Niffler
SpeculativeNiffler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes · 1m4f98y
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hickton | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Billy Bathgate | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Fleur de Mer | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Brunello Breeze | 33/1 | 33/1 open 36.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Jedhi Knight | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Carwyn | 28/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Forever Perfect | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Wave Power | 50/1 | 35/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Muhib | 11/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Galahad Threepwood | 28/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Star Of Markinch | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Gemical | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Niffler | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 4.33 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 14 Romeo's Guardian | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Niffler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Niffler (SR:56, 7/4) carries the lowest weight in the field at 8-10 and holds the highest SR by a clear margin over Fleur de Mer (SR:62 — wait, Fleur de Mer SR:62 is actually higher, but carries 10-0 giving Niffler a massive 18lb weight advantage). Sir Mark Prescott's 19% career strike rate is the best in this field by distance, and the market has steamed in 26% — connections clearly expect a bold showing on this class drop (↓1). The 115-day absence is a concern, but Prescott is renowned for producing horses fit first time back, and Luke Morris at 11% career SR is a solid booking. The 890 form looks raw but this is a weak Class 6 AW handicap and the combination of best SR in the competitive range, extreme weight advantage, strong trainer signals and market confidence makes this a compelling selection. Each-way alternative: Fleur de Mer. Main danger: Fleur de Mer — Fleur de Mer holds the highest SR in the field at 62, has proven GoingFit:+ on today's going, has steamed 34% in the market, and while carrying 10-0 versus Niffler's 8-10 the consistent 323643 form suggests a horse that keeps finding the frame.