Lingfield (AW) 15:55 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes · 0m7f2y

Official Result

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Powder Monkey (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey
    15/2
  2. 4/1J
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Split Elevens silks
Split Elevens Non-Runner
Age 8 · 9-6
541241
61
61OR
8
9-6
SP
1
Red Hat Eagle silks
Red Hat Eagle
Age 6 · 9-11
755475
70
74
77
6
9-11
4/1 9/2 4/1
Winless in his last six starts, Red Hat Eagle nevertheless brings distance and going experience to the table and, rated 77 on our figures, shapes as a lively contender from stall 7 carrying 137 lb, freshened by a 12-day break.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bold Suitor silks
Bold Suitor
Age 9 · 9-11
-42157
70
49
69
9
9-11
33/1 14/1 33/1
Bold Suitor ranks 12 of 13 on our figures, and back-to-back finishes of fifth and seventh in his last two starts make him hard to fancy here despite a win three starts back; experience over today's trip and going and a return after just 12 days are modest positives.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
The Bitter Moose silks
The Bitter Moose
Age 5 · 9-10
0-4033
69
66
75
5
9-10
8/1 13/2 6/1
Consistent placed efforts at this level make The Bitter Moose a genuine threat, third in two of his last three starts and carrying experience over today's trip and going; the main risk is a 59-day absence that could blunt his edge.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dancing Rinca silks
Dancing Rinca
Age 7 · 9-10
685-96
69
56
66
7
9-10
18/1 10/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Dancing Rinca makes the case hard to press despite drawing stall one and returning after a reasonable 20-day break; experience over today's trip offers little consolation given the limited recent form.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Gunfighter silks
Gunfighter
Age 5 · 9-10
0-7917
69
76
73
5
9-10
4/1 7/2 4/1
Gunfighter won two starts back but has posted a seventh and ninth either side of that success, leaving his recent form looking inconsistent; he has run over today's distance and going before, returns after 20 days with a trainer firing at 27%, yet 136 lb is a sizeable burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sant Alessio silks
Sant Alessio
Age 5 · 9-9
21-074
68
62
70
5
9-9
20/1 12/1 18/1
Sant Alessio has a win and a second in recent starts, but a run of fourth, seventh, and unplaced since makes him hard to fancy ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, and 50 days off the track adds to the query, though he has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
State Of Madness silks
State Of Madness
Age 5 · 9-8
934524
67
75
74
5
9-8
9/2 13/2 4/1
Yet to win in his last six starts, State Of Madness nonetheless showed promise with a second two starts back, and the experience of today's trip and going conditions stands him in good stead; 134 lb from stall five is the query.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Double Time silks
Double Time
Age 8 · 9-7
146-70
66
49
74
8
9-7
28/1 20/1 22/1
Double Time has experience of today's distance and going, and a win in his last five starts offers some encouragement, but three unplaced efforts since that victory — most recently a seventh two starts back — underline a horse in search of his best form.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Dontspoilasale silks
Dontspoilasale
Age 6 · 9-7
746766
66
47
77
6
9-7
40/1 22/1 35/1
Dontspoilasale is rated highest in this field and has run over today's trip and going, arriving here on a quick 14-day turnaround in good shape from stall six; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, with placings proving elusive throughout.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Starlight Sami silks
Starlight Sami
Age 3 · 9-6
8-3107
70
73
76
3
9-6
9/2 10/1 9/2
Starlight Sami won three starts back and was third four starts back, giving him a solid recent profile to build on, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the worry is that back-to-back unplaced efforts since that win leave fitness and form under scrutiny after 34 days off.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Yachtsman silks
Yachtsman
Age 3 · 9-5
347149
69
65
73
3
9-5
16/1 10/1 14/1
Yachtsman won three starts back but has disappointed since, finishing ninth last time out after 34 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating edges above his official mark, though the 131 lb burden is no help.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Powder Monkey silks
Powder Monkey
Age 3 · 9-5
2356
69
73
69
3
9-5
9/1 3/1 8/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked well down our figures among today's rivals, Powder Monkey has been running into mid-division finishes of late, and 89 days between runs adds to the concern, though he has run over today's trip and going and stall two is a neutral factor.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Paranjape silks
Paranjape
Age 3 · 9-4
5-2746
68
73
72
3
9-4
10/1 5/1 8/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of thirteen, Paranjape does bring distance and going experience to the table, though 46 days off and 130 lb from stall 12 are questions connections must answer.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Split Elevens
1 Red Hat Eagle 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 9/2 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Coral
2 Bold Suitor 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
3 The Bitter Moose 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 8/1 Bet365
4 Dancing Rinca 18/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
5 Gunfighter 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Coral
6 Sant Alessio 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 22/1 Paddy Power
7 State Of Madness 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 10.00 4/1 open 9.00 5/1 Coral
8 Double Time 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Dontspoilasale 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Starlight Sami 9/2 open 15.00 5/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 12.00 11/2 Coral
12 Yachtsman 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 18/1 Coral
13 Powder Monkey 9/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 4.00 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 4.50 10/1 Coral
14 Paranjape 10/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gunfighter

Speculative

Gunfighter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 John Butler Pat Dobbs
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

State Of Madness

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Mark Loughnane
✓ Value Signal

Double Time

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tim Vaughan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Gunfighter
52.8 4/1
2 7. State Of Madness
50.9 9/2
3 10. Starlight Sami
50.4 9/2
4 13. Powder Monkey
48.8 9/1
5 14. Paranjape
48.3 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Red Hat Eagle
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-11
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Age 5 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Red Hat Eagle
Confidence: Speculative

Red Hat Eagle (SR:74, 9/2) carries 9-11 but boasts the strongest market signal in the race — an 18% market move inward on a Class 5 Lingfield AW 7f handicap is meaningful, particularly when paired with first-time headgear change (tongue-piece added) and a drop in class (↓1). The SR of 74 is joint-highest alongside Gunfighter (76) and State Of Madness (75), but the market confidence separates Eagle from those rivals. Trainer William Knight (14% strike rate, respectable volume) and the headgear addition on a fresh 12-day turnaround suggests a stable that has spotted an opportunity. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns and the main reason this stays Medium rather than High confidence — but on AW good at Lingfield, the going label is softer than turf going concerns, and the class drop gives margin for error. Each-way alternative: State Of Madness. Main danger: Gunfighter — Gunfighter carries the joint-highest SR in the field at 76, Pat Dobbs is a strong booking at 16% strike rate, and John Butler's yard hits 15% — despite the DistFit:- the 4/1 market position shows this is the public's idea of the main challenger.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Gunfighter (SR:76, 4/1) and State Of Madness (SR:75, 6/1) both carry less weight than Red Hat Eagle's 9-11 and have comparable/superior SRs — Eagle has no raw ability edge and is burdened at the weig…
  • State Of Madness shows a rival 20% market move inward (vs Eagle's 18%) at shorter odds of 6/1, suggesting the market may actually prefer that rival's claims on a pound-for-pound basis.
  • Form reads 755475 — Eagle has finished 5th or worse in five of last six starts with no win visible in recent runs; the class drop is only one level and hasn't unlocked a win yet on this evidence.
  • Jockey Taylor Fisher strikes at just 10% from 287 rides — meaningfully below the field's stronger bookings (Pat Dobbs 16%, Paddy Bradley 11%) and a clear negative in a competitive Class 5 handicap.
Shortlist Red Hat Eagle, Gunfighter, State Of Madness, Powder Monkey
Each-way: State Of Madness Danger: Gunfighter

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade