Alta Regina won three starts back and has run over today's trip, returning after 26 days in what looks a sound preparation; the worry is that sixth and seventh in her two most recent outings suggest she needs to rediscover that winning form quickly from stall eight off 128 lb.
Form last 6167
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR103RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well toward the foot of the field on our figures, Angels Passing also returns after 77 days off, making her hard to fancy at the weights despite a winning effort last time out and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 641
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR88RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Big Negotiator won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but her two runs before that brought a fourth and an unplaced effort, and her rating of 98 ranks her ninth of nineteen here, suggesting she faces a stiff ask against stronger company.
Form last 6321041
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR98RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bint Archange won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour, but a ninth last time out is hard to overlook, and 128 lb from stall 9 adds to the challenge for a filly ranked in the lower half of this field.
Form last 631019
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR90RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crownbreaker won two starts back but has been unplaced on her most recent outing, and at 128 lb she faces a stiff ask; she has run over today's trip and going, and drawing stall three gives her a neutral position heading into this competitive heat.
Form last 632510
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR99RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crystal Queen won two starts back and was second three starts back, but comes into this unplaced last time out and a 64-day absence makes fitness the key question; she has run over today's trip and the 128 lb burden is no help from stall 19.
Form last 6210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR97RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Desert Sands faces a stiff ask here, though a third last time out at least hints at some residual form, and she has run over today's trip before, returning on a quick nine-day turnaround.
Form last 66093
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR83RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Ranked bottom of a 19-runner field on our figures, In The Black faces a stiff task despite winning last time out; she has run over today's trip before, but 57 days off the track and a speed rating of just 47 make her hard to fancy at this level.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR78RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won three starts back but has disappointed since, finishing ninth and fifth in her last two outings; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 41 days off may have freshened her up, though she faces a competitive field from stall 14 off 128 lb.
Form last 6195
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR93RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Libertango arrives here in sharp form, a winner in two of her last three starts with a second thrown in, and she has run over today's trip before. Carrying 128 lb from stall 15, a 41-day break is the only minor query on an otherwise compelling profile.
Form last 6112
★AI Rating★★★★☆
120SR109RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ranked well below the top of this field on our figures, Livenka faces a stiff ask from stall 18 carrying 128 lb, though she arrives in fair heart having won two of her last four starts, and she has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 63311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR86RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Boasting two wins in her last four starts, Love A Giggle arrives on a sound fitness margin of 19 days, has run over today's trip and going, and draws stall two carrying 128 lb; a fourth last time out and an unplaced effort two starts back temper enthusiasm, though our rating of 100 suggests residual ability.
Form last 61104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR100RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winner last time out but that was two starts back — she steps back up having finished fifth most recently, which tempers confidence; has run over today's trip and a rating of 101 gives her claims, though she faces a competitive 19-runner field from stall seven carrying 128 lb.
Form last 615
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moonrise arrives in fine nick, a winner last time out and two wins in her last three starts, and she has run over today's trip before; 128 lb and stall 16 are the questions she must answer.
Form last 6121
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR102RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out after winning the start before, though she has been off the track for 41 days and faces a field of 19 from stall 12 carrying 128 lb; she has run over today's trip before, and a rating of 96 gives her a fighting chance of mixing it mid-division.
Form last 614
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures, Sexy Chick faces a stiff ask, and her eighth last time out — just six days ago — does little to inspire confidence, though she has winning form two starts back and has run over today's trip.
Form last 62518
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR85RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shimmering Sun arrives on the back of a runner-up finish last time out, and a winner one start back from that seventh, giving her a lively recent profile; the 29-day break and experience over today's trip and going are both in her favour, though that seventh remains the one blot to forgive.
Form last 6172
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR103RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Star Of State won last time out and was second two starts back, so recent form reads well enough, but ranked 14 of 19 on our figures she faces a stiff ask against this field despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR88RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wild Blossom arrives on the back of a win last time out, and was a winner three starts back too, with only an unplaced run in between; she has distance and going experience to call on, though 128 lb is the one weight to respect.
Form last 6101
★AI Rating★★★★☆
114SR110RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Libertango owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3George BougheyBilly Loughnane
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Wild Blossom
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · K. R. Burke✓ Value Signal
Big Negotiator
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · P Twomey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Libertango (SR:120, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 6 SR points clear of Wild Blossom (SR:114) and 16 clear of the next-best Star Of State (SR:98). The form string 1-1-2 confirms she has won twice at this level and her single defeat came stepping up from a winning base, not a collapse in form. DistFit:+ at 6f is a strong corroborating signal, and George Boughey (18% strike rate, 764 runners) is a trainer who places horses accurately at Group level. The market drift of 28% from opening is the one flag — it nudges the confidence to Medium rather than High — but no rival in the field carries a SR, form line, or market move that overturns the raw ability gap.
Each-way alternative: Wild Blossom.
Main danger: Wild Blossom — Wild Blossom (SR:114, 6/1) is K.R. Burke's preferred runner over stablemate Love A Giggle — James Doyle booking over Clifford Lee confirms this — she carries DistFit:+ at 6f, the market has shortened 16%, and her 1-0-1 form line shows she bounced back from defeat to win most recently, making her the most credible threat to Libertango's SR advantage.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
28% market drift out to 9/4 in a field where Star Of State (5/2) is drifting IN 5% and Ruby Moon is steaming in 29% — money is leaving Libertango specifically, not the race generally.
Libertango's lone defeat (the '2' in 1-1-2) came when stepped up in class, and today's 16-runner York field at 6f likely represents another class rise; her two wins may have come in softer company.
41 days since last run means Libertango is less race-fit than Livenka (17 days, SR:104, winning form 3311) and Wild Blossom (22 days, SR:114, in-form stable) — both rivals are sharper and fresher to…
Livenka (SR:104, 8/1) only drifted 8% and is trained by G M Lyons with Colin Keane up — a combination that outperforms at big-field York 6f handicap-style sprints; the SR gap of 16 is within one good…
ShortlistLibertango, Wild Blossom, Star Of State, Livenka