Newcastle (AW) 19:54 RESULTED
Class 4 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Harry Potter Droneart Show Nursery Handicap Stakes

Harry Potter Droneart Show Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Harry Potter Droneart Show Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner This Moment (IRE) Grace McEntee · George Boughey
    11/2
  2. 7/4F
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Influencer Man silks
Influencer Man
Age 2 · 9-11
421
75
86
87
2
9-11
5/2 21/13 2/1
Influencer Man arrives in red-hot form, winning last time out and second two starts back, and his experience over today's trip adds appeal; drawn in stall five carrying 137 lb, he rates the one to beat on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
This Moment silks
This Moment
Age 2 · 9-9
2424
79
85
82
2
9-9
4/1 4/1 7/2
Consistent performer whose recent form figures of second two starts back and second four starts back highlight his strong place claims, and he has run over today's trip with draw two and a 135 lb burden presenting the key questions for a gelding yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Casino Star silks
Casino Star
Age 2 · 9-6
2623
76
85
79
2
9-6
7/2 11/4 3/1
Placed in three of his last four starts, Casino Star arrives in good heart just 13 days ago fresh and has run over today's trip, making him a genuine threat at 132 lb from stall four; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
May Bee In Profit silks
May Bee In Profit
Age 2 · 9-3
92310
73
80
72
2
9-3
14/1 10/1 12/1
Beaten last time after a win two starts back, May Bee In Profit has run over today's trip and returns on a good 20-day break, but ranked bottom of six on our figures she faces a stiff task at 129 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Social Spirit silks
Social Spirit
Age 2 · 9-1
35680
71
79
77
2
9-1
6/1 15/2 5/1
Social Spirit arrives on a quick 20-day turnaround carrying 127 lb from stall one, and his third five starts back hints at ability that our rating of 77 suggests he retains, making him a live threat; the concern is he has been winless in recent starts, with his latest run ending unplaced.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Star People silks
Star People
Age 2 · 9-1
0523
71
78
77
2
9-1
4/1 FCST 7/2
Winless in his last four starts, Star People has at least shown some consistency with a third and second in that sequence, and has run over today's trip before; but ranked fifth of six on our figures, he faces a stiff task at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Influencer Man 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.62 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 Betfred
2 This Moment 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Casino Star 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 3/1 3/1 4/1 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 William Hill
4 May Bee In Profit 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Social Spirit 6/1 open 15.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
6 Star People 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 9/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Influencer Man

Speculative

Influencer Man owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Adrian Keatley Oisin McSweeney
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

This Moment

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

May Bee In Profit

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Influencer Man
55.7 5/2
2 2. This Moment
54.2 4/1
3 6. Star People
51.2 4/1
4 3. Casino Star
50.7 7/2
5 5. Social Spirit
49.4 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
This Moment
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-11
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-1
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
This Moment
Confidence: Speculative

This Moment (SR 85, 4/1, 9-9) is the play despite a poor DistFit record, on the strength of a meaningful 12% market move inward from a Boughey yard running at 18% strike rate — the money is moving for a reason. The weight is favourable: second-lightest of the top three SRs, 2lb below Casino Star and 2lb below Influencer Man, meaningful over 5f on a competitive all-weather surface. The 2424 form string shows consistent involvement at the business end, and dropping back to the minimum trip here at the same class level (ClassMv:=) suits a horse that clearly stays in the mix. The main concern is DistFit:- but at 4/1 with stable confidence apparent, the value outweighs that reservation. Each-way alternative: Casino Star. Main danger: Casino Star — Casino Star (SR 85, 7/2, 9-6) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at this trip and going, and carries the lightest weight of the top three — Burke's yard at 19% is the best strike rate in the field, and the 3 on its recent form string shows it finished well last time.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Grace McEntee's 5% strike rate (11/229) is the weakest jockey stat in the field — a significant disadvantage in a tight 5f sprint where riding decisions matter immediately.
  • DistFit:- flag is directly relevant at 5f minimum trip; This Moment's 2424 form was built at longer distances, suggesting it may not quicken sufficiently over Newcastle's sharp 5f layout.
  • May Bee In Profit has drifted in 23% and Social Spirit a massive 52% — if those market moves reflect stable confidence, they represent a genuine pace threat that could swamp This Moment from lower we…
  • Influencer Man (SR:86, 5/2) holds a superior speed rating and carries only 2lb more, while coming off a form string of 421 with the market firmly behind it — This Moment is not clearly best-in-race o…
Shortlist This Moment, Casino Star, May Bee In Profit
Each-way: Casino Star Danger: Casino Star

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade