbon 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Bet365
5 Veloria 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Paddy Power
6 Voyager One 18/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Missouri Waltz

High conviction

Missouri Waltz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Adrian Keatley Jamie Spencer
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tie A Navyribbon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · William Stone
✓ Value Signal

Voyager One

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Michael Bell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Missouri Waltz
72.8 13/8
2 4. Tie A Navyribbon
71.8 9/4
3 3. Mandolin Rain
69.3 6/1
4 2. Highland Girl
66.9 7/1
5 5. Veloria
66.1 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Highland Girl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-6
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
7/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 130 🐾

SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Highland Girl
Confidence: Speculative

Highland Girl (SR 152, 13/2) has been dramatically backed from a much longer price — shortening 41% in the market — which is the most significant single signal in this field and suggests stable confidence after a debut run coded '0' that clearly showed more than the bare result. At 9-2 she carries 4lb less than favourite Missouri Waltz (SR 157, 9-6) and that weight edge is meaningful on a track like Newmarket July where every pound counts over a mile. The Charlie Johnston yard runs at 13% career strike rate with Rob Hornby, a composed Newmarket specialist, in the saddle. The class drop of one tier (↓1) places her in a more favourable contest than her debut, and the market is firmly telling us connections are bullish. Each-way alternative: Mandolin Rain. Main danger: Missouri Waltz — Missouri Waltz holds the highest SR in the field at 157 and her debut win gives her a concrete form line that the steamer Highland Girl cannot yet match — if the class rise is handled, her raw ability could prove decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Highland Girl's only run produced a '0' (unplaced debut) — no evidence she handles Newmarket July's stiff finish, and her SR of 152 is matched by Mandolin Rain who has fresher form (17 days) also bac…
  • Mandolin Rain presents a direct threat: same weight, same SR, shorter rest and a comparable market move — the backing of Highland Girl is not unique in this field, diluting its significance.
  • Tie A Navyribbon (SR 155) holds a course placing at Newmarket, carries identical weight to Highland Girl, and has a higher SR with recent competitive form (3rd, 6th) — more proven in similar company.
  • At 21 days since a debut non-completion/unplaced run, connections may simply be dropping her in grade hoping the lower class masks underlying weakness — a class drop can signal concern as much as opp…
Shortlist Highland Girl, Missouri Waltz, Mandolin Rain, Tie A Navyribbon
Each-way: Mandolin Rain Danger: Missouri Waltz

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade