Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m6f0y
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Elpeeare | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Grey Tamam | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Minkaas | 10/11 open 3.50 | 5/6 open 3.75 | 5/6 open 3.50 | 5/6 open 3.50 | 5/6 open 3.50 | 10/11 open 2.88 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 4 Plastic Dream | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Scoot Away | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 6 Zephyra | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Zephyra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Elpeeare (SR:152, 4/1) leads the experienced runners on ability alongside Zephyra (SR:153) and, crucially, carries the same weight (9-2) as every other runner — so the SR edge is not offset by a weight penalty. The 29% market drift is a concern worth noting, but in a field dominated by debutantes and weak form lines, two runs of competitive experience (form:34) at this trip provides a meaningful edge over Minkaas whose SR:91 is strikingly low despite the 11/10 market support — that support is almost certainly based on stable whispers rather than demonstrated ability. George Scott runs at a solid 18% strike rate from 468 runners, and the step up in class (↑1) is the only real reservation. Zephyra (SR:153) is the closest threat but carries a less experienced jockey (Gilligan, 8% strike rate) and only one career run, making Elpeeare the more reliable choice under pressure. Each-way alternative: Zephyra. Main danger: Zephyra — Zephyra carries the highest SR in the field (153), already showed enough on debut to place at this course (Course:W0P1), and a step up in class is the only obstacle — if that is within her range, she wins.