Stratford 18:06 RESULTED
Class 4 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race

Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m6f7y

Official Result

Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rebel Tribesman (IRE) Jonathan Burke · Jamie Snowden
    2/1F
  2. 11/4
  3. Third Torrent (GB)
    5/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Notnowlinda silks
Notnowlinda
Age 9 · 11-7
0953-4
109
104
112
9
11-7
7/1 5/2 13/2
Notnowlinda shaped with promise when third two starts back, and a rating of 112 puts her firmly in contention off 161 lb, though she remains winless in recent starts and the 105-day absence is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Rebel Tribesman silks
Rebel Tribesman
Age 5 · 11-7
122-12
109
123
118
5
11-7
7/4 9/4 7/4
Consistent and in fine nick, Rebel Tribesman has won twice in his last five starts with a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip before; carrying 161 lb is the one query, but his rating of 118 marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Kom Tu Voudras silks
Kom Tu Voudras
Age 6 · 11-7
1-2164
109
114
109
6
11-7
4/1
Kom Tu Voudras arrives here with two wins in her last five starts, including a victory three starts back, and 27 days between runs suggests she returns fresh and ready; the main risk is a stiff 161 lb to shoulder.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Torrent silks
Torrent
Age 5 · 11-7
P6-453
109
105
115
5
11-7
4/1 9/2 4/1
Torrent shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out, and he has run over today's trip, making him a genuine threat from a workable 27-day break; the main concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Kittys Glance silks
Kittys Glance
Age 5 · 11-2
01-232
104
111
108
5
11-2
7/2 11/4 10/3
Ranked bottom of five on our figures, Kittys Glance faces a stiff task under 156 lb, though her recent form reads encouragingly — second last time out, and a winner four starts back — and she arrives fresh after 48 days off.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Notnowlinda 7/1 open 3.50 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 3.75 13/2 open 3.75 7/1 open 3.75 7/1 open 4.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Rebel Tribesman 7/4 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 Bet365
3 Kom Tu Voudras 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
4 Torrent 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
5 Kittys Glance 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Torrent

Live signal

Torrent owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Nigel Hawke David Noonan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rebel Tribesman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Jamie Snowden
✓ Value Signal

Notnowlinda

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/1 · Dan Skelton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Torrent
62.7 4/1
2 2. Rebel Tribesman
62.4 7/4
3 5. Kittys Glance
60.0 7/2
4 1. Notnowlinda
59.4 7/1
5 3. Kom Tu Voudras
59.2 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rebel Tribesman
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-7
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 123 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 5 · 11-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 111 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 6 · 11-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 11-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rebel Tribesman
Confidence: Speculative

Rebel Tribesman (SR:123, 2/1) is the clear class leader in this modest Class 4 field, carrying a SR that is 9 points clear of the next-best contender. The form string 122-12 reads as consistent and competitive — a recent second and win in the last two runs — and crucially the market has shortened 13% since opening, indicating informed support. Jamie Snowden hits at 25% career strike rate, and with MarkMv:= the horse is running off the exact mark it last won on, which is the ideal handicap scenario. The flat 11-7 weight means no punitive burden over this 2m6f trip. Each-way alternative: Kom Tu Voudras. Main danger: Kom Tu Voudras — Kom Tu Voudras (SR:114, 7/2) has steamed in 30% in the market — the joint-largest move in the field — Harry Cobden takes the ride (21% career strike rate), and the tongue-tie first application (tp) suggests connections are trying something new to unlock improvement, which in a 5-runner field at this level could be enough to unsettle the favourite.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Jonathan Burke hits at only 15% (149 rides) — materially below the trainer's 25% yard strike rate, suggesting a stronger jockey partnership exists and Burke may be a booking of convenience.
  • Kom Tu Voudras has been freshened (27 days) and is taken by market movers — in 30% with MarkMv+3, meaning it is rising through the handicap on form whereas Rebel Tribesman is static at the same mark…
  • At 2/1 in a five-runner Class 4 handicap, Rebel Tribesman is a short price to overcome any race-day variable; Kittys Glance and Kom Tu Voudras both carry less weight (11-2 vs 11-7), which over 2m6f a…
Shortlist Rebel Tribesman, Kom Tu Voudras, Kittys Glance
Each-way: Kom Tu Voudras Danger: Kom Tu Voudras

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m6f7y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade